PE2023_PS1_Solutions (1)

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Nov 24, 2024

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Prof. Casella Political Economy - W4370 Fall 2023 Problem Set 1 Solutions Problem 1 Consider the case of the firm and fishery discussed in class. There is a firm producing a good in quantity x , at cost (to the firm) of c ( x ) = 2 x 3 . In the course of production, the firm pollutes the nearby lake that is also the site of the fishery. The effect of the pollution is to reduce the value of the fishery’s production by e ( x ) = 24 x 2 , so that the damage is dependent on and is increasing in x . Assume that the firm receives a price r = 54 per unit of good that it produces. Please answer the following questions - 1. What is the level of production chosen by the firm, absent regulations and negotiations with the fishery? The firm chooses x to maximize its profit which is given by 54 x 2 x 3 . Taking the first order derivative of the profit function and setting it equal to 0, we get that the firm will choose x = 3. (Always check the SOC to make sure this is a maximum, not a minimum.) 2. What is the efficient level of production? The efficient level of production, denoted by x , is the output level which maximizes the sum of profits of the firm and the fishery which is given by 54 x 2 x 3 + k 24 x 2 , where k is the part of the revenue of the fishery assumed to be exogenously given. Taking the first order derivative of the sum of profits with respect to x and setting it equal to 0, we get that x = 1. (Always check the SOC.) 3. What is the correct Pigouvian tax? Let t be the required Pigouvian tax. This means that if we set a proportionate tax on output of the firm at rate t and then ask the firm to maximize its profit, it should choose x found in part 2 above. The firm’s profit becomes 54 x 2 x 3 tx . Thus, t is the solution of the equation 54 6( x ) 2 t = 0. So the Pigouvian tax is t = 48. 4. Suppose that the regulator knew only the externality function e ( x ). (a) Suppose the regulator set a tax per unit that, for any x , equals the marginal externality at that x , i.e., a unit tax equal to e ( x ). The firm then chooses x to maximize rx c ( x ) e ( x ) x . Would the firm’s choice correspond to x CP ? Why? 1
Observe that e ( x ) = 48 x . If the regulator sets the tax equal to e ( x ) i.e. the firm’s profit becomes 54 x 2 x 3 48 x 2 , then the firm will choose a different value of x than that of x found in part 2 above. There are two ways to see this. One is by simply comparing the two objective functions. An alternate way is to solve for the value of x that maximizes 54 x 2 x 3 48 x 2 and show that this differs from x . (b) Can you think of another type of taxation that would lead the firm to achieve the first best (given that the regulator only knows e ( x ))? Imposing, for any x , a total tax on the firm of e ( x ) would work. Note though that it is important that these taxes be transfers within the full system (including some tax payers not otherwise affected) - otherwise we are changing the social welfare. For example if we ignore the tax recipients, the sum of profits becomes rx c ( x ) e ( x ) + k e ( x ), which then has a different efficient level. So the solution is to tax the firm e ( x ) and give a subsidy of e ( x ) to the fishery. (c) And if the regulator only knows c ( x ) - is there some regulation it could impose on the firm and/or fishery such that x = x CP ? If the regulator knows c ( x ), she can just communicate it to the fishery and let it negotiate with the firm. However the regulator’s message must be credible. Problem 2 We can think of the exploitation of nature as a problem of the commons: there is a common resource on which property rights are not defined or enforced, and economic actors race to exploit it for their private benefit. How can this be stopped or reduced? In a class I taught two years ago, a student had an idea. The set-up is the following: There are n logging firms who can cut trees from the local old-growth forest. The number of trees each firm i cuts is denoted by x i , where x i can take any value between 0 and a maximum per firm of 100. Each tree costs c to cut (fixed and equal for all firms) and, if brought to the market, is worth p to the firm, with p > c . Monitoring is feasible and the x i ’s are observable. Enforcing fines is also feasible, but costly: each fine costs the government more than the revenue of the fine. For simplicity, suppose that the government loses a net value d per logging firm fined, regardless of the level of the fine (more expensive fines are also more expensive to collect). The government’s budget B is large ( B > dn ); thus it is feasible and credible for the government to fine all firms, but it is also expensive. The firms decide simultaneoulsy how many trees to cut. 2
