2. Suppose a rancher must decide whether to take his cattle to market in the morning or afternoon. The profit he will make per head of cattle will depend on whether the demand is high or low at the particular time he goes to market. The profit per head is pesos and the corresponding probabilities is displayed in a pay-off matrix. Profit/head Demand High P Demand Low Go to market morning 100 .5 40 .5 Afternoon 160 .3 -20 .7 Required: Make a decision tree for this situation.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section9.3: Single-stage Decision Problems
Problem 5P
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SUBJECT: MANAGEMENT SCIENCE

LESSON: DECISION TREE

 

2. Suppose a rancher must decide whether to take his cattle to market in the morning or
afternoon. The profit he will make per head of cattle will depend on whether the demand is
high or low at the particular time he goes to market. The profit per head is pesos and the
corresponding probabilities is displayed in a pay-off matrix.
Profit/head
Demand High
Demand
Low
Go to market morning
100
.5
40
.5
Afternoon
160
.3
-20
.7
Required: Make a decision tree for this situation.
Transcribed Image Text:2. Suppose a rancher must decide whether to take his cattle to market in the morning or afternoon. The profit he will make per head of cattle will depend on whether the demand is high or low at the particular time he goes to market. The profit per head is pesos and the corresponding probabilities is displayed in a pay-off matrix. Profit/head Demand High Demand Low Go to market morning 100 .5 40 .5 Afternoon 160 .3 -20 .7 Required: Make a decision tree for this situation.
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