Geo Lab 1 Energy and Climate Change Winter 2023.docx (1)
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GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
Lab 1 - Energy and Climate Change
Objectives:
●
Understand all components in the surface radiation budget
●
Identify environmental variables that affect components in the radiation budget
●
Calculate net radiation and albedo
●
Explain annual patterns and trends in atmospheric CO
2
concentrations
●
Explain the concept of a carbon footprint and the factors that contribute to it
Total marks: 26
Introduction
Read the lab carefully.
Some of the material we haven't covered in class yet - but we will soon.
The purpose of this first week is to "get your feet wet" and get used to working with calculations and
help you learn to use Excel. Your textbook (chapters are listed under the Course Schedule on Canvas)
and lectures will provide the required background. The Lab assignment will be a file uploaded to
Canvas. You can cut and paste your answers into a separate document from this sheet. Provide
answers to TWO decimal places where appropriate (While you may use any spreadsheet program
(Microsoft Excel, Open Office,
Google Sheets
), we recommend Excel, free to all UBC students via
the student software site.
PART 1: Daily Radiation Budget [12 marks]
We will be using the SURFRAD network website to access radiation data from 2 monitoring sites in
the United States. The network provides long-term, continuous measurements of the surface radiation
budget for multiple sites, and available data includes incoming and reflected shortwave radiation,
incoming and outgoing longwave radiation and net radiation. This data can be downloaded and used
to inform climate research. Also available on the website are photographs of the sites, which can be
used to gain insight on radiation budgets.
Firstly, follow the instructions in the document:
Accessing the SURFRAD network
. This document,
will show you how to obtain the data and graphs needed to complete the following questions.
Note: For date selection in step 3, choose the date following date which applies to you (based on the
last 2 digits of your student number):
0-25
: June 01 2019
26-50
: July 05 2018
51-75
: May 28 2018
76-99
: August 05 2019
1
GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
Fort Peck, MT
Q1.
(
upload a screenshot of the graph, acquired by following the above instructions (Accessing the
SURFRAD dataset), to canvas
)
Answer the following questions for the graph of Fort Peck, MT:
Q2.
Name 2 variables that could affect the value of SW ↓ and SW ↑. [2]
-
Cloud cover. The density of clouds as well as their presence in the atmosphere will impact the
amount of incoming solar radiation which reaches the earths surface & reflected back into
space.
-
Albedo of the surface. Albedo is the reflectivity of a surface, hence various surfaces will
reflect a varying proportion of incoming solar radiation. For example a white surface such as
fresh snow will reflect a larger proportion and thus have a higher SW ↑
Q3.
Why do SW ↓ and SW ↑ have similar (if not the same) values between 3 and 11 UTC? [1]
-
Between 3 and 11UTC the time is 20:00 to 04:00 which is a time period where temperatures
tend to be constant and low as theres less energy as it’s night.
Q4.
Why is LW ↑ greater than LW ↓? [1]
2
GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
-
The outgoing longwave radiation is always larger then the incoming longwave radiation since
the incoming shortwave radiation emitted by the sun easily passes through the atmosphere
due to its composition and is absorbed by the surface. This energy absorbed by the surface is
then reemitted as outgoing long wave radiation. Incoming longwave radiation results from
this outgoing energy being trapped by greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere which then remit
this energy in all directions including back down towards the earths surface. As incoming
longwave radiation is a product of outgoing radiation being reeimitted it would not be
possible for its value to exceed its source.
-
To conclude, due to the reemmition of greenhouse gasses in the lower atmosphere, theres a
additional source of radiation towards the surface, which eventually adds to more reemition
of energy from the surface and increases the value of
L↑.
Thus LW ↑ is greater than LW ↓
Q5.
Describe the diurnal pattern of total net radiation (Q*), and state which component of the
radiation budget exerts the most control over Q*. [2]
-
The diurnal pattern of total net radiation is the 24/h in net radiation. Net radiation can be defined by the
difference between insolation (incoming solar radiation) and outgoing long wave (infrared) radiation.
