2-2 Scenario Analysis- Stock Options

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QSO510

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Jan 9, 2024

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2-2 Scenario Analysis: Stock Options Southern New Hampshire University QSO-510-x2467 Quantitive Analysis
Return Standard Deviation Stock A 15 % 8.3% Stock B 14% 2.1% As a financial advisor, I am assigned to a new client who is considering investing in one of the two stocks A or B. After carefully viewing the table above, there are slight differences in Stock A and Stock B. Stock A return is at 15% and Stock B is at 14%. The return has a slight difference; however, the standard deviation has a huge difference. Stock A standard deviation is at 8.3% and Stock B standard deviation is at 2.1%. Standard deviation measures the risk – positive and negative. If standard deviation is high, the risk is high. In this case, Stock A is volatile and creates a high risk on return. Stock B has a low standard deviation, which has more of a consistent/stable return. Based on these factors, I would recommend Stock B. While I am reviewing the stock, I will also need to focus on reviewing several different factors. These factors are growth grate, company management, price-to-earnings ratio, debt-to- equity ratio and if the company is seasonal or all year round. All these factors will impact the client. Growth rate is a percentage change within a time frame, which can be a positive or a negative one. For investors specifically this is the measurement of growth of an investment, dividends, earnings, and company’s revenues (Chen, 2022). Management of the company is whether a company is public and issues public fund shares. This is the time to review if the company is managing open-end funds, closed-end funds, or both. Open-end management are public traded investments and they do not trade on a market exchange, through the mutual fund companies (Chen, 2022). Price-To-Earnings (P/E) ratio measures high or low earnings in the market. The higher P/E ratio, the higher future expectation on earnings (Beers, 2022). Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio measures the financial leverage ratio which is a measurement of how much capital comes from loans and if a company can meet their financial obligations (Team, 2022).
The D/E ideally should be under 2.0, and if over, the company is considered high risk. The higher the ratio, the more risk investor is taking along with a higher return. As a financial advisor, I will be recommending Stock B to my client. Stock B is less deviating compared to Stock A. Stock B is at 2.1% deviation compared to Stock A which is at 8.3%. The return between both stocks is only 1% different, meanwhile the risk gap between both has a huge difference. Overall, Stock B is less risky, and the client will have a much safer return than Stock A.
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References Beers, B. (2022, August 23). How can the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio mislead investors? Investopedia. Retrieved November 19, 2022, from https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/070214/how-can-pricetoearnings-pe-ratio- mislead-investors.asp Chen, J. (2022, July 8). Management investment company . Investopedia. Retrieved November 19, 2022, from https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/management-investment- company.asp Chen, J. (2022, November 16). Growth rates: Formula, how to calculate, and definition . Investopedia. Retrieved November 19, 2022, from https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/growthrates.asp Team, T. I. (2022, October 9). What is a good debt-to-equity ratio and why it matters . Investopedia. Retrieved November 19, 2022, from https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/040915/what-considered-good-net- debttoequity-ratio.asp