1) How much did egg prices increase from November 2021 to November 2022? How did this compare to the price of other "food at home?" 2) What caused the economic shock that drastically raised egg prices? 3) According to the author, what additional factors are contributing to the rising cost of eggs in the winter of 22-23?

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1) How much did egg prices increase from November 2021 to November 2022? How did this compare to the price of other "food at home?" 2) What caused the economic shock that drastically raised egg prices? 3) According to the author, what additional factors are contributing to the rising cost of eggs in the winter of 22-23?
billion in December 2021, according to USDA data issued Dec. 20.
"It's a supply disruption, 'act of God' type stuff," Moscogiuri said. He called the situation "unprecedented."
"It's kind of happenstance that inflation is going on [more broadly] during the same period," he added.
Price pressures may be easing
Bird flu typically arrives during the spring migration and disappears by the summer, experts said. But this
year was different; the virus reemerged in September.
In October, the USDA revised its production forecast for table eggs downward for 2023 and the remainder of
2022 following "September detections" of bird flu.
That avian flu flare-up and its associated death toll for egg-laying hens - is running headlong into peak
demand. Consumers generally buy more eggs now for holiday baking, for example, experts said.
-
Consumer demand for eggs has also been buoyed by a pivot away from some higher-cost proteins amid
broader food inflation, the USDA suggested in an October outlook report.
Egg prices jumped 2.3% just in the month of November, and by 10.1% in October. Elevated egg prices
"could last into the first quarter of 2023," Lapp said.
But price pressures appear to be easing, according to Moscogiuri. That's partly a seasonal effect, as demand
naturally lets up after the holidays. It's also due to record egg prices somewhat dampening demand, he said.
"The market has now topped and spot prices are becoming increasingly negotiable," Moscogiuri said. "As the
spot price falls, the market will follow and we will likely see a 25%-30% correction from current all-time highs.
"This adjustment will likely take place over the next three weeks." Any additional, large outbreaks of bird flu
could disrupt this trend, he added.
00332 How did this compare
Transcribed Image Text:billion in December 2021, according to USDA data issued Dec. 20. "It's a supply disruption, 'act of God' type stuff," Moscogiuri said. He called the situation "unprecedented." "It's kind of happenstance that inflation is going on [more broadly] during the same period," he added. Price pressures may be easing Bird flu typically arrives during the spring migration and disappears by the summer, experts said. But this year was different; the virus reemerged in September. In October, the USDA revised its production forecast for table eggs downward for 2023 and the remainder of 2022 following "September detections" of bird flu. That avian flu flare-up and its associated death toll for egg-laying hens - is running headlong into peak demand. Consumers generally buy more eggs now for holiday baking, for example, experts said. - Consumer demand for eggs has also been buoyed by a pivot away from some higher-cost proteins amid broader food inflation, the USDA suggested in an October outlook report. Egg prices jumped 2.3% just in the month of November, and by 10.1% in October. Elevated egg prices "could last into the first quarter of 2023," Lapp said. But price pressures appear to be easing, according to Moscogiuri. That's partly a seasonal effect, as demand naturally lets up after the holidays. It's also due to record egg prices somewhat dampening demand, he said. "The market has now topped and spot prices are becoming increasingly negotiable," Moscogiuri said. "As the spot price falls, the market will follow and we will likely see a 25%-30% correction from current all-time highs. "This adjustment will likely take place over the next three weeks." Any additional, large outbreaks of bird flu could disrupt this trend, he added. 00332 How did this compare
"Here's why egg prices surged in 2022. Those elevated costs could last into the first quarter of 2023,
expert says"
by Greg lacurci
CNBC, December 29th, 2022
The surge in egg prices has stood out in a year when Americans saw their bills balloon across the grocery
store.
Average egg prices jumped 49.1% in November compared with those a year earlier - the largest annual
percentage increase among all grocery items in that period, according to the consumer price index, a
barometer of inflation.
By comparison, the overarching "food at home" category was up 12%.
The increase is even more acute when measured by the cost of a dozen large, Grade A eggs, which more
than doubled to $3.59 in November from $1.72 the year-earlier month, according to data from the Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Bird flu is largely to blame for rising egg prices
Those price dynamics are primarily due to the deadliest outbreak of bird flu in U.S. history, which has killed
millions of egg-laying hens this year, according to economists.
"A lot of things are up since 2020," Bill Lapp, president of Advanced Economic Solutions, a consulting firm
specializing in food economics, previously told CNBC. "But the recent spike is extraordinary in the shell-egg
as well as egg-product markets."
About 57.8 million birds have been affected by avian flu in 2022, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture
data as of Dec. 28. These figures include birds such as turkeys and ducks.
Bird flu is relatively rare in the U.S. The last bout was in 2015, when 50.5 million birds - the previous record
- were affected, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
The flu hadn't emerged in at least a decade or two prior to that, Lapp said. Here's why this matters: Avian flu
is "highly contagious," the New Jersey Department of Agriculture said in October. It's also extremely lethal: It
kills 90% to 100% of chickens, often within 48 hours, according to the CDC.
Farmers generally must kill their remaining birds - not by choice but due to federal rules meant to prevent
spread, Brian Moscogiuri, a global trade strategist at Eggs Unlimited, an egg supplier based in Irvine,
California, previously told CNBC.
About 40 million egg-laying hens- "layers," in industry shorthand - have died this year due to avian flu,
Moscogiuri said. There were 375 million total layers in the U.S. as of Dec. 1, which is down 5% from last
year, according to the USDA.
Egg quantity has declined in lockstep. About 8.9 billion eggs were produced in November, down from 9.7
Transcribed Image Text:"Here's why egg prices surged in 2022. Those elevated costs could last into the first quarter of 2023, expert says" by Greg lacurci CNBC, December 29th, 2022 The surge in egg prices has stood out in a year when Americans saw their bills balloon across the grocery store. Average egg prices jumped 49.1% in November compared with those a year earlier - the largest annual percentage increase among all grocery items in that period, according to the consumer price index, a barometer of inflation. By comparison, the overarching "food at home" category was up 12%. The increase is even more acute when measured by the cost of a dozen large, Grade A eggs, which more than doubled to $3.59 in November from $1.72 the year-earlier month, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Bird flu is largely to blame for rising egg prices Those price dynamics are primarily due to the deadliest outbreak of bird flu in U.S. history, which has killed millions of egg-laying hens this year, according to economists. "A lot of things are up since 2020," Bill Lapp, president of Advanced Economic Solutions, a consulting firm specializing in food economics, previously told CNBC. "But the recent spike is extraordinary in the shell-egg as well as egg-product markets." About 57.8 million birds have been affected by avian flu in 2022, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture data as of Dec. 28. These figures include birds such as turkeys and ducks. Bird flu is relatively rare in the U.S. The last bout was in 2015, when 50.5 million birds - the previous record - were affected, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The flu hadn't emerged in at least a decade or two prior to that, Lapp said. Here's why this matters: Avian flu is "highly contagious," the New Jersey Department of Agriculture said in October. It's also extremely lethal: It kills 90% to 100% of chickens, often within 48 hours, according to the CDC. Farmers generally must kill their remaining birds - not by choice but due to federal rules meant to prevent spread, Brian Moscogiuri, a global trade strategist at Eggs Unlimited, an egg supplier based in Irvine, California, previously told CNBC. About 40 million egg-laying hens- "layers," in industry shorthand - have died this year due to avian flu, Moscogiuri said. There were 375 million total layers in the U.S. as of Dec. 1, which is down 5% from last year, according to the USDA. Egg quantity has declined in lockstep. About 8.9 billion eggs were produced in November, down from 9.7
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