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An assessment of risk management in the
Indian Banking Industry during Covid 19
Contents
Chapter-1: Introduction and Background
..............................................................................................
3
Introduction
.......................................................................................................................................
3
Rationale/background of the study
...................................................................................................
3
Aim and Objectives
............................................................................................................................
5
Chapter-2 Literature Review
..................................................................................................................
7
Evaluating the Impact of Risk Management
......................................................................................
9
Chapter-3: Research Design and Methodology
....................................................................................
13
Research Paradigm
..........................................................................................................................
13
Sampling
..........................................................................................................................................
13
Research Design
...............................................................................................................................
13
Data Collection Process
...................................................................................................................
14
Ethics in Business Research
.............................................................................................................
14
Chapter-4: Data Analysis
......................................................................................................................
16
Potential Outcome
...............................................................................................................................
18
References
...........................................................................................................................................
19
Chapter-1: Introduction and Background
Introduction
The banking business corporation in India has an extended history, spanning conventional
banking practice and bringing the reform in the banking sector starting from the
nationalization to the private sector and forming the cutting-edge influx by corporate
institutions[ CITATION Anu22 \l 1033 ]. As a result, banking in India has had an extended
journey. With time, India`s banking corporation has likewise risen to new heights. The usage
of technology has revolutionized the banking corporation`s strolling style. Nonetheless, the
middle abilities of banking, which include belief and public self-perception withinside the
institution, stay unchanged. The majority of banks preserve to be successful by maintaining
the feel of their shareholders and extraordinary stakeholders.[ CITATION San20 \l 1033 ].
It has been seen in COVID times that the global financial system went through some hard
times, which incorporate bankruptcies and, financial corporation failures, debt crises in key
economies in the course of the world crisis[ CITATION Emm20 \l 1033 ]. The state of affairs
grew quite unclear, resulting in a hang withinside the financial machine. Massive economies,
including America and Europe, will increase extreme issues regarding the survival of the
various industries; The banking sector of India has been one of the few to live stable.
Resilience in Indian banking organizations has tried to recover at a breakneck pace in state-
of-the-art years[ CITATION Ran20 \l 1033 ].
Rationale/background of the study
The COVID19 pandemic had a primary effect on the economy. The Reserve Bank of India,
India`s pinnacle bank, has made applicable coverage adjustments to fight the COVID-19
epidemic with the assistance of experts. The complete Indian banking device struggles with
numerous obstacles, including liquidity problems and the Reserve Bank of India's discounts
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REPO rates. The Reserve Bank of India has determined to present clients’ destruction by
extending the compensation duration because many are suffering from reaping their
goals[ CITATION Arc21 \l 1033 ]. This study paper aims to analyze the adjustments made via
form means of the RBI due to COVID19 and the effect of COVID-19 on the Indian banking
area in general. The COVID-19 pandemic might be one of the most devastating threats to the
monetary offering’s enterprise within the first century. The effect of COVID19 on banks is a
tremendous decline in demand, a decline in income, and a downturn in production, all of
which affect the bank`s operations[ CITATION Arc211 \l 1033 ]. As organizations deal with
the effect of COVID-19 on monetary offerings, the hassle is exacerbated through exertion
shortages, loss of virtual maturity, and stress on current infrastructure. Banks are complete
in the technique of the brand-new coronavirus epidemic COVID-19[ CITATION Ran21 \l
1033 ]. As the virus spreads worldwide, debtors and organizations are liable to dropping
jobs, sales, and income. Banking clients may also search for monetary assistance.
A pandemic significantly affects the monetary machine as it has a massive impact on the
financial system. To cope with the direct economic outcomes of the coronavirus, banks want
to plot to defend personnel and clients from the unfolding of the virus. Many establishments
already inspire sure people to paint from home. The cause of this newsletter is to expose
how the COVID19 pandemic influences the banking and monetary sectors[ CITATION TAr22 \l
1033
]. According to the Bank of India, an epidemic of the Indian coronavirus may want to
wipe out its economic machine for years. Banks are in the middle of the financial system and
offer capital to agencies and individuals to preserve the device up and running its miles vital
that they may be stable[ CITATION Ras22 \l 1033 ].
The Indian financial system is closely dependent on banks. This paper seeks to perceive the
causal effect of an epidemic like Covid 19 on banks because of the blockade. As a result, all
commercial, educational, authority, and personal workplace places were closed.
