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Curry Plc Financial Analysis and Valuation
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Word Count: 2200
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Table of Contents
Introduction
.................................................................................................................................................
3
Strategic Appraisal of Currys Plc
..................................................................................................................
3
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation Model
.........................................................................................
3
Table 1: Shows DCF Analysis
.............................................................................................................
4
Performance of Currys Plc and its Constituent Segments
............................................................................
4
Profitability ratios
....................................................................................................................................
4
Operating profit margin
.......................................................................................................................
4
Net profit margin
.................................................................................................................................
5
Liquidity ratios
........................................................................................................................................
5
Current ratio
........................................................................................................................................
5
Cash ratio
.............................................................................................................................................
5
Efficiency ratios
......................................................................................................................................
6
Asset turnover ratio
.............................................................................................................................
6
Fixed asset turnover
.............................................................................................................................
6
D/E ratio
..............................................................................................................................................
6
Equity ratio
..........................................................................................................................................
6
Investment ratios
.....................................................................................................................................
7
Return on equity
..................................................................................................................................
7
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
.................................................................................................
7
Calculation of the Valuation Range
.............................................................................................................
7
Asset Valuation
.......................................................................................................................................
7
Valuation based on Dividend Yield
.........................................................................................................
8
3
Comparison of Valuation based on different models focusing on assumptions and limitations and advice
.8
Conclusion
...................................................................................................................................................
9
Reference List
............................................................................................................................................
10
Appendices
................................................................................................................................................
12
Appendix 1: DCF Model
.........................................................................................................................
12
Appendix 2: Performance of the Company based on ratio analysis
.......................................................
13
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Introduction Currys Plc is a United Kingdom (UK) multinational telecommunications and electrical retailer
and services corporation with its headquarters in London, UK. It is the leading omnichannel
retailer of technology services and products and operates via its 830 outlets and online in eight
countries. In the UK and Ireland, the company trade as Currys while in Greece as Kotsovolos
and in the Nordics as the Elkjøp brand. In the markets, the firm is the market leader while
employing more than 32,000 people who are committed and capable colleagues (Currys PLC,
2023). The company was founded in 1884 by Henry Curry as a Curry Cycle Corporation, a
bicycle manufacturing enterprise. In 1927, the company diversified and grew to offer other
products such as toys, radios, and gramophones. They are now selling household appliances and
home electronics. In addition, the company deals with offering the service they sell desktops,
laptops, washing machines, television, printers, and refrigerators (MarketScreener, 2023). The annual report is aimed at analyzing and interpreting Curry’s financial statements. Different
financial analysis and valuation approaches are applied to perform the report. The results gained
are applied to measure the performance and position of the retailer. Currys’ stock is at present
trading at 56.85 GBX with +4.99%. The DCF valuation model is applied to examine the strategic
direction of Currys. The report also determines the performance of the firm and its constituent
segments as measured by key performance indicators comprising the ROCE breakdown in light
of the general liquidity and solvency of the firm. The report calculates the valuation range based
on asset, multiples, market basis, and dividend yield. Lastly, the report compares the valuation
based on various models, listing assumptions and limitations, and offering sound investment
advice consistent with the entire report. Strategic Appraisal of Currys Plc
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation Model The model is the form of financial approach that determines if the investment is worthwhile as
per the future cash flows. This model is centered on the concept that Curry’s value is measured
by how well the firm generates its cash flows to investors in the future. DCF determines the
firm’s present value (PV) by modifying future cash flows to the time value of money. In the
5
financial year 2021/22, the company had a revenue of £10,144m and a free cash flow of £72m
(MarketScreener, 2023). Valuing a firm utilizing the DCF model is seen to be a key approach for
private equity, investment bankers, buy-side investors, and equity research. It is presented in
comparison to the firm’s market value. Currently, Currys Plc has a market capitalization
estimated at £ 923.80m in March 2023. DCF model seeks to elaborate if the market price is
justified as per the corporation’s expected future performance and fundamentals that is its
intrinsic value (Wall Street Prep, 2022). Based on the DCF model analysis, it recommends that
Currys Plc could be overvalued or that our assumptions might be wrong. It is assumed that the
most significant inputs to the discounted cash flow are the actual cash flows and the discount rate
as shown in Table 1, the market price and equity value are £345.99, while the DCF equity value
is £333.74. In calculating the DCF, we applied 10%, which is according to the 2.00 levered Beta.
