mat-240-project-two-completed

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Downloaded by Leslie Rossner (lrrossner@gmail.com) MAT 240 Project Two completed Applied Statistics (Southern New Hampshire University) Scan to open on Studocu Studocu is not sponsored or endorsed by any college or university
Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Report 1 Downloaded by Leslie Rossner (lrrossner@gmail.com) Report: Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Kate Martin Southern New Hampshire University
Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Report 2 Downloaded by Leslie Rossner (lrrossner@gmail.com) Introduction Purpose: This report will examine two hypotheses related to the housing sales market. The study will utilize a sample data of 500 homes located within the New England region. The aim is to determine whether the housing prices in this region are higher than the national market average and to assess whether there are any differences in the average square footage of the homes in this region compared to the national market average. Sample: To obtain a random sample of 500 houses located within the New England region, we utilized the =rand() function within an Excel spreadsheet. The region consists of six states, namely Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Rhode Island, Connecticut, and Massachusetts. This method of sampling helps to ensure a true random sample, and we can continue to randomize the sample to further enhance its randomness Questions and type of test: This report will conduct two different tests, both of which will utilize a significance level of α = .05. The first test is a right-tailed test that focuses on the average listing price, with the following hypotheses: Null Hypothesis (H0): The population mean (μ) of the listing prices is equal to 288,407. Alternative Hypothesis (Ha): The population mean (μ) of the listing prices is greater than 288,407. In simpler terms, the first test aims to determine whether the average listing price of the houses in the New England region is significantly greater than $288,407.
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Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Report 3 Downloaded by Leslie Rossner (lrrossner@gmail.com) The second test in this report is a two-tailed test that focuses on the average square footage of the homes in the New England region, with the following hypotheses: Null Hypothesis (H0) : The population mean (μ) of the square footage is equal to 1,944, which is the average square footage of the national market. Alternative Hypothesis (Ha) : The population mean (μ) of the square footage is different than 1,944. This test aims to determine whether there is a significant difference between the average square footage of the houses in the New England region and the national market average. To support this hypothesis, we will utilize estimation and confidence intervals to determine whether there is evidence to reject or support the null hypothesis. 1- Tail Test O ur population parameter for this test is the mean listing price of homes for the entire population of the New England region. Our null and alternative hypotheses are below, using the significance level of α = 0.05 (Null)H0: μ = 288,407 (Alternative)Ha: μ > 288,407
Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Report 4 Downloaded by Leslie Rossner (lrrossner@gmail.com) Analysis: Data analysis: Listing Price of Homes Mean 345836 Median $330,050 Standard Deviation 147378 Quartile 1 267838 Quartile 3 4277378 The chart above displays a right-skewed shape, which may occur when the mean is slightly higher than the median and in the direction of the skew. The graph’s range spans from around $150K to over $900K. Although similar in shape and direction to the national statistics graph, our data’s summary statistics are significantly higher. It is possible that outliers in our sample could be from areas where the housing market is more expensive than other regions. Our significance level, α = 0.05, and sample size of 500 provide a normal distribution of data. With
Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Report 5 Downloaded by Leslie Rossner (lrrossner@gmail.com) our random sampling, data distribution, and required sample size, the conditions for assessing our hypothesis have been met. Hypothesis Test Calculations: The formula used to calculate our test statistic very simply put is the (mean – target)/standard error. It looks like this for our equation: (345836-288407)/ (147378/). Which is 57429/6592= 8.71. Next, we calculate the p value using the T. DIST.RT function in Excel. =T. DIST.RT([test statistic], [degree of freedom]) =T. DIST.RT([8.17], [500-1]) =0.000 Interpretation: With our p value < α (0.05), we can reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the mean listing price in the New England region is greater than the mean listing price of the national market. The result is not surprising given that our sample data’s mean and median listing prices were already higher than the national market’s mean. Moreover, the scarcity of outliers in our data further supports our conclusion. 2- Tail Test Hypotheses: This test aims to determine whether the mean square footage of homes in the New England region is different from the mean of the National Market data. Therefore, the population parameter of interest is the mean square footage of homes for the entire population of the New England region. First, we identify our null and alternative hypotheses below. Again, we are using the
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Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Report 6 Downloaded by Leslie Rossner (lrrossner@gmail.com) significance level of a=0.05 (Null) H0: μ = 1944 (Alternative)Ha: μ ≠1944 Data Analysis: Square Footage of Homes Mean 1870 Median 1,875 Standard Deviation 262 Quartile 1 1757 Quartile 3 2053 Data Analysis: The chart above is more symmetrical, with a few outliers on the right side. The center of the graph falls between 1,800 and 2,000 sqft, and the overall range is from 1,200 to just over 3,000sqft. Although slightly smaller in range than the national graph, the shape and symmetry are similar, and the summary statistics from our data are comparable to the national summary
Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Report 7 Downloaded by Leslie Rossner (lrrossner@gmail.com) statistics. This leads us to conclude that our null hypothesis calculation is accurate, and the average square footage of homes in our region is not significantly different from that of the national market. As mentioned in our right tailed test, some of the potential outliers in our sample may come from areas where the housing market is more expensive than in other regions. This is expected given that our region encompasses vast counties, some with more available land than others. Our significance level remains as a=0.05, and we used a sample size of 500 which provided us with a normal distribution of data. Our random sampling, data distribution and sample size again met the overall conditions for testing our hypothesis. Hypothesis Test Calculations: We again need to determine the test statistic. The formula for calculating the test statistic is the (mean – target)/standard error. So, in our case it would be = (1870-1944)/ 262/). =- 74/11.724=-6.31 Again, the next step is to calculate for our p value. This time the formula function in Excel will be T.DIST.2T. =T.DIST.2T ([-6.31], [500-1]) =0.00000 Interpretation: Based on the above information, the p-value is exceedingly small (0.000000), which is less than our significance level of 0.05. Therefore, we can reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is evidence suggesting that the average square footage in the New England region is different from the national average square footage. In other words, the alternative hypothesis that the population mean is not equal to 1,944 sqft is supported, while the null hypothesis that the
Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Report 8 Downloaded by Leslie Rossner (lrrossner@gmail.com) population mean is less than or equal to 1,944 sqft is rejected. Comparison of the Test Results: To calculate the 95% confidence interval, we first need to identify the margin of error using Excel. The formula is =CONFIDENCE.T(alpha, standard deviation, sample size). Margin error=CONFIDENCE.T(0.05,262,500 Margin error=23.02 The confidence interval is the range of values that fall below and go above the New England region square footage mean. Now that we have the margin error of 23.02, we take that number and both add and subtract it from the New England square footage mean. In doing so, we produce the lower bound amount of 1847 and the upper bound amount of 1893. To wrap up, we can say that we are 95% sure that the square footage in the New England region will fall within the ranges of 1847 and 1893 sq ft. Final Conclusions In general, our findings from the sample data we collected were what was anticipated. We focused on the New England region because we knew that typically the real estate market in this area tends to be more expensive than in other regions. Our initial right tailed test confirmed this for us. In our two tailed test, we were able to determine that although the price of homes in this region may be higher than the national average, the average square footage of homes is not remarkably similar to those in the rest of the country. It gives us information that questions how closely the square footage of a house is related to the price. More samples and testing would need to be done to further our conclusions and research. Overall, the
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Regional vs. National Housing Price Comparison Report 9 Downloaded by Leslie Rossner (lrrossner@gmail.com) results were not particularly surprising.