Insolation is the predominant component of the radiation budget during the day when the sun is out.
Due to this, insolation is greater than outgoing radiation, thus resulting in a positive net radiation where
it peaks (is at its highest).
-
As the evening approaches the insolation begins to decline as the sun sets and eventually reaching 0.
Even though insolation has reached 0, the energy absorbed by the earths surface is trapped and
reradiated as longwave radiation. During the night the re-radiatiated longwave radiation is predominant
(due to the absence of insolation) and therefore results in a negative net radiation.
-
The net radiation peaking during the day and declining to a negative value at night can be observed to
be a form of diurnal pattern for the net radiation.
-
The insolation is the predominant factor affecting total net radiation. This variable however varies on
cloud coverage, the atmosphere and the suns angle, where any changes in these variables can cause the
net radiation to fluctuate. Thus we can conclude that the diurnal pattern of total net radiation is driven
by fluctuations in insolation.
Desert Rock, MV
Q6.
(
upload a screenshot of graph, acquired by following the above instructions (Accessing the
SURFRAD dataset), to canvas
)
3
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GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
Q7.
State 2 differences between the two sites and suggest some reasons for these differences in terms
of climate and environment. [2]
-
The first difference is that both radiation values ( downwelling infrared, upwelling infrared,
downwelling solar and upwelling solar) are greater in Desert Rock, Nevada compared to Fort peck.
This is likely due to various physical/environmental features present in these areas, influencing the
climate. Desert areas have less water vapor in the air, hence resulting in less cloud coverage.
Furthermore the increased air temperature affects dew points which is the reason for the lack of water
vapor condensing, ultimately causing Desert Rock to have higher rates of radiation.
-
Secondly the other difference evident when comparing graphs is that the total net radiation is higher at
Fort Peck, compared to Desert Rock. This is resultant due to insolation and outgoing radiation values
both being high at Desert Rock, Nevada, thus leading to a lower total net radiation value. At Fort Peck
it is evidently clear that the infrared radiation is higher then at Desert Rock, likely due to higher
vegetation coverage and cloud coverage, ultimately leading to a greater total net radiation.
Calculating albedo and net radiation (see more in the endnotes)
1.
Download the
Fort Peck radiation data spreadsheet
containing radiation data for a day in
July in Fort Peck. Fill in the columns for albedo and net radiation using the following
equations:
Net radiation
(1)
(𝑄 *) = (?↓ + ?↓) – (?↑ + ?↑) = (?↓ − ?↑) + (?↓ − ?↑)
The albedo or reflectivity (α) of a surface refers to the proportion of incident short-wave radiation
which is reflected by the surface:
Albedo
(
α)
=
(2
)
?↑
?↓
Q8.
At what time of day does the maximum Q* occur? [1]
-
The max value for the Net Radiation is 670.3 at 1:01:59 PM
Q9.
What is the value of albedo at 0900 and 1700 hours? Express answers in percentages (e.g. 10%
not 0.1). Explain how albedo changes between these hours. [3]
-
At 09:00 the albedo is 19.72%
-
At 17:00 the albedo is 18.81%
-
The spreadsheet displays how the albedo at Fort Peck falls slightly by 0.91% between 9AM
and 5PM. This decrease in albedo can be justified by the decrease in incoming solar radiation
as a result of an increasing zenith angle, which therefore increases the area of diffusion. This
moreover correlates to the decrease in downwelling and upwelling radiation, regardless of the
possibility of other variables such as cloud coverage influencing these values.
4
GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
PART 2: CO
2
, Temperature, and Climate Change [12 marks]
There is a growing body of evidence and data on the issue of climate change. Some of this is outlined
in Chapter 7 of your textbook. You will need to refer to the endnotes at the end of this document for
help with some of the questions.
Examine the updated version at the end of this document (in endnotes; Fig. 2), downloaded from the
NOAA web-site:
https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
. This famous graph is often referred to
as the “Keeling Curve” after the name of first author who originally published the data. It represents
atmospheric CO
2
concentration atop Mauna Loa, Hawaii (in parts per million, ppm).