Beta is derived from the industry average beta of globally comparable firms, having an imposed
limit between 0.7 and 2.00, which is a considerable range for a stable business (Street, 2022). Table 1: Shows DCF Analysis
DCF analysis for Currys Plc
Market cap 923.8
Number of shares outstanding 2.67 million
enterprise value (equity value 900.87
Equity value per share
According to the market price £345.99
According to the DCF analysis £333.74
Performance of Currys Plc and its Constituent Segments Profitability ratios Operating profit margin The ratio determines how much profit the firm generates a dollar from the revenue after payment
for the variable production costs, for instance, raw materials and wages. A company with a
6
margin of 10 percent is considered to have performed better while below 10% is seen as a low
performance (Weygandt and Kimmel, 2022). HFD has a higher operating margin at 7.89% than
Curry Plc at 2.19% as displayed in appendix 2 (Hargreaves Lansdown, 2023). Despite both
companies having a margin of less than 10% and showing poor performance, HFD has shown an
improvement in performance than Currys Plc. Net profit margin This ratio is determined by dividing net income by net sales revenue and multiplying it by 100%.
A higher ratio is favorable because it implies, more cash is dispersed to the shareholders or can
be invested in new opportunities. A ratio of 10% is seen to be average performance, and 20%
good performance, while 5% is low performance (Soffer et al., 2014). HFD had a higher net
profit margin ratio at 5.67% than Curry at 0.7% as shown in appendix 2. Both companies have
performed lower but HFD has shown a slight improvement in its performance in the 2022
financial year (Lansdown, 2023). Liquidity ratios Current ratio The ratio compares the current assets of the corporation to its current obligations. A ratio equal
to 1.0 or higher is seen to be good for many companies. However, a ratio below 1.0 is considered
unacceptable for many firms. It implies the company experiences challenges in meeting its
current obligations. HFD has a higher current ratio at 0.92 times in 2022 than Currys Plc at 0.79
times as revealed in appendix 2. Nonetheless, both companies have a current ratio that is below
1.0 times, implying both struggles to meet their short-term liabilities when due (Lansdown,
2023). It shows that they both have low liquidity and they might imminently experience
bankruptcy. Cash ratio
The ratio determines the capacity of an organization to cover its current obligations using its cash
and cash equivalents only. A ratio more than 1.0 is seen to be good but a ratio below 0.5 is
perceived to be risky because the company has twice as many current loans compared to its cash
and cash equivalents (Sekhar, 2020). HFD has a higher cash ratio at 0.12 times than Currys Plc at
0.01 as shown in appendix 2. However, both firms have shown poor performance based on cash
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ratio because they are all under 0.5 times which implies that these two companies are at risk due
to low liquidity. Efficiency ratios Asset turnover ratio This ratio determines the company’s assets' efficiency in generating sales revenue. A ratio of
below 1.0 is considered low performance and 1.0 or more is seen to be favorable or acceptable
(Schroeder et al., 2019). Currys Plc has a higher ratio at 1.47 times than HFD at 1.07 as
illustrated in appendix 2. Both companies have performed better in terms of asset turnover ratio
as it is above 1.0 times, implying they were efficient at generating revenues using their assets
(Soffer et al., 2014). Fixed asset turnover This ratio depicts how efficient the firm is to generate revenues from its current non-current
assets. A ratio that is higher than 1.0 is always acceptable but below 1.0 is considered low
performance. Currys Plc fixed asset turnover ratio was higher at 2.12 times than HFD at 1.5
times as illustrated in appendix 2. Both companies have performed well in using their non-
current assets to generate revenues as they registered a ratio higher than 1.0 times, although
Currys Plc has performed exceeding well compared to HFD. Gearing ratios D/E ratio This ratio depicts how many loans the firm has against its assets. A ratio below 100% is