The newly elected mayor is concerned about the environmental damage but wants to minimize the expenditure in enforcement. She establishes a new rule: (1) The firm which cuts the most trees will have them all seized by the gov- ernment; all other firms are not targeted; (2) If multiple firms all tie for the maximal number of trees cut, then all such firms have their trees seized. A common notion of “equilibrium” in economics is a set of actions such that each agent’s action is optimal for the agent, given what the others’s actions are. (It is an equilibrium because no agent has an incentive to change behavior). 1. (5 points) Is there an equilibrium such that all firms cut 100 trees? Con- sider the problem from the perspective of firm i . Suppose all other ( n 1) firms cut 100 trees. How many trees does firm i want to cut? Does your reasoning allow you to answer the question? No. If all other ( n 1) firms cut 100 trees, firm i should cut 99 and avoid being expropriated. There cannot be an equil where all firms cut 100 trees. 2. (3 points) Is there an equilibrium where firms all cut the same positive number of trees x > 0? No. Same argument as above. If all others cut x trees, it is advantageous to cut ( x 1). The conjectured equil unravels. This applies even for x = 1, since moving to x i = 0 means saving costs c . 3. (4 points) Is there an equilibrium where all firms cut different but positive numbers of trees: x i > 0 for all i ? No. The firms cutting the largest number of trees has the incentive to deviate and cut 1 tree less than the second highest. 4. (3 points) Is there an equilibrium such that no trees are cut at all (i.e. x i = 0 for all i )? Yes. In fact, by the arguments above, it is the unique equil. 5. (5 points) How much does the policy cost? The policy does not cost anything. Tree logging is observable, and there is no logging and hence no fines. Note however that the threat must be credible–the mayor’s promise to possibly fine all firms (if all cut the same, positive number of trees, must be feasible. Although the mayor’s defense of the forest has supporters, her willingness to set aside all the resources that may be required to enforce logging fines is questioned. It is then decided that a maximum budget B can be dedicated to the forest, where B = αdn , with 1 /n < α < 1: that is, more than one, but only a maximum fraction α of all firms can be fined. 6. (5 points) Firms decide how much to log based on expected profits, taking into account the probability of the lumber being seized if the firm is among the maximal cutters. What is the maximum value of α for which an equil where all firms cut 100 trees may now exist? 3
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Suppose all firms cut 100 trees. Then each is fined with prob α . Thus expected profits are i (100) = (1 α )( p c )100 αc 100. Individual deviation to 99 trees yields profits: i (99) = 99( p c ). Hence individual deviation is strictly profitable for all α > ( p c ) / (100 p ), and the maximum value of α for which an equil where all firms cut 100 trees exists is α = ( p c ) / (100 p ) 7. (5 points) And what is the minimum value of α such that your answer to (4) above do not change? Since α > 1 /n , any firm that increases logging while all others are at x = 0 is sure to be fined. Hence an equil with 0 trees cut exists for all values of α in the specified interval (i.e. in (1 /n, 1)). Our environmentalist mayor, sharply opposed by the tree-logging interests, loses the next elections. The new mayor decides that some industrial growth is necessary for the area, but should be balanced with its costs. He estimates the total negative externality suffered by the community at E = (1 / 2)( n i =1 x i ) 2 . 8. (5 points) Define total welfare as the sum of the firms’ total profits minus the negative externality suffered by the community. What is the total number of trees ( n i =1 x i ) that maximizes total welfare? Total profits Π = n i =1 π i = i ( p c ) x i (1 / 2)( n i =1 x i ) 2 = ( p c ) X (1 / 2) X 2 if we denote X n i =1 x i . Hence the answer is X = ( p c ) . (Deriving n first order conditions, in terms of { x 1 , x 2 , .., x n } will yield the same result. That solution is fine too). Now the problem is how to achieve just that total number. The mayor thinks that this is a good case for a Pigouvian tax because there is no information problem– p,c , and the function E are all known. However, even ignoring possible difficulties of enforcement, there seems to be a problem. 9. (5+5 points) Try solving the individual firm’s problem at the correct level of the Pigouvian tax t . (i) What is the correct level of t ? (ii) Do you find a well-identified solution? The correct value of the Pigouvian tax is the marginal value of the externality evaluated at the optimum. Hence t = X at X = p c , or t = p c . But then the firm’s problem becomes: Max x [( p c ) x tx ] or Max x [( p c ) x ( p c ) x ] = 0 for all x. 10. (5 points) Why do you think there is a problem with answering (9) above? Which assumption would you change in the set-up of the problem to re- establish the good functioning of a Pigouvian tax? The problem is that the cost function has a constant marginal cost. (Notice that for any t , there is no interior solution–either ( p c ) > t , and the firm sets x = 100, or ( p c ) < t and the firm sets x = 0). We need increasing marginal costs, or the cost function to be convex. 4
11. (5 + 3 points) Suppose firm i ’s cost of cutting x trees equals c ( x ) = ( c/ 2) x 2 , where c is a fixed, positive parameter. (i) What is the total number of trees ( n i =1 x i ) that maximizes total welfare now? (ii) And the number of trees for each individual firm? n i =1 x i = np/ ( c + n ) . Note that all firms are identical: x i = x = p/ ( c + n ). (There is no other solution at the individual level because costs are convex). 12. (5 + 5 points) Would a Pigouvian tax work now? (i) What is the correct level of t ? (ii) Do you find a well-identified solution? t = n i =1 x i = np/ ( c + n ). The individual firm’s problem is: max x ( px ( c/ 2) x 2 ( np/ ( c + n )) x , which yields x = p/ ( c + n ), as desired. 5