STAT3801_3909 AS4

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The University of Hong Kong *

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3907

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Statistics

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Nov 24, 2024

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14 / 15 THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS AND ACTUARIAL SCIENCE STAT3801/STAT3909 Advanced Life Contingencies Assignment 4 Due: May 11, 2015 (Monday) 1. For a last-survivor whole life insurance of 1000 on ( x ) and ( y ): (a) The death benefit is payable at the moment of the second death. (b) The independent random variables T * x , T * y and Z are the components of a common shock model. (c) T * x has an exponential distribution with a failure rate of 0.03, t 0. (d) T * y has an exponential distribution with a failure rate of 0.05, t 0. (e) Z , the common shock random variable, has an exponential distribution with a failure rate of 0.02, t 0. (f) δ = 0 . 06. Calculate the actuarial present value of this insurance. 2. The mortality of ( x ) and ( y ) follows a common shock model with components T * x , T * y and Z . (a) T * x , T * y and Z are independent and have exponential distributions with respec- tive forces μ 1 , μ 2 and λ . (b) The probability that ( x ) survives 1 year is 0.96. (c) The probability that ( y ) survives 1 year is 0.97. (d) λ = 0 . 01. Calculate the probability that both ( x ) and ( y ) survive 5 years. 3. Consider a risk free investment that pays $ 1500 one year from now, $ 2000 two years from now and $ 1000 three years from now. Let y t be the t -year spot interest rate. Calculate the present value of this investment by using the following interest rates. (a) A constant effective interest rate of 8% per annum for all durations. (b) y 1 = 0 . 04, y 2 = 0 . 08 and y 3 = 0 . 12. (c) y 1 = 0 . 12, y 2 = 0 . 08 and y 3 = 0 . 04. 1
4. Consider the following three zero-coupon bonds, all of which will pay $ 1000 at maturity. Maturity (in years) Current price 1 960 2 930 3 880 Let f ( t, t + k ) be the forward interest rate, contracted at time 0, effective from time t to t + k . Calculate the following: (a) f (1 , 2) (b) f (1 , 3) (c) f (2 , 3) 5. For a three-year term insurance of 10,000 on (65), payable at the end of the year of death, you are given: (a) x q x 65 0.00355 66 0.00397 67 0.00444 (b) Forward interest rates at the date of issue of the contract, expressed as annual rates, are as follows: Start time End time Annual forward rate 0 3 0.050 1 3 0.070 2 3 0.091 Calculate the expected present value of the insurance. 6. For a whole life insurance of 1000 on (70), you are given: (a) Death benefits are payable at the end of the year of death. (b) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table. (c) Maturity in years Annual Effective Spot Rate 1 1.6% 2 2.6% (d) For the year starting at time k - 1 and ending at time k , k = 3 , 4 , 5 , . . . , the one-year forward rate is 6%. Calculate the expected present value of the death benefits. 2
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