HW_15 Second Warning KC
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Temple University *
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Course
0836
Subject
Astronomy
Date
Dec 6, 2023
Type
docx
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2
Uploaded by BaronTurtle15518
EES 0836
15
...
14
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13
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Earthquake
!
Disasters: Geology vs. Hollywood
Introduction
In this week's reaction video, Jonathan Nyquist, PhD, watched a clip from the 2015 movie “
San Andreas
”
where he spoke about predicting earthquakes and why it wouldn’t be possible in the Hoover Dam. For the
most part, short-term predictions have eluded us. But keeping the public safe is a goal for government
officials. At the moment,the best we can do is to use early alert systems such as the one used in Japan.
The alert system that J
apan has instituted is based on the fact that P-waves arrive and are recorded by
seismographs before the more damaging S-waves and surface waves arrive. Once the waves are recorded,
the system sends out an alert to people in the area. While it’s a useful system, your distance from the
epicenter affects your personal response time
.
Learning Objectives
●
Evaluate how different types of waves can propagate through different materials.
(1, 4, 5, c, d)
●
Analyze how people’s perception of shaking leads to the generation of shake maps.
(1, 4, c, d)
Part 1:
What could you do in 15 seconds
?
To answer this question, we are going to conduct a class experiment. Your phone will play the role of the
Japanese warning device. Exchange your number with someone in this class, or if you are uncomfortable
with that, solicit the help of another friend or family member. The caller is to send you a text message at a
time of
their
choosing, informing you that you have 15 seconds before a major earthquake will strike.
If
your phone was off at the time, simply take it from the moment you actually receive the message
.
Questions
:
1.
When (day and time) did you receive the warning?
Tuesday October 24th at 11:43
2.
What were you doing at the time?
Doing work for my internship in Charles Library
3.
What course of action did you take, or would you have taken, if this had been a real emergency?
Describe this in detail.
I was on the fourth floor, so the quickest action to safety would have been to evacuate the
building immediately and get to the ground.
4.
Do you think the warning would have improved your prospects in a real earthquake? Why or why
not?
Realistically, there is no chance that in 15 seconds I would be able to run down the stairs and
outside of the building before the earthquake was going to start, but it would give me a head start
were the building not to collapse immediately.
EES 0836
5.
Would you have been able to help anyone else?
There were other people present in the library at that moment, so yes, I would’ve been able to
warn others.
6.
If you lived in an area prone to major earthquakes, would you subscribe to an earthquake alert
service, and if so, what if you had to pay for it? How much would you be willing to pay per
month?
If I had to pay for a service to give me alerts about earthquakes I would not do it. Especially if
they happened frequently, that means in turn they usually aren’t of a strong enough magnitude to
require evacuation. A public service like that should never cost money, the safety of human lives
is not something to use for profit.
Part 2
: Reaction video reaction
In this week’s reaction video with Dr. Jon Nyquist, he watched a clip from the movie San Andreas (2015)
where they depicted geophysicists accurately predicting earthquakes using magnets (more specifically,
magnetometers). As we discussed in class, short term forecasting for earthquakes has, so far, eluded us.
For the sake of argument, let’s say some new technology was created that was able to accurately forecast
an earthquake within the hour. If you were alerted to a high magnitude event within the next hour, how
would you prepare yourself, family, and property for this event? Write a short response (1-2 paragraphs)
that addresses the above questions and your rationale for your choices/decisions
.
In the case that I was alerted of a highly destructive earthquake, there are things you must protect and
things you must give up on. Any property or damageable objects are almost a certain loss. Your family,
friends, and those close to you are who you need to prioritize protecting first. That being said, I would
pack my computer and my guitar into my guitar case and bring it with me wherever I evacuate to. At
disasterassistance.gov
there are resources to find the nearest disaster safety zones, Considering the fact
that public transport would likely stop and road traffic would become massively crowded, I would
consider biking or other forms of sped up foot transportation as the best method of moving people from
point A to point B. If there is no shot of getting to a safe area, I would find the most open area of solid
ground nearby with the least probability of being effected by a building collapse
.
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