1.5.2. There are 5 urns, numbered 1 to 5. Each urn contains 10 balls. Urn, has defective balls, i = 1, ..., 5. Consider the following experiment: First an urn is selected uniformly (i.e. each urn is selected with the same probability) at random and then a ball is selected uniformly at random from the selected urn. The experimenter does not know which urn was selected. (i) What is the probability that a defective ball will be selected? (ii) If we have already selected the ball and noted that it is defective, what is the probability that it came from urn 5? Generalise to urn &; & = 1,...,5.

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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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1.5.2. There are 5 urns, numbered 1 to 5. Each urn contains 10 balls. Urn has defective
balls, i = 1, ..., 5. Consider the following experiment: First an urn is selected uniformly (i.e. each urn is
selected with the same probability) at random and then a ball is selected uniformly at random from the
selected urn. The experimenter does not know which urn was selected.
(i) What is the probability that a defective ball will be selected?
(ii) If we have already selected the ball and noted that it is defective, what is the probability that it
came from urn 5? Generalise to urn &; & = 1,...,5.
Transcribed Image Text:1.5.2. There are 5 urns, numbered 1 to 5. Each urn contains 10 balls. Urn has defective balls, i = 1, ..., 5. Consider the following experiment: First an urn is selected uniformly (i.e. each urn is selected with the same probability) at random and then a ball is selected uniformly at random from the selected urn. The experimenter does not know which urn was selected. (i) What is the probability that a defective ball will be selected? (ii) If we have already selected the ball and noted that it is defective, what is the probability that it came from urn 5? Generalise to urn &; & = 1,...,5.
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