Q10.
List 4 processes/activities that are responsible for the peaks and troughs observed in the keeling
curve (2 for each). [1]
-
Throughs are resultant of a increase in CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere leading to
peaks. Activities which could lead to troughs would be increased calcification, photosynthesis
and an increase in the amount of carbon settling in carbon sinks such as the ocean. Peaks on
the other hand are resultant from deforestation, burning fossil fuels and rapid industrial and
farming expansion.
Click on the “data” tab in the NOAA web-site listed above to get the files with the annual mean data
(“Mauna Loa CO
2
annual mean data” in ppm or parts per million) and the annual growth rate data
(“Mauna Loa CO
2
annual mean growth rates”; represents change in CO
2
from one year to the next,
reported as ppm/year). Click on ‘CSV’ next to the file name to download. Familiarize yourself with
these two tables.
Q11.
Find the most recent
annual mean
atmospheric CO
2
concentration at Mauna Loa (i.e., for 2019).
By what percent has the atmospheric CO
2
concentration increased from the pre-industrial value of 280
ppm? [1]
-
For the most recent annual mean atmospheric CO2 concentration recorded would be for 2022, which
presents a value of 418.53ppm.
-
Finding the difference between the most recent mean (2022) and the value of 280ppm we get a result
of an increase by 138.53ppm or by
49.475%
Q12.
Watch the film at:
https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/history.html
. Focusing on the
data shown on the left figure (snapshot, below) from about 0-2 minutes of the film, explain what is
being portrayed. Also: Can you explain why there is so much more variation in values at latitudes
30°N and higher than those south of the equator? See clock to the right of the graph for year and
month – you may need to play the film a couple of times to become familiar with the trends) [2]
-
What is being portrayed?
The video portrays CO2 concentrations in various latitudes and at different times. The
graphical data allows single point data to be compared with other data at the same place over
a chosen time period. By watching the video is comprehensible that the CO2 concentration is
fluctuating over time however the mean value is positively increasing over time.
-
Theres more variation in values at latitudes 30°N and higher than those south of the equator
due to the photosynthetic activity of plants and therefore areas with more plants will
experience higher fluctuations. At latitudes of 30°N and higher there is a larger concentration
5
GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
of plants, whereas near the equator there is less vegetation. Photosynthetic activity causes
variations fluctuations in different lattitudinal zones. During the spring and summer, plants
begin to photosythesise, where they consume CO2 from the atmosphere, using it as a source
to grow. Thus resulting in a decrease in CO2 levels which begins around may. Conversely
when winter arrives, plants begin to slow down their photosythetic cycle to save energy.
Therefore when vegetation coverage is greater, a greater fluctuation in values occurs.
6
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GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
Q13.
Examination of data used to compute the climate change index:
Download the dataset in the
climate change index spreadsheet
. This table presents the following data
for the time period 2006-2019: 1) Global average temperature, 2) Atmospheric CO
2
concentration, 3)
Global Mean Sea Level (mm height with reference to a fixed datum), 4) Average Arctic Sea Ice
Extent. These variables are critical indicators of human impact on climate and affected systems. The
variables are used to compute the Climate Change Index, a single number calculated annually that can
be used to show accumulated change over time. Here, we will ignore the index and examine the data
it derives from.
Open the Excel spreadsheet. Create time-series (line) graphs to illustrate the variables. Because the
variables are measured on different numerical scales, I suggest you either construct: i) four separate
line graphs, one for each variable,
or
ii) three graphs, the first with CO
2
; the second with Global Mean
Sea Level, and the third with Global Avg. Temp. and Average. Arctic Sea Ice Extent.
Your TA will help you with the “line graph” feature in Excel. For general graphing instructions, refer
to the handout on Constructing Line Graphs (posted in Canvas) or consult your TA in lab. Note that:
if you choose option ii), you will have a secondary y-axis on the last graph: one, on the left for the
first variable (e.g., Global avg. temp.), the second on the right, for the other variable, e.g., Average.