considered relatively safe, while values above 100% or more could be seen to be risky to the
company. Typically, a specifically low ratio can be negative revealing the company fails to
utilize debt financing and its benefits over taxes. Currys Plc had a higher D/E ratio at 176.4%
than HFD at 131.96% as depicted in appendix 2. The ratios show that both firms are at risk
because they have a higher ratio above 100%, although Currys Plc is at higher risk than HFD. Equity ratio The ratio determines the amount of leverage applied by a corporation. When the ratio approaches
100%, it implies that the corporation has funded approximately all of its assets using equity
8
financing but a 40% is seen to be acceptable (Park, 2017). HFD had a higher ratio at 43.1% than
Currys Plc at 36.2% as shown in appendix 2. It shows that both companies are financing their
assets with more than 50% using debt funding and the rest equity. Currys Plc is performing
poorly because its ratio is below the acceptable level which shows that shareholders are at risk in
their investment, while HFD has performed slightly better to put their investors at risk of using
more debts that affect the company’s performance (Savio et al., 2019). Investment ratios Return on equity This ratio determines the company’s financial performance. A stable and higher ROE is typically
good, even though an absolute value needs to be regarded in the industry’s context. A 10% ratio
is seen to be average, while 15 to 20% is viewed to be better. However, a ratio below 5% is seen
to be poor performance (Michael and Albert J., 2014). Based on ROE, HFD recorded a higher
ratio at 14.10% than Currys Plc at 2.8% as illustrated in appendix 2. HFD has performed average
and better than Currys Plc which presented poor performance. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
The ratio is applied to evaluate the capital efficiency and profitability of a corporation. At a
minimum, a ratio of 20% is considered a good indicator of profitability and the firm has better
financial health, while 10% is an average performance with below showing low performance
(Lessambo, 2022). HFD had a higher ROCE at 12.3% than Currys Plc at 5.3% as depicted in
appendix 2. HFD has performed average, while Currys Plc has shown low performance in terms
of this ratio. It means HFD has average financial health but Currys Plc has a risky financial
position (Maynard, 2017). Calculation of the Valuation Range Asset Valuation It involves a process of measuring the current value of the corporation’s assets, for instance,
stocks, goodwill or equipment, or plant. The model of asset-based value is equal to the book
value of a company or shareholder’s equity. In this case, we use the income approach to value
the assets (CSBE, 2023).
9
Currys Plc.’s Stock value = net operating income (NOI)/market capitalization rate
NOI for the company in the financial year 2020 was £222 million while the market cap rate Capitalization rate = NOI/current market value of the asset
The chosen Capitalization rate for the company is 8%
Stock value =£222/0.08
= £ 2775 million.
Valuation based on Dividend Yield
Dividend yield refers to a ratio that determines the annual value of dividends gained relative to
the market value per security share. Investors who value are attracted to stocks that have high
yields; given the dividend payment is secure. It is calculated by dividing the annual dividends by
the present stock price (Fidelity International, 2023). DY = annual dividend/current stock price Annual dividends =2.1975
Current stock price 56.50 GBX
DIY= 2.1975/56.50*100
=3.89%
Comparison of Valuation based on different models focusing on assumptions and limitations and advice
The assumption based on the asset valuation approach using the income capitalization method is
an investor utilizes today’s money to generate future earnings. It converts the income stream to
the sign of market value. People buy assets for future benefits or the income they will generate.
Investors also approximate the duration, quality, and quantity of the expected income stream.
However, the limitation of using this approach to value assets is accuracy relies on the validity of
the assumptions applied to approximate its main variables (CSBE, 2023).
