(1) If volume is high this week, then next week it will be high with a probability of 0.9 and low with a probability of (ii) If volume is low this week then it will be high next week with a probability of 0.5. Assume that state 1 is high volume and that state 2 is low volume. (Note: Express your answers as decimal fractions rounded to 4 decimal places (if they have more than 4 decimal

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If volume is high this week, then next week it will be high with a probability of 0.9 and low with a probability of 0.1.  
If volume is low this week, then it will be high next week with a probability of 0.5.  

Assume that **state 1 is high volume** and that **state 2 is low volume**.

*(Note: Express your answers as decimal fractions rounded to 4 decimal places (if they have more than 4 decimal places).)*

1. Find the transition matrix for this Markov process.

   \[
   P =
   \begin{bmatrix}
   \_\_\_\_ & \_\_\_\_ \\
   \_\_\_\_ & \_\_\_\_ \\
   \end{bmatrix}
   \]

2. Find the four-step transition matrix \( P(4) \):

   \[
   P(4) =
   \begin{bmatrix}
   \_\_\_\_ & \_\_\_\_ \\
   \_\_\_\_ & \_\_\_\_ \\
   \end{bmatrix}
   \]

3. If the volume is high this week, what is the probability that it will be high 4 weeks from now (use \( P(4) \))?

   \[
   \_\_\_\_
   \]

4. If the volume is high this week, what is the probability that it will be low 4 weeks from now (use your answer to the preceding question to derive the answer to this question if you can)?

   \[
   \_\_\_\_
   \]
Transcribed Image Text:If volume is high this week, then next week it will be high with a probability of 0.9 and low with a probability of 0.1. If volume is low this week, then it will be high next week with a probability of 0.5. Assume that **state 1 is high volume** and that **state 2 is low volume**. *(Note: Express your answers as decimal fractions rounded to 4 decimal places (if they have more than 4 decimal places).)* 1. Find the transition matrix for this Markov process. \[ P = \begin{bmatrix} \_\_\_\_ & \_\_\_\_ \\ \_\_\_\_ & \_\_\_\_ \\ \end{bmatrix} \] 2. Find the four-step transition matrix \( P(4) \): \[ P(4) = \begin{bmatrix} \_\_\_\_ & \_\_\_\_ \\ \_\_\_\_ & \_\_\_\_ \\ \end{bmatrix} \] 3. If the volume is high this week, what is the probability that it will be high 4 weeks from now (use \( P(4) \))? \[ \_\_\_\_ \] 4. If the volume is high this week, what is the probability that it will be low 4 weeks from now (use your answer to the preceding question to derive the answer to this question if you can)? \[ \_\_\_\_ \]
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