Aim and Objectives
There has been a disproportionate impact of COVID on all the sectors, but the banking
sector, being the backbone of the Indian economy becomes a very crucial sector; the mark
on this industry and what measures have been adopted by the banks to cope with this shock
became the essential factor that needs to be analyzed and discussed with the help of this
paper. The main objective which the paper focus includes:
-
What efforts should be made to reduce the impact of the Covid19 epidemic on the
banking sector?
Due to the outbreak of this virus in the current situation, Indian banks need to evaluate
their portfolio of assets and liabilities in all of the above conditions to understand the
adverse effects quickly. This current economic environment has created a higher level of
stress analysis that may directly affect the existing settlements of the Indian Bank.
Identifying high-risk sectors/areas and reassessing credit-related risk reserves in various
economic scenarios is inevitable.
-
What are the main issues facing the Indian banking sector at Covid19?
A critical production unit was shut down or only partially started. The entertainment,
aviation, and tourism industries have all suffered significant losses. As a result, market
liquidity needs to be improved to reduce NPA. This is a severe problem for the banking
sector. RBI supplied the system with about 3.2 per cent of GDP[ CITATION End21 \l 1033 ].
Banks can now lend to rebuild or maintain a heavily damaged sector while mitigating risk.
Today, many SMEs and SMEs are on the verge of collapse, indicating an increasing credit
default situation.
RBI recognizes Moratorium as a safety net, but not enough to meet the
needs of the industry
-
How does India's banking system prepare itself against the risk of the economic impact
of Covid19?
The preparation of the Indian banking industry depends on the long-term viability of the
virus and the magnitude and severity of the shock that will hurt the economy. In this
epidemic era, the banking sector’s future is heavily dependent on policy-making and
implementation. There is an urgent need for the Reserve Bank of India's positive attitude
and stable role. However, the primary purpose of the RBI was to lower the repo rate and
improve the economy’s liquidity. According to CRISIL`s current estimates, the banking
enterprise will face an 11.5% growth in non-appearing loans with the aid of March
subsequent year.[ CITATION Ran21 \l 1033 ] This creates uncertainty withinside the banking
enterprise and might cause a "funding corpus important for patron discouragement and a
speedy financial recovery." Due to the consequences of the pandemic, there may be a loss
of coins to hold liquidity, which could bring about widespread coin surpluses, and people,
groups, or businesses won't utilize this massive corpus. This paper tries to understand the
time; however, despite the short-term reassurance, it cannot be trusted that policies made
are enough without measuring demand.
-
The objective is also to understand the role of the reserve bank of India, the central body
of the banking system, as the policies are made and implemented by the RBI, and
analysis of the risk management policies made by the main body to deal with future
pandemic situations are also discussed in this paper.
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Chapter-2 Literature Review
This chapter aims to view the Indian banking industry impact that has been caused due to
the pandemic; this study also aims to view various theories and the changes that have been
occurred after the pandemic hit the industry, and last but not least, the chapter seeks to
consider in details the objective of the study.
Influence area of COVID-19 on the Indian Banking system:
After the crisis, banks and monetary establishments had been under exquisite stress to
preserve their commercial enterprise as usual. Banking transactions, including coin deposits,
withdrawals, coin assessments, and different everyday counter offerings will now be
performed simultaneously while protecting a safe distance of at least 1 meter.[ CITATION
Ras22 \l 1033 ] Bank tellers are trying to apply pliers and steam irons to sterilize
assessments, which have become a warm subject on social media. In the face of
emergencies, operational and technical obstacles for each client and personnel have
discovered the loss of adaptability and standard loss of adaptability in our monetary system.
The instant classes found from the cutting-edge COVID 19 trouble will deliver the coveted
rigour to digitizing and optimizing banks` back-quit operations. Within a bank, this reduces
reliance on guide entry, face-to-face (i.e., paper) verification, and personnel intervention. It
is an excellent possibility for utilities to paintings tough to combine era and growth
purchaser acceptance. Other Indian Banks (both public and private) are already online with
certain essential banking services and transformed by digitizing all features, processes, and
systems have been completed. Focus on Legacy banks and financial institutions in India will
also consider collaborating with new entrants and fintech. These needs-driven partnerships
drive innovation and enable banks and FinTech to leverage each other's large customer base
and new technologies[ CITATION Ran21 \l 1033 ].
Are Indian banks ready to assimilate such future events?