Arctic sea ice extent (e.g., see Fig. 1 below). Remember,
time
is always your
x-axis
variable in a
time-series graph. The following Excel help tutorial will help with adding secondary y-axes:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P-mB4I16GC8
1
st
Y-axis
2
nd
Y-axis
Fig 1:
Example of graph with secondary y-axis. Accessed from:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=viD-WVEK_s0
Present your graphs together (e.g., side by side; one on top of the other) so you can easily compare
trends among the variables. Be sure to include a title, axis labels indicating units of measurement and,
if you have more than one series per graph, a legend to indicate which is which. Place the graphs
(copy and paste each) into a Word document and convert to pdf. If you are unable to convert to pdf,
you may submit your Word doc. Follow the prompts (click ‘browse computer’, select your file, etc.)
to attach to the electronic submission in Canvas. [3]
7
GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
8
GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
Q14.
Looking at sea surface height change (represents change relative to the 1993-2008 average),
comment on the pattern over time (direction, magnitude, variability)? How are sea surface height
trends related to the other 3 variables, if at all? Explain any relationships in terms of underlying
processes of cause-effect [2]. You may be interested to view the animation at:
https://climate.nasa.gov/news/2614/25-years-of-global-sea-level-data-and-counting/
-
The graph for sea surface height change displays a strong positive correlation between sea level height
(mm) and time (years). This correlation can be seen due to the relative positive trend of the graph
where the sea level values are gradually increasing at a moderate rate. Its important to note that there
are outliers present form 2012-2013, 2014-2015 and 2017-2018 where the sea level has decreased.
-
The most obvious relation can be seen to be the average global temperature. As the global temperature
increases, the ocean’s temperature begins to increase leading to seawater to expand, which means it
would take up a greater amount of space in ocean basins and cause a rie in sea level. Another relation
between global temperature increase and sea level can be seen by the increasing rate in which the polar
regions and glaciers are melting as a result of increased global temperatures and over long term
causing sea level to rise
-
Atmospheric CO2 levels are in a way indirectly related to sea level, however play a crucial roll in the
reason why global temperatures are increasing. The more CO2 released into the atmosphere, the more
greenhouse gasses present, accelerating the greenhouse effect which essentially traps outgoing long
wave radiation which is absorbed by these CO2 molecules and reradiated in all directions including
back towards the surface, thus increasing the average global temperature which then relates to an
increasing sea level as stated previously.
-
Finally as previously mentioned, the decline in sea ice extent relates to a rise in sea level as the global
temperature increases, theres a decline in Sea Ice extent seen my the moderate negative trend on the
graph. As the ice melts, the water eventually reaches the ocean and thus increases the relative sea level.
-
Q15.
Calculate the percent change in temperature that occurred between an earlier year and the last
year in the time sequence, as follows (you will compute this using 2 different ‘earlier’ years) [1]:
2007 to 2019 → 2.27% increase
2013 to 2019 → 1.85% increase
Q16.
Is comparing the percentage of change between individual years a good way to assess temporal
trends in the variable temperature? Why/why not? What would be a better temporal scale for this
variable? [2]
-
No, percentage change is not a good way of assessing temporal trends as it generalises the
data and you are not able to see the trend for temperature change in greater detail, as the
temp. Change in percentage will be the average over a year.
-
A better way to asses temporal trends could be through using the seasonal Kendal Test. This
test is done by conducting Mann-Kendal calculations for each season which is analyzing the
difference between earlier and later measured data, and then combining results for each
season.This allows no comparisons across seasonal boundaries. An advantage of this is
allowing us to easily detect trends in seasonal data.
PART 3: What is your impact? Carbon footprint: [2 marks]
Estimate your carbon footprint. This is similar to an ecological footprint (see endnotes), but converted
to units of CO
2
you release per unit time (in tons/year) and is your contribution to carbon emissions.