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The dividend yield model is based on a presumption that the current stock price is fair and equals
the total of all the firm’s future dividends discounted back to its present value. However, its
limitation is the challenge of accurate forecasts, an aspect that fails to consider buybacks and its
basic assumptions of earnings only from the dividends (Chacko and Evans, 2014). DCF model of valuation assumes that the asset or company is projected to generate cash flows in
the given time frame. It considers the time value of money in which money today is worth more
in the coming years. The limitations to this model are susceptible to over-complexity, high
details level that can lead to overconfidence, and considering the firm valuation based on
isolation cases (Allee et al., 2020). However, despite these shortcomings, I may advise investors
and analysts to use the DCF model in valuation because it considers the time value of money and
focuses on details to decide the valuation of a company (Corporate Finance Institute, 2022). Conclusion The report has presented an analysis and evaluation of Currys Plc to determine its value based on
the DCF valuation model. The model has shown that Currys Plc.’s stock value could be
overvalued in the market. Further, the performance of Currys Plc in comparison to its
competitor, HFD has shown that the company has low liquidity, ROCE, and solvency issues but
its competitors seem to have a better financial position in the industry as it has presented strong
performance indicators based on the analysis of key ratios in major constituents.
11
Reference List Currys PLC. (2023). At a glance
. https://www.currysplc.com/about-us/at-a-glance/
Hargreaves Lansdown. (2023). Currys plc (CURY) ordinary 0.1p statements & reports
.
https://www.hl.co.uk/shares/shares-search-results/c/currys-plc-ordinary-0.1p/
financial-statements-and-reports
Lansdown, H. (2023). Halfords (HFD) ordinary 1p shares statements & reports
. Hargreaves
Lansdown. https://www.hl.co.uk/shares/shares-search-results/h/halfords-ordinary-1p-
shares/financial-statements-and-reports
MarketScreener.
(2023).
Currys
plc
.
https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/CURRYS-PLC-4002371/company/
Street, S. W. (2022, December 20). A look at the intrinsic value of Currys plc (LON:CURY)
.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/look-intrinsic-value-currys-plc-085834094.html
Wall
Street
Prep.
(2022,
August
26).
DCF
model
training
.
https://www.wallstreetprep.com/knowledge/dcf-model-training-6-steps-building-dcf-
model-excel/
Allee, K. D., Erickson, D., Esplin, A. M., & Yohn, T. L. (2020). The characteristics, valuation
methods, and information use of valuation specialists. Accounting Horizons
, 34
(3),
pp.23-38. Chacko, G., & Evans, C. L. (2014). Valuation: Methods and models in applied corporate
finance
. FT Press. Corporate Finance Institute. (2022, October 4).
DCF analysis pros & cons
.
https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/valuation/dcf-pros-and-cons/
CSBE. (2023). Lesson 20 - Summary (The Income Approach to Value)
. Retrieved March 30,
2023, from https://www.boe.ca.gov/info/iav/lesson20.htm
Fidelity International. (2023). Currys PLC share dividends | CURY | GB00B4Y7R145 | Fidelity
.
https://www.fidelity.co.uk/factsheet-data/factsheet/GB00B4Y7R145-currys-plc/
dividends
Lessambo, F. I. (2022). Financial ratios analysis. Financial Statements
, 6
(4), pp.229-275. Maynard, J. (2017). Financial accounting, reporting, and analysis
. Oxford University Press.
12
Michael, R., and Albert J., P. (2014). Ratios description. Financial Ratios for Executives
, 8
(2),
pp.7-105. Park, A. (2017). Financial ratio analysis: The guide for investors, managers, and small
business
. Savio, R. A., Kassaye, T. F., and Kumaravelu, S. V. (2019). Financial accounting, reporting
and analysis practices of NGO'S
. LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. Schroeder, R. G., Clark, M. W., and Cathey, J. M. (2019). Financial accounting theory and
analysis: Text and cases
. John Wiley & Sons. Sekhar, C. (2020). Financial ratio analysis: 45 ratios with theory & interpretation of financial
statements can useful for students, job interviews, investors, fund managers ..
. Chandra
Sekhar. Soffer, L. C., Revsine, L., Mittelstaedt, F., Daniel W. Collins, P., and Bruce Johnson, P. (2014).
