2 The behaviour of a certain stock market index is considered over the next (n+1) consecutive trading days starting from tomorrow. For each day a +' will be recorded if the index rises above the previous day's index and a -' will be recorded otherwise (you may assume that the probability that the index will be the same on two consecutive days is zero). Assume that rises and falls are independent and equally likely and that today's index exceeds yesterday's index. (a) Let N be the number of days of the next n for which a +' will be recorded. (i) Is N a binomial random variable? Justify your answer. (ii) What are the mean and standard deviation of N? (iii) Determine the probability that rises outnumber falls over the next 5 days.

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2 The behaviour of a certain stock market index is considered over the next (n+1) consecutive
trading days starting from tomorrow. For each day a +' will be recorded if the index rises
above the previous day's index and a -' will be recorded otherwise (you may assume that the
probability that the index will be the same on two consecutive days is zero). Assume that rises
and falls are independent and equally likely and that today's index exceeds yesterday's index.
(a) Let N be the number of days of the next n for which a +' will be recorded.
(i) Is N a binomial random variable? Justify your answer.
(ii) What are the mean and standard deviation of N?
(iii) Determine the probability that rises outnumber falls over the next 5 days.
Transcribed Image Text:2 The behaviour of a certain stock market index is considered over the next (n+1) consecutive trading days starting from tomorrow. For each day a +' will be recorded if the index rises above the previous day's index and a -' will be recorded otherwise (you may assume that the probability that the index will be the same on two consecutive days is zero). Assume that rises and falls are independent and equally likely and that today's index exceeds yesterday's index. (a) Let N be the number of days of the next n for which a +' will be recorded. (i) Is N a binomial random variable? Justify your answer. (ii) What are the mean and standard deviation of N? (iii) Determine the probability that rises outnumber falls over the next 5 days.
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