1. Penny's problem is to decide how large her Consulting firm should be. The annual return depends on both the size of her consulting firm and a number of marketing factors. After a careful analysis, Penny developed the following table: SIZE (Consulting firm) GOOD MARKET AVERAGE POOR MARKET MARKET SMALL 95,000 25000 -40000 MEDIUM 1,00,000 37500 -60000 LARGE 120000 50000 -110000 a. What is the best decision of Penny as per criteria of realism? What is the EMV of that best decision (Assume a = 0.7) b. What is the best decision of Penny as per minimax regret criterion? What is the EMV of that best decision? [Clearly write down the intermediate Opportunity Loss Table(s) forthis part]

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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1. Penny's problem is to decide how large her Consulting firm should be. The annual return depends
on both the size of her consulting firm and a number of marketing factors. After a careful analysis,
Penny developed the following table:
SIZE (Consulting firm)
GOOD MARKET
AVERAGE
POOR MARKET
MARKET
SMALL
95,000
25000
-40000
MEDIUM
1,00,000
37500
-60000
LARGE
120000
50000
-110000
a. What is the best decision of Penny as per criteria of realism? What is the EMV of that best
decision (Assume a = 0.7)
b. What is the best decision of Penny as per minimax regret criterion? What is the EMV of that
best decision? [Clearly write down the intermediate Opportunity Loss Table(s) forthis part]
Transcribed Image Text:1. Penny's problem is to decide how large her Consulting firm should be. The annual return depends on both the size of her consulting firm and a number of marketing factors. After a careful analysis, Penny developed the following table: SIZE (Consulting firm) GOOD MARKET AVERAGE POOR MARKET MARKET SMALL 95,000 25000 -40000 MEDIUM 1,00,000 37500 -60000 LARGE 120000 50000 -110000 a. What is the best decision of Penny as per criteria of realism? What is the EMV of that best decision (Assume a = 0.7) b. What is the best decision of Penny as per minimax regret criterion? What is the EMV of that best decision? [Clearly write down the intermediate Opportunity Loss Table(s) forthis part]
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