The dilemma of the banking quarter is predicted at around 166 lakh crore; it isn't always
over yet [ CITATION End21 \l 1033 ]. As a result of GST, many small and medium-sized
enterprises (MSMEs) were wiped out, forcing banks to rebuild many of their MSME loans.
The massive loss in revenue and the capital being wiped out show that a consecutive
pandemic will dreadfully impact the banking industry if a consecutive pandemic occurs
shortly[ CITATION Emm20 \l 1033 ].
Loss of faith in the banking sector:
For the first time in decades, the Reserve Bank of India has shut down its private bank. The
regulatory moratorium is a last resort, as the PCA framework is available to bring banks back
to a healthy state. Yet the bank's balance sheet over three rack chores was enough to boost
the stock market, the collapse of the Punjab & Maharashtra Cooperative Bank (PMC) Bank
and Jesus Bank, multilateral co-operative banks, has once again highlighted the issue of a
bank trust. The government has also raised the deposit insurance limit per depositor per
bank from 1 rupee to 5 rupees [ CITATION Sha212 \l 1033 ]. All but a few Indian banks are
well funded, but the current blunder has shaken small depositors' confidence in the banking
industry.
Revenue pressure on Banks:
Retail and corporate profits are collapsing, with underlying spending and transactions
declining by 10. When central banks around the world lower interest rates, banks lower
yields to attract business and significantly reduce net margins. A general slowdown in
economic activity negatively impacts revenue from payment transactions and other fee-
based services. Banks' cash flow has been hit by policies such as the lending moratorium.
Banks can also use cashback and loyalty programs to stimulate spending in the areas of
greatest need[ CITATION Kan20 \l 1033 ].
Evaluating the Impact of Risk Management
After the COVID19 epidemic, regulatory corporations have set new liquidity limits to ensure
liquidity availability within the economic quarter and avoid unfavourable consequences.
Banks' lending ability is impaired with the EU union; Authority (EBA) states that it exists all
through the EU, and the pressure to look could be postponed[ CITATION Emm20 \l 1033 ].
Regardless of peace of thought, it stays up for professional. The economic enterprise will go
through principal modifications withinside the coming years. According to the defects
recognized via means of COVID, 19 is a country of emergency.
During this time, threat
control may be significant with customer self-belief in instances of the disaster of the
balance of the economic system. In our opinion, short-time, medium-time, and long-time
periods influence many areas. Improving strategic responses centred on alternating the
threat control method, processes, and structures is also very important[ CITATION San20 \l
1033 ].
The resilience of Banking Operations:
In the COVID era, it became essential for banks to achieve operational resilience. Regulators
in certain areas have already made recommendations. Banks need to focus on improving
operational resilience. Regulatory agencies around the world take action is expected. At
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some point, similar needs arise. Building the concept of operational resilience goes beyond
operational risk. Banks are already implementing business continuity plans.
Identify business services where disruption can threaten customer and market trust.
Setting immune limits
Testing resilience by exposure to a variety of complex but reliable situations
Develop skills and communication strategies to help
recover from stressful situations as
quickly as possible
Scenario Inadequacy:
Banks build scenarios based on previous financial market events, such as Black Monday in
1987 and the financial crisis in 2008. Economic scenarios are the most familiar future
scenarios for deceleration, geopolitical tensions, etc. The Trade War and the Middle East
Conflict between the United States and China. As a result, the geographic impact of these s
narrows the scope of the possibilities. If risk events are already in progress, they will be
executed from a strategic point of view and seen from above. In retrospect, the 2003 SARS
outbreak can be seen as a success. This is considered a warm-up for the COVID-19
pandemic, but few know it[ CITATION TAr22 \l 1033
]. They would have done so if the banks
were evaluating or explaining it. The Indian Bank would have to monitor the impact of
transfers by expanding and analyzing the scope of the situation.
Implementation of broad stress testing capabilities:
Regarding corporate stress testing, the Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR)
method was implemented by the Indian Banks as it covers many risks such as credit,
markets, and counterparties. On the other hand, the time required to run a test ranges from
a few weeks.
In addition, at most banks in the company, individual risk departments usually
do not perform stress tests. Perform internal stress tests in each risk area and communicate
the results[ CITATION Bab20 \l 1033 ]. Different risk classes have other effects. It is difficult to
predict when the COVID 19 problem will end and what it means for risk leaders in the world
economy. As a result, the (CRO) needs to run the scenario in different situations. It quantifies
the impact on all risk categories of different economic severity. Discuss survey results with
senior management to ensure timely delivery and take intelligent measures to reduce the
effect.
