C3T3_FE 323 project change summary

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Boston University *

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323

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Finance

Date

Jan 9, 2024

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docx

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2

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FE 323 Instructor: Min Kim Section: Team: A. Summary of the changes since the workshop FE Workshop Dec 2 or earlier Cost of capital NEW SIZE PREMIUM: We chose a midpoint between the size premium for the 10y and 10z decile companies in the Morningstar note, which have an average of a 96 and 1 million market cap. We used our NPV as a proxy for market cap. Because our NPV was approximately 14 million with our old discount rate, we calculated 8.9+(11.6-8.9)/95 * 14 to get our size premium. NEW MARKET RATE OF RETURN: Used Morningstar historical market rate of return to get our discount rate closer. NEW COMPARABLE COMPANY: Changed Williams Sonoma to Lovisa. Lovisa is traded on Australian exchange – is this ok? NPV 14.551 million now. We cut down our variable costs and are now cash flow positive from year 2- 5. IRR We are concerned our IRR is too high – it is 107%? Terminal value 16 million. We cut down our variable costs and are now cash flow positive from year 2-5. Growth rate 14.28%. This was calculated by assuming a 12 year product life cycle. The remaining 7 years after our 5 year forecast were divided by 100% to calculate how much decline in growth rate we would need each year to reach 0 in cash flow, giving us 14.28%. The year that the perpetuity for TV starts 5 (should it be six?) TV is calculated as yr 5 cf / r – g. The year that FCF peaks Year 5 (is this normal?) at 1.7 million. Why does it peak here? Life time of the product 12 years. We assume this based on average life cycle by industry from this IBISWorld report: https://www.ibisworld.com/blog/understanding- industry-life-cycles/99/1127/.
Total initial startup costs Buildout costs are reduced to 229k due to use reducing our year 1-3 factory space. Still using 20% assumption given in guidelines. Start up cash in NWC Cash now includes 2 months worth of first year direct and indirect labor. B. Outline the modifications implemented by your team concerning the FE assumptions and analyses (expand or condense the list as necessary). 1. We reduced direct materials per unit by around 3 dollars total in OM workbook, which allows us to be cash flow positive. 2. We reduced MOH by utilizing a lower factory space, allowing us to be cash flow positive. 3. What should we do about the distribution centers? 4. 5.
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