9
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GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
To do this, access one of the leading carbon calculators such as the Cool Climate Network’s:
https://coolclimate.berkeley.edu/calculator
, (see Appendix “Using the Calculator”) or Conservation
International’s:
https://www.conservation.org/act/carboncalculator/calculate-your-carbon-footprint.aspx#/
Note: Both of these tools are American. You may need to mentally convert your travel into US units
(miles from kilometres) or other units. You may simply estimate – you want rough but representative
numbers. Also: Please visit the site as soon as you can – it may become overloaded as students access
it, and you may need to return to it at a later time.
Q17.
Carbon footprint: [1]
-
10.65 metric tonnes of CO
2
Q18.
Justify your answer by providing details of, e.g., indicate those elements of your lifestyle that
are particularly carbon-hungry; those that are relatively conservative of energy/carbon, etc. You will
not be judged for this. Some of us have taken more than our share of international flights; or drive
SUV’s! [1]
-
The reason for this higher result is likely due to my diet, and travels. As I live in downtown
vancouver I take the bus 15 km each way everyday. I likewise work as a chef at a steakhouse,
hence influencing my dietary intake where I consume more meat. Furthermore, as I am a
international student who has family in canada I used to travel from the netherlands to canada
every summer, flying over 500 km. These are the main reasons why my carbon footprint is
higher then the global average. Through travel, CO2 emissions are obvious as they physically
emmit carbon into the atmosphere however having a meat based diet indirectly causes higher
CO2 emissions through embedded emissions.
REFERENCES
Arbogast et al. 2018 (course text)
Or: either of the following references in lieu:
Christopherson, et al. 2015. Geosystems, (any Canadian Edition), Pearson.
Strahler and Archibold 2011 Physical Geography: Science and Systems of the Human
Environment (any
edition)
. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
10
GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
Endnotes
Part 1:
The surplus or deficit of radiant energy that may exist at a given place or time can be obtained by
calculating the net radiation budget – the difference between total incoming and total outgoing
radiation. The terms short-wave and long-wave radiation refers to radiation from the sun (short-wave)
and radiation from the Earth and atmosphere (long-waves).
The net radiation, Q*, may be positive, negative, or zero. When the surface is gaining more radiant
energy than it is losing, Q* is positive, indicating the potential for warming.
A negative Q* implies the surface is losing energy, indicating the potential for cooling.
Q* may be determined from the radiation balance equation:
Q* = (K↓ + L↓) – (L↑ + K↑) = (K↓ - K↑) + (L↓ - L↑), where
K↓ = incoming short-wave radiation from the Sun
K↑ = short-wave radiation reflected by the surface
L↓ = incoming long-wave radiation emitted by the atmosphere
L↑ = out-going long-wave radiation emitted by the surface
The albedo or reflectivity (α) of a surface refers to the proportion of incident short-wave radiation
which is reflected by the surface:
α = K↑/ K↓
Part 2:
Keeling curve:
https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
, accessed August 07, 2020.
Fig 2.
Keeling curve. Accessed August 2020
11
GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
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GEOS 102 Our Changing Environment: Climate and Ecosystems
Lab 1
Part 3:
Ecological footprint concept: This was derived in the 1980’s by UBC professor Dr. William Rees to
characterize the impact on environment that a single person or entity makes. The World Wildlife Fund
define it as simply “the amount of the environment necessary to produce the goods and services
necessary to support a particular lifestyle” (
http://wwf.panda.org/
).
Using the calculator
●
Change Miles to KM in settings
○
Click on settings (this can be found on the right hand of the site)
○
Click “Switch to metric units” underneath the Assumption Values box
●
Hold on to your results!
○
The browser will save your data, however there’s potential for your results to get lost.
We recommend taking a screen shot or documenting them manually
○
Your initial results will be important to compare with yur final results and be used for
our final discussion
●
Necessary details for the calculation:
○
Heating oil and other fuels…$0.13 per kWh
○
Natural gas…………………$0.10 per kWh
13