The changes which can be bought in the stress testing scenario include:
Explore the steps, systems, and infrastructure used to run what-if scenarios, and develop
strategies to make the necessary adjustments to acquire computing and reporting
capabilities during the day. Includes severe potential risk scenarios in the banks.
However, expanding the scope of stress testing requires compelling methods. Natural
Language Processing (NLP) model will be used for acquisitions Banks can discover
exciting trends in India.
Assess the effectiveness of the internal model in addition to the early signs of an
imminent problem. Identify all risk variables and assess their validity. Make sure the data
is sufficient and check the assumptions. Approach to determine if the model is moderate
Assess risk and take corrective action as needed.
Efficiency and Cost Optimization:
The short-term to medium-term focus is on reducing costs and improving efficiency. High-
risk could be processed by robotics, Process automation
(RPA ), Machine learning
(ML ),
Natural language processing (NLP ), and Risk owners working with cognitive RPA was
improvement done in the Indian banking Industry. This effectively becomes the focus of
attention [ CITATION Dil21 \l 1033 ]. This level of automation is impressive. In return, efforts
supported by advanced technology helped. The use of banking clouds, enhancing
operational resilience, is also increasing. His ability to make things work inspires you. Ease of
use and flexibility by reducing costs Maintenance costs associated with on-premises
hardware; however, before making a significant cloud migration, consider the following:
Banks need to perform risk assessments using various risk management programs.
Perform
a cost-benefit analysis to quantify the actual economic savings[ CITATION Emm20 \l 1033 ].
Risk and Finance Alignment by Indian Banking Industry:
Capital and cash are tight during a disaster, just like the COVID19 outbreak. The go-back
needs to be commensurate with the extent of danger taken. Reliability and Metrics, like the
danger-adjusted return on capital, are accurate (RAROC) and valuable to authorities’ capital
funding options and control[ CITATION Ran20 \l 1033 ]. For the signs to be reliable, these
have to be aligned with the danger and monetary feature of a working result than simply
ensuring that sufficient reserves are available. They lack out if banks don`t have a lively
economic and risk adjustment program. While banks in India have taken measures on this
route, Program control has to ensure that its miles are pushed through essential goals.
Instead of focusing entirely on fee reduction, recall the subsequent enterprise outcomes
have been in focus[ CITATION Arc211 \l 1033 ].
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Chapter-3: Research Design and Methodology
Research Paradigm
This section describes the research paradigm which explores the philosophical aspect of the
research. The research paradigm is the conceptual framework of the research which is used
by the researcher to understand and implement the components of the research
process[ CITATION Abd204 \l 1033 ]. The conceptual framework of the research paradigm
guides the researcher in choosing the appropriate research process for the study. This will
help the researcher to implement the most suitable research strategy and research process
for performing the research. For this research, the research paradigm of interpretivism will
be implemented for the data collection and data analysis process. The researcher following
the interpretivism research paradigm believes that human behaviour is influenced by various
situations and circumstances[ CITATION Reh16 \l 1033 ].
Sampling
Since this research paper does not use any primary data, so there will be no need of
implementing any sampling approach or data. The sampling method is viable in cases where
there are human participants involved in collecting relevant data in a research process.
Research Design
There are two types of research strategies that are implemented in research. These are
quantitative research methods and qualitative research methods. To collect relevant data for
performing the research study, primary or secondary data sources can be used[ CITATION
Cre03 \l 1033 ]. The quantitative research method deals with the numerical aspect of the
research process while the qualitative research method deals with the theoretical aspect of
the study. This paper implements the qualitative research methodology as it is related to the
assessment of risk management in the Indian Banking Industry during covid times. The
qualitative research method will be best suited for this study as it aims at knowing answers
to framed research questions and understanding the risk management process in the Indian
banking industry during Covid-19.
