Chapter 3.5, Problem 8E

Starting with the finished version of Example 6.2, attached, change the decision criterion to "maximize expected utility," using an exponential utility function with risk tolerance $5,000,000. Display certainty equivalents on the tree. a.  Keep doubling the risk tolerance until the company's best strategy is the same as with the EMV criterion—continue with development and then market if successful. The risk tolerance must reach $ 160,000,000 before the risk averse company acts the same as the EMV-maximizing company. b.  With a risk tolerance of $320,000,000, the company views the optimal strategy as equivalent to receiving a sure $____________ , even though the EMV from the original strategy (with no risk tolerance) is $ 59,200.

Starting with the finished version of Example 6.2, attached, change the decision criterion to "maximize expected utility," using an exponential utility function with risk tolerance $5,000,000. Display certainty equivalents on the tree. a.  Keep doubling the risk tolerance until the company's best strategