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[QUESTION] [Problem 15.10]
The Totally Tubular Tube Company wishes to evaluate three new investment proposals. The firm
is concerned with the impact of the proposals on its total risk. Consequently, it has determined
expected values and standard deviations of the probability distributions of possible net present
values for the possible combinations of existing projects, E, and investment proposals under
consideration:
Which combination do you feel is most desirable? Which proposals should be accepted?
Which should be rejected?
[ANSWER]
The selection will depend on the risk preferences of the individual. Graphs of the plots are shown
below. For the reasonable risk averter, the selection will probably be combination E13, which has
an expected net present value of $7,500 and a standard deviation of $5,600. (The E(NPV) vs. CV
of NPV graph reinforces the implied preference for E13.) In this case, proposals #1 and #3 would
be accepted and proposal #2 would be rejected. It should be noted that the combination of
proposal #1 with existing investment projects results in an actual lowering of the standard
deviation. This implies negative correlation between the proposal and existing projects.
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Related Questions
How do I determine which is the correct answer for this problem? A company estimates that an average-risk project has a WACC of 10 percent, a below-average-risk project has a WACC of 8 percent, and an above-average-risk project has a WACC of 12 percent. Which of the following independent projects should the company accept? a. Project A has average risk and an IRR = 9 percent. b. Project B has below-average risk and an IRR = 8.5 percent. c. Project C has above-average risk and an IRR = 11 percent. d. All of the projects above should be accepted. e. None of the projects above should be accepted.
Please answer fast I give you upvote.
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6. Sensitivity and scenario analysis
Different techniques for analyzing project risk require different input variables and assumptions.
Suppose you are using the sensitivity analysis technique to evaluate project risk. You would change
in the model to evaluate the effect of the input factors on the expected value.
one input variable at a time
several input variables together
Zeva is a risk analyst. She is conducting a sensitivity analysis to evaluate the riskiness of a new project that her
company is considering investing in. Her risk analysis report includes the sensitivity curve shown on the graph.
NPV (Millions of dollars)
Base Case
NPV
Base Case
Price
-30 -24 -18 -12 -6 0 6 12
18 24 30
CHANGES IN SELLING PRICE (Percent)
This curve implies that the project is very sensitive to changes in the price of the product. The project's NPV is likely
to become negative if the price for which the product can be sold decreases by
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Consider the following statement about real options:
Sometimes real options can give managers the flexibility to decide to invest in a project or wait to make a more calculated decision.
True or False: The preceding statement is correct.
True
False
Which type of real option allows a project to be expanded if demand turns out to be greater than expected?
Expansion option
Flexibility option
Abandonment option
Timing option
Consider the following example:
King Snowplows began operations in New York City two years ago. As an independent contractor, the company does the majority of its business working for the city. The company also had offers from surrounding cities in New Jersey and Long Island, but these offers would have required the company to invest in additional snowplows—which have high up-front costs. King Snowplows decided to purchase only the snowplows necessary to handle its contract with New York City. The company…
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(a) If you apply the payback decision rule, which investment will you choose? Why?
(b) If you apply the NPV decision rule, which investment will you choose? Why?
(c) If you apply the IRR decision rule, which investment will you choose? Why?
(d) Based on your answers of (a) to (c), which project will you (eventually) choose? Why?
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A financial analyst is evaluating the following projects, which are mutually exclusive, meaning that only one of them can be
chosen. Based on financial theory and the NPV criterion, which one of these projects should be chosen over the other three?
Time
A
C
D
-26,000
-7,200 -14,500 -19,600
8,100
11,900 8,100
2,360
8.600
1,150
10,000 2,120
5,700
800
11,100 11,00O0
4,200
850
1,130
9,800
12,480
9,700 830
11,600
Discount
13.9%
13.9% 13.9% 13.9%
Rate
O Project A
O Project B
O Project C
O Project D
O12 345
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I need help matching the defintions with the words, thank you.
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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?
a.
An NPV profile graph shows how a project's payback varies as the cost of capital changes.
b.
The NPV profile graph for a normal project will generally have a positive (upward) slope as the life of the project increases.
c.
An NPV profile graph is designed to give decision makers an idea about how a project's risk varies with its life.
d.
An NPV profile graph is designed to give decision makers an idea about how a project's contribution to the firm's value varies with the cost of capital.
e.
We cannot draw a project's NPV profile unless we know the appropriate WACC for use in evaluating the project's NPV.
Provide explanation for the choice
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Suppose that California Co., a U.S.-based MNC that invests in projects all over the world, is analyzing potential projects in various countries in
an attempt to pursue diversification.
The following graph, which measures risk along the horizontal axis and expected returns along the vertical axis, depicts a point for each
potential project in a different country. The blue curve represents the frontier of efficient project portfolios.
Use the graph to answer the question that follows.
EXPECTED RETURN
Frontier of Efficient Project Portfolios
True
E
In comparison to project F, project B has
False
RISK
A
expected returns and has
?
True or False: A more aggressive firm would prefer a portfolio comprised mostly of projects similar to project E.
risk.
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7. Introduction to real options
Consider the following statement about real options:
Sometimes real options can give managers the flexibility to decide to invest in a project or wait to make a more calculated decision.
A. True or False: The preceding statement is correct.
True
False
B. Which type of real option allows a firm to postpone a project until it can gather more information?
Flexibility option
Expansion option
Abandonment option
Timing option
Consider the following example:
Clemens Inc. is considering a $100 million investment in a new line of soft drinks. However, $100 million is a huge investment for Clemens; if things turn bad, it could wipe out the company. A few senior managers have suggested a smaller investment of $20 million to see if the market is as strong as they hope it is. If demand is strong and the opportunity is still available, Clemens will increase its investment at a later date.…
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Consider the following statement about real options:
The value of a real option is found by taking the difference between the expected NPV of a project with the option and the expected NPV of the project without the option.
True or False: The preceding statement is correct.
False
True
Which type of real option allows a firm to shut down a project if its cash flows are lower than expected?
Investment timing option
Flexibility option
Abandonment option
Growth option
King Snowplows began operations in New York City two years ago. As an independent contractor, the company does the majority of its business working for the city. The company also had offers from surrounding cities in New Jersey and Long Island, but these offers would have required the company to invest in additional snowplows—which have high up-front costs. King Snowplows decided to purchase only the snowplows necessary to handle its contract with New York…
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A company is considering three alternative Investment projects with different net cash flows. The present value of net cash flows is
calculated using Excel and the results follow.
Potential Projects
Present value of net cash flows (excluding initial investment)
Initial investment
Complete this question by entering your answers in the tabs below.
a. Compute the net present value of each project.
b. If the company accepts all positive net present value projects, which of these will It accept?
c. If the company can choose only one project, which will it choose on the basis of net present value?
Required A Required B
Compute the net present value of each project.
Potential Projects
Project A
Present value of net cash flows
Initial investment
Net present value
Required C
Project E
Project C
$10,685
(10,000)
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I need solutions for questions d, e, f, g, h and i. Thanks
d. Are this project’s cash flows likely to be positively or negatively correlated withreturns on Cory’s other projects and with the economy, and should this matter in youranalysis? Explain.e. Unrelated to the new product, Cory is analyzing two mutually exclusive machines thatwill upgrade its manufacturing plant. These machines are considered average-riskprojects, so management will evaluate them at the firm’s 10% WACC. Machine Xhas a life of 4 years, while Machine Y has a life of 2 years. The cost of each machineis $60,000; however, Machine X provides after-tax cash flows of $25,000 per year for4 years and Machine Y provides after-tax cash flows of $42,000 per year for 2 years. Themanufacturing plant is very successful, so the machines will be repurchased at the endof each machine’s useful life. In other words, the machines are “repeatable” projects.1. Using the replacement chain method, what is the NPV of the better machine?2.…
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Suppose that you found the probabilities and expected NPVs of 3 scenarios for a timing option:
E(NPV) probability
$0.15 0.30
$10.35 0.50
$42 0.20
1. What is the expected NPV of the timing option? Show your work.
2. Suppose, that the expected NPV of the project if proceeding today is $14. Should the project be delayed based on your finding in part 1 or should the management implement it today? Briefly explain.
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I asked this question before, but for some reason, even though it was answred I cannot see it, it marks an error when I try to open it. So here it is again:
Comparing Investment Criteria. Define each of the following investment rules and discuss any potential shortcomings of each. In your definition, state the criterion for accepting or rejecting independent projects under each rule. a. Payback period. b. Internal rate of return. c. Profitability index. d. Net present value.
Thank you!
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Man.1
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Mike Riskless is considering two projects. He has estimated the IRR for each under three possible scenarios and assigned probabilities of occurrence to each scenario.
State of Economy
Probability
Estimated BTIRR Investment I
Estimated BTIRR Investment II
Optimistic
0.20
0.15
0.20
Most likely
0.60
0.10
0.15
Pessimistic
0.20
0.05
0.05
1.00
Riskless is aware that the pattern of returns for Investment II looks very attractive relative to Investment I; however, he believes that Investment II could be more risky than Investment I. He would like to compare the two investments considering both the risk and return on each.
Required:
a. Compute BTIRR under each of the three possible scenarios.
b. Compute variance and standard deviation of the IRRs.
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Related Questions
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