Data Collection Process
Data collection is a crucial part of the research process as it helps in generating the relevant
information for achieving the research objectives and defining the crucial components of the
research. The secondary sources will be used to collect the required data[ CITATION Zia21 \l
1033 ]. To collect this data, various academic papers, articles, publications, annual reports
and policy statements will be reviewed[ CITATION Ala14 \l 1033 ]. Authentic and reliable
platforms like Google Scholar, IEEE, Science Direct and official websites will be used which
will provide information about the need for risk management in the Indian Banking Industry
due to the challenges faced due to the Covid-19 pandemic. The use of secondary sources
will also provide various benefits to the researchers as the information will be obtained from
the most trusted and valid sources. This method is also cost-effective and time-saving in
comparison to the primary sources and will aim at extracting meaningful information from
the materials which have been already published[ CITATION Gha10 \l 1033 ]. To achieve
reliable and valid results, only the latest papers will be included and the use of any outdated
data will be avoided.
Ethics in Business Research
Research ethics is an important part of the research process as it helps in ensuring that the
research has been performed by following all ethical practices which also gives accurate and
valid research outcomes. The implementation of ethical considerations in the business
research also ensures that the researcher has not performed misconduct or
misinterpretation of the data during the data collection process[ CITATION Ngo18 \l 1033 ].
In this research as well, all ethical considerations have been considered by the researcher.
Prime importance has been given to the presence of plagiarism in the research paper which
can affect the accuracy of the research outcomes. Therefore, the researcher has strictly
ensured that all the collected information has been presented in a unique language and
nothing has been used as it is from the published source without giving any credit to the
original researchers[ CITATION Ngo18 \l 1033 ]. In case, there is any such information in the
paper that cannot be presented in a unique language, it will be presented in quotations so
that it can be identified by the tutor easily. Overall, the implementation of ethical
considerations and practices in the research process will help the researcher to develop and
provide an original and reliable piece of work.
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Chapter-4: Data Analysis
In this research, thematic analysis is the best-suited technique of data analysis to be
implemented.
Thematic analysis is a qualitative method of data analysis that is a process of
reading through datasets like transcripts from focus groups and in-depth interviews and
identifying meaningful insights from the patterns across the data so that themes can be
derived. In simple words, thematic analysis is a study of patterns of meaning where themes
within the data set are analysed so that meaning can be identified[ CITATION Kig20 \l
16393 ]. The process of thematic analysis is driven by the research questions which focus on
the key aspects that relate to the research questions of the research.
Thematic analysis is most suitable for this research study as it allows for dividing and
categorizing large amounts of data so that meaning can be derived easily. This data analysis
technique is useful for deriving subjective information like views, experiences and opinions
of the participants’ data which is assessed from interviews, conversations, and surveys. The
deductive approach of thematic analysis will be further implemented to derive the
subjective information from the collected information.
Thematic analysis is a powerful and flexible method of analysing qualitative data to
understand thoughts, experiences and behaviours across a dataset[ CITATION Kig20 \l
16393 ]. It enables the researcher to generate new concepts and insights derived from data.
The process of implementing the thematic analysis involves a six-step process. These steps
are:
Familiarizing yourself with your data
Generating initial codes and assigning preliminary codes to data to describe the
content
Searching for themes or patterns in the codes
Reviewing themes
Defining and naming themes
Producing the report
Gantt Chart
Activities/Weeks
March
(10-
March-
31, 2022)
April-01
(20-
April,
2022)
April21-
April-30,
2022)
May 1-
May-15,
2022)
May-11,
May-29,
2022)
May
(15-Jun
10,
2022)
June
(11-
June-20,
2022)
Framing
Research
Introduction
Developing Aims
and Objectives
Developing
rationale for the
study
Drafting
Literature
Review
Implementing
Research
Methodology
Review of
proposal and
tutor feedback
Submission of
the final
research
proposal
Potential Outcome
COVID19 could be one of the most critical issues the financial services sector has ever faced.
The impact on banks is a significant decline in demand, a decline in profits, and a decline in
production, all of which negatively impact the bank's operations. The staff shortage, lack of
digital awareness and the pressure on infrastructure development have exacerbated the
problem of the Indian banking system. As the virus spreads worldwide, borrowers and
businesses are at risk of unemployment, lost sales, and lost profits. Bank customers can
apply for financial assistance. Pandemics significantly impact the financial system due to
their high financial costs.
To address the economic consequences of the coronavirus, banks also need to plan
strategies to protect staff and customers from the spread of the virus. Institutions already
encourage certain workers to work from home. This article aims to show how the covid19
pandemic affects the banking and financial sectors. According to the Bank of India, an
outbreak of the Indian coronavirus could not wipe out the financial system for years. Banks
are the centre part of the economy and provide capital to both individuals and businesses.
For the system to stay up and run, it must be stable.
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