HW_Sea Level NYC
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EES 0836
Sea Level Rise in New York City
Disasters: Geology vs. Hollywood
Introduction
We are going to start by examining some trends in relative sea level change.
“Relative sea level
changes”
refer to changes in sea level relative to a point on land that is also changing.
Individual
coastlines undergo their own vertical changes due to tectonic activity, erosion, coastal subsidence, etc., so
although global sea level as a whole is currently rising, different geographic areas are experiencing
different local relative rates of sea level rise. In some places (like parts of Alaska), tectonic activity is
causing gradual uplift of the coastline, so local relative sea level is actually falling, even while global sea
levels rise
.
Learning Objectives
:
●
Indicate how sea level rise will have an impact on coastal areas in New York City.
(2, 5, c)
●
Criticize how the government responds to preparing our coastal areas for future flooding events.
(2,3, d)
Part 1
: National
Oceanic and
Atmospheric
Administration
(NOAA
(
Navigate to the
NOAA Sea Level
Trend
viewer. You
should see a map
like the one included
that shows parts of
North America and
Central America.
Take a look at the
legend below the
map, illustrating sea
level trends listed
in millimeters per
year, and, in
parentheses, feet per
century. Every
arrow on the map
represents a
different station
along the coast that
collects sea level
data. The sea level
trend measurement
for each station
can be viewed by
clicking on the
appropriate arrow
.
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Part 2
: New York City
Zoom in on the map by clicking on “East Coast”. Compare the colors of the relative sea level trend
arrows around Philadelphia and New Orleans
.
1.
What is the average relative sea level trend around Philadelphia? Express your answers in
mm/year, and make sure that your answer includes whether the sea level trend is positive (rising)
or negative (dropping).
Around the Delaware river there is a rise in the water levels that go to about 3.02 mm per year.
This is a positive sea level trend.
2.
What is it around New Orleans? Express your answers in mm/year, and make sure that your
answer includes whether the sea level trend is positive (rising) or negative (dropping).
In New Orleans we can look the Grand Isle Louisiana location. There is a rise by about 9.13 mm
per year.
3.
What do you think might explain the difference in relative sea level trends between Philadelphia
(and most of the East Coast) and the area of the Gulf Coast around New Orleans?
The Gulf Coast has land surrounding it that is starting to subside. So now the sea level is higher
seeming, but the ground around has been affected therefore making it seem like there was a
different kind of shift. It is a different affect then we have seen in Philadelphia and New Orleans.
Sea leveling rising can be linked to global warming which by proxy is then also related to ice
caps melting which we have learned about in other sections. This can lead to different rivers
being flooded and have an increase in the water level.
Let
’s focus on the area around NYC. Zoom in on the map so you
can see the 4 individual arrows in this area clearly. For reference,
here is a map of the five boroughs of New York City
.
We are going to focus on the two sea level trend arrows that fall
within the limits of NYC itself. These are “The Battery” at the
southern tip of Manhattan, and “
Bergen Point
” on the northern
part of Staten Island
.
1.
What is the relative sea level trend at each of these two
locations?
a.
The Battery: 2.87 mm/year
b.
Bergen Point:
4.44mm/year
EES 0836
2.
What is the average trend for NYC if we take the average of these two points?
Express your
answers in mm/year, and make sure that your answer includes whether the sea level trend is
positive (rising) or negative (dropping).
The average is 3.655 mm/year
3.
NYC experienced significant coastal flooding as a result of the storm surge from Hurricane Sandy
in 2012. Based on your answer to Question 3, how much has relative sea level changed in NYC
since Hurricane Sandy hit? Express your answers in mm, and make sure that your answer
includes whether the sea level trend is positive (rising) or negative (dropping).
Since Hurricane Sandy there
was an increase in the sea level
in New York City. The battery
and Bergen point have sea level
trackers and provide us with the
information required to be able
to see that this is something that
is happening. Battery shows a
increase at 2.87 mm/year and
the Bergen shows an average
sea level rise of 4.44 mm/year.
4.
If you own property along the
coastline in New York City,
would these trends concern
you? Explain your reasoning.
Yes, seeing an increase in sea
level would be a concern for
me. Since New York City
’
s
coast sits on the edge of the Hudson River. It will take time for these sea levels to fully impact
those living on the coast but, in time if it keeps increasing at a similar rate or even gets to be a
higher rate then there is a risk of the citizens that live in that area like flooding on their property.
