(1)In 2015, the average duration of long-distance telephone calls from a certain town was 3.9 minutes. A telephone company wants to perform a test to determine whether this average duration of long distance calls has changed. Fifty calls, originating from the town, was randomly selected and the following summary minutes. ∑ ? = 205                                ∑(? − ?̅)2 = 56.43 a) Calculate the sample mean, ?̅. b) Calculate the sample standard deviation c) Using the p value approach at the 1% level of significance, test whether the mean duration of long-distance calls from the town had increased. d) Construct the 99% confidence interval for the population mean duration of the long-distance calls from the town.   (2) A researcher interested in explaining the level of foreign reserves for the country of Barbados estimated the following multiple regression model using yearly data spanning the period 2001 to 2016: ??=?+????+????+???? Where FR = yearly foreign reserves ($000’s), OIL = annual oil prices, EXP = yearly total exports ($000’s) and FDI = annual foreign direct investment ($000’s). The sample of data was processed using MINITAB and the following is an extract of the output obtained: Predictor Coef StDev y-ratio p-value Constant 5491.38 2508.81 2.1888 0.0491 Oil 85.39 18.46 4.626 0.0006 EXP -377.08 112.19 * 0.0057 FDI -396.99 160.66 -2.471 ** S = 2.45            R – sq = 96.3%             R – sq (adj) = 95.3% Analysis of Variance  Source DF SS MS F P Regression 3 1991.31 663.77 ? ?? Error 12 77.4 6.45     Total 15         a) What is dependent and independent variables? b) Fully write out the regression equation c) Fill in the missing values ‘*’, ‘**’, ‘?’and ‘??’ d) Hence test whether ? is significant. Give reasons for your answer. e) Perform the F Test making sure to state the null and alternative hypothesis f) Given an interpretation of the term “R-sq” and comment on its value.

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Answer questions 1 and 2 completely.

(1)In 2015, the average duration of long-distance telephone calls from a certain town was 3.9 minutes. A telephone company wants to perform a test to determine whether this average duration of long distance calls has changed. Fifty calls, originating from the town, was randomly selected and the following summary minutes.

∑ ? = 205                                ∑(? − ?̅)2 = 56.43

a) Calculate the sample mean, ?̅.

b) Calculate the sample standard deviation

c) Using the p value approach at the 1% level of significance, test whether the mean duration of long-distance calls from the town had increased.

d) Construct the 99% confidence interval for the population mean duration of the long-distance calls from the town.

 

(2) A researcher interested in explaining the level of foreign reserves for the country of Barbados estimated the following multiple regression model using yearly data spanning the period 2001 to 2016:

??=?+????+????+????

Where FR = yearly foreign reserves ($000’s), OIL = annual oil prices, EXP = yearly total exports ($000’s) and FDI = annual foreign direct investment ($000’s). The sample of data was processed using MINITAB and the following is an extract of the output obtained:

Predictor Coef StDev y-ratio p-value
Constant 5491.38 2508.81 2.1888 0.0491
Oil 85.39 18.46 4.626 0.0006
EXP -377.08 112.19 * 0.0057
FDI -396.99 160.66 -2.471 **

S = 2.45            R – sq = 96.3%             R – sq (adj) = 95.3%

Analysis of Variance 

Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 3 1991.31 663.77 ? ??
Error 12 77.4 6.45    
Total 15        

a) What is dependent and independent variables?

b) Fully write out the regression equation

c) Fill in the missing values ‘*’, ‘**’, ‘?’and ‘??’

d) Hence test whether ? is significant. Give reasons for your answer.

e) Perform the F Test making sure to state the null and alternative hypothesis

f) Given an interpretation of the term “R-sq” and comment on its value.

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