Financial reporting and analysis
. McGraw-Hill Education. Weygandt, J. J., and Kimmel, P. D. (2022). Financial accounting with international financial
reporting standards
. John Wiley & Sons.
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Appendices Appendix 1: DCF Model Currys Plc Unlevered Free Cash Flows
Period (t)
2022A
2023P
2024P
2025P
2026P
2027P
Levered free cash flows(L)
222
151.8
104.7
124.7
88
78.6
Discount rate (r -
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
PV of UFCFs
138
86.52893
93.689
128.841
126.5861
Total PV
573.6447673
Terminal Value
Long-term growth rate 8%
PVFCFs
£573.64m
Terminal
value
(TV)=
FCF-
2027*(1+g) /(r-g)
long term growth rate 1%
2027 FCF
66
Terminal value =(£66m*(1+1.0%)/(10-
1.0%))
£ 527m
Present
value
of
terminal
value=(TV/(1+r)^5
327.2255373
PV of TV
£ 327.23m
Total Equity value 900.87
£900.87m
14
No. of current shares outstanding (2.67
million)
3
Equity Value 337.4044944
£333.74
DCF analysis for Currys Plc
market cap 923.8
n
enterprise value (equity value 900.87
Equity value/
share
Base on market price 345.9925094
according to the DCF analysis £333.74
Appendix 2: Performance of the Company based on ratio analysis Ratio Analysis as Key Performance of Currys Plc and Halfords Group (HFD) for Financial Year 2022
Amount
in
£million
Calculation of ratios
Ratio Categories Formula
Curry
Plc
HFD
Curry plc HFD
Profitability Ratios
Operating profit margin (%)
operating profit /Revenue
2.188485804
7.87821262
operating profit 222
108
Net sales revenue 10,144
1,370
Net profit Margin % Net profit /Revenue
0.699921136
5.67318925
Net profit
71
78
Net sales revenue 10,144
1,370
15
Liquidity Ratios
Current ratio (times)
CA/CL
0.790603034
0.92436764
Current assets(CA)
2,137
369
current liabilities (CL)
2,703
399
Cash ratio cash&cash equivalents/CL
0.046614872
0.11595292
Cash&cash equivalents
126
46
Current liabilities 2,703
399
Efficiency ratios
Asset turnover (Times)
Net sales revenue/TA
1.467380298
1.07159064
Net sales Revenue 10,144
1,370
Total Assets 6,913
1,278
Fixed asset turnover (Times)
Revenue /Total fixed assets
2.123953099
1.50671067
revenues
10,144
1,370
Total fixed assets
4,776
909
Financial Gearing ratios
Debt-to-equity ratio (%)
Total debt /total equity
176.4094362
131.960073
Total debt
4,412
727
Total equity 2,501
551
Equity ratio (%)
Total Equity/total assets
36.17821496
43.1108677
Total equity 2,501
551
Total asset 6,913
1,278
Investment Ratios
Return on Equity (ROE) %
Net income/ equity
2.838864454
14.1016334
Net income 71
78
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Shareholders' equity 2,501
551
ROCE (%)
EBIT/Capital Employed
EBIT
222
108
5.273159145
12.2781065
Capital employed (T.A -
C.L)
4,210
878.80
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Carrying Amount
$ 90,000 75,000 125,000 825,000 $1,115,000
$ 160,000 645,000 100,000 210,000 $1,115,000
Fair Value
$ 90,000 75,000 480,000 700,000 $1,345,000
$ 160,000 635,000
Patented technology
Total assets . . . . . . . .
................
................
Current liabilities . . . .Long-term liabilities. .Common stock . . . . .Retained earnings. . .Total liabilities and equities. . . . . . . . . . .
................ ................ ................ ................
LO 2-4, 2-5, 2-6b, 2-7
On that day, Zambrano paid cash to acquire all of the assets and liabilities of Soriano, which will cease to exist as a separate entity. To facilitate the merger, Zambrano also paid $100,000 to an investment banking firm.The following information was also…
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