2. Adrian has 5 keys on a key chain and one of the keys is used to unlock his office door. If Adrian loses his key chain and the finder tries to sneak in his locked office by trying all the keys one by one, what is the probability that the door will be unlocked on the third trial?
Addition Rule of Probability
It simply refers to the likelihood of an event taking place whenever the occurrence of an event is uncertain. The probability of a single event can be calculated by dividing the number of successful trials of that event by the total number of trials.
Expected Value
When a large number of trials are performed for any random variable ‘X’, the predicted result is most likely the mean of all the outcomes for the random variable and it is known as expected value also known as expectation. The expected value, also known as the expectation, is denoted by: E(X).
Probability Distributions
Understanding probability is necessary to know the probability distributions. In statistics, probability is how the uncertainty of an event is measured. This event can be anything. The most common examples include tossing a coin, rolling a die, or choosing a card. Each of these events has multiple possibilities. Every such possibility is measured with the help of probability. To be more precise, the probability is used for calculating the occurrence of events that may or may not happen. Probability does not give sure results. Unless the probability of any event is 1, the different outcomes may or may not happen in real life, regardless of how less or how more their probability is.
Basic Probability
The simple definition of probability it is a chance of the occurrence of an event. It is defined in numerical form and the probability value is between 0 to 1. The probability value 0 indicates that there is no chance of that event occurring and the probability value 1 indicates that the event will occur. Sum of the probability value must be 1. The probability value is never a negative number. If it happens, then recheck the calculation.
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2. Adrian has 5 keys on a key chain and one of the keys is used to unlock his office door.
If Adrian loses his key chain and the finder tries to sneak in his locked office by trying
all the keys one by one, what is the probability that the door will be unlocked on the
third trial?
cy situa
3. A deck of cards contains 10 diamonds, 8 hearts, 5 clubs, and 7 spades. Ten cards are
chosen at random. What is the probability that four of these cards are diamonds?
4. Three coins are tossed until all heads appear. What is the probability that all heads will
appear on the 10th flip?
5. Sylvester, a proofreader, is working on a 500-page manuscript. He was told that there
are 300 typographical errors on the manuscript. What is the probability that there are
2 typographical errors on the page he is currently proofreading?
6. There are fifteen mobile phones in a box, 9 of which are iPhones. If a person takes ten
phones at random from the box, what is the probability that there are 6 iPhones in the
and 7
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Solution:
P(X=10) = G X Ge
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Extend Your Knowledge
For further readings or
visit the following Web site
https://www.mathsisfu
http://stattrek.com/m/
https://www.math.ua
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P(X = 10) = 0.1808
What Have I Learned So Far?
Solve the following problems using Poisson, geometric, or hypergeometric probability
distribution, whichever is applicable. Write your solutions and answers on a sheet of paper.
1. Kim, a quality control expert, is testing the embroidered tablecloth that her team
finished in a day. The product contains 50 square feet (ft) of cloth and the track record
history establishes I embroidery defect for every 20 ff of finished product. What is the
probability that Kim will detect 2 embroidery defects on the cloth?
Statistics and Probability"
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