17. A risk manager would like to simulate the price of a stock using the discretized GBM, where St+At = S₁ + µS₁At+√AtS₁€t where and o denote, respectively, the stock annual mean return and annual volatility. The data fl suggest that the weekly mean return on the stock is 0.5% and the weekly volatility is 4%. Assuming a weekly time step of At = 1/52 (in terms of annual units), what is the appropriate estimate of µ? (a) = 26.4% (b) = 30.16% (c) = 4.5% (d) û = 17.94%

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
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Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
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17. A risk manager would like to simulate the price of a stock using the discretized GBM, where
St+At = St + µS{At+√ã$£€
where μ and o denote, respectively, the stock annual mean return and annual volatility. The data
suggest that the weekly mean return on the stock is 0.5% and the weekly volatility is 4%. Assuming
a weekly time step of At = 1/52 (in terms of annual units), what is the appropriate estimate of μ?
(a) = 26.4%
(b) û = 30.16%
(c) û = 4.5%
(d) û = 17.94%
18. Suppose that the price of an asset obeys geometric Brownian motion (GBM) with an annual drift
μ = 0.01 and an annual volatility of o= 0.25. If today's price is $100, what is the probability that
the price two years from now will drop below $80? Hint: Recall that under GBM, the future price
at T, i.e. ST, given today's spot price, St, is
with TT-t and €~
=
(a) 21.51%
(b) 35.48%
(c) 51.1%
(d) 30.47%
ST= St x exp (μ
x exp [(μ-27 ) XT + √F X 0 Xe]
N (0, 1).
Transcribed Image Text:17. A risk manager would like to simulate the price of a stock using the discretized GBM, where St+At = St + µS{At+√ã$£€ where μ and o denote, respectively, the stock annual mean return and annual volatility. The data suggest that the weekly mean return on the stock is 0.5% and the weekly volatility is 4%. Assuming a weekly time step of At = 1/52 (in terms of annual units), what is the appropriate estimate of μ? (a) = 26.4% (b) û = 30.16% (c) û = 4.5% (d) û = 17.94% 18. Suppose that the price of an asset obeys geometric Brownian motion (GBM) with an annual drift μ = 0.01 and an annual volatility of o= 0.25. If today's price is $100, what is the probability that the price two years from now will drop below $80? Hint: Recall that under GBM, the future price at T, i.e. ST, given today's spot price, St, is with TT-t and €~ = (a) 21.51% (b) 35.48% (c) 51.1% (d) 30.47% ST= St x exp (μ x exp [(μ-27 ) XT + √F X 0 Xe] N (0, 1).
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