Part 3
: Flooding
With a population of nearly 20 million people and 2400 km of coastline, the NYC region is susceptible to
even small changes in sea level. As sea levels rise, the magnitude and frequency of coastal flooding
increases. While it is impossible to attribute a single storm, like Hurricane Sandy, entirely to climate
change, higher sea levels certainly did increase the extent and magnitude of the coastal flooding
.
When scientists and stakeholders consider potential impacts of sea level rise, they often consider a
particular area’s susceptibility to a
100-year flood
event and how sea level rise could increase the
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EES 0836
probability of a 100-year flood in the area. The included figure shows the extent of the 100-year
floodplain in 2013 (just post-Sandy) and estimates of the extent of the 100-year floodplain in the 2020s
and 2050s as it changes due to rising sea levels
.
1
.
Compare the geographical extent of the floodplains and floodplain projections in the provided
figure. What can you say about the predicted future changes in the extent of the 100-year
floodplain compared to the location of the 2013 100-year floodplain
?
There could potential be cities that are completely submerged in water. This will cause people to
have to move to different areas that are farther away from the coast which will increase the
population in different areas since larger populations seem to live on the coast
.
2
.
Which boroughs do you think are most at risk from increased coastal flooding as a result of rising
sea levels
?
Brooklyn and Queens are probably going to be the most affected by the flooding because of
where they are as well as the buildings that are there and the people that live there will be more
decimated then the other boroughs. They will have less of a place to go afterwards and their
buildings are not going to be able to withstand anything in the sense of flooding
.
3
.
Given what you know about cities (population, waste, utilities, business, industry, etc.), what
would be the environmental impact from future flooding events in NYC
?
There will probably be an environmental impact if NYC were to be flooded. Any and all
ecosystems that are established on the island will be ruined with the flooding and the migration of
a mass amount of people will alter how the different cities and places they are in
.
4
.
Given everything you have seen in this exercise, what, if anything, do you think NYC should be
doing about all this
?
More information should be provided about this being a concern for those living in NYC so that
those that might not have a whole lot of other potion can prepare accordingly and try to make it
so that there is the safest way for them to either leave the island if something like this is going to
happen or just making their home safer and having different kits to be able to survive
.
5
.
Considering that flooding events are relatively infrequent, does this frequency of flooding events
impact your answer
?
No, It does not impact my answer. People should be educated on potential natural disasters that might
EES 0836
occur
.
Part 4
: Sea Walls
?
Because of our warming climate and sea levels rising globally, many governments and/or agencies are
concerned with protecting our coastal areas from flooding. Since we focused on NYC throughout this
activity, we will continue to do so for this last part
.
Read the article from the
New York Times about a Sea Wall in Staten Island
and answer the following
questions
.
1.
Do you think constructing a 6-mile-long sea wall is the best way to protect Staten Island? Explain
why or why not.
It would only be something that helps for a small period of time. The wall is indestructible so
things can happen it can break it can be withered down in time. So, as a more permanent fix it is
not the best of ideas especially if sea levels continue to rise then the wall would probably have to
be continued to work on without a guarantee of it really helping when the times comes.
2.
Do you think constructing a wall addresses the issues associated with a warming climate and the
trends in sea level, or does this wall signify that we are accepting warming/sea level rise as being
inevitable?
I believe that constructing a wall is accepting defeat, if progress can be made in making an effort
to counter rising sea levels then we should not give up on that.
3.
Does the cost of the wall challenge your thinking on its construction in any way?
I think it continues to prove that it is not a good idea. That is so much money for something that is
not going to fix the problem and it is only going to maybe be a preventative measure that isn
’
t
gonna really work when it comes down to a long term solution.
4.
Is this a ‘one size fits all’ approach, or do you think we need to do more than just build walls to
fix the issues associated with rising sea levels? Explain your answer.
Since it is an environmental
issue, I don
’
t think something like a wall is going to be what fixes this issue. This is a how we
are treating the planet and our lifestyles that are the issue. In order to stop sea level rising to
stop we need to prevent the way global warming is increasing rapidly which means we need
to reduce the number of fumes are going into the atmosphere and the amount fo waste we
all produce as individuals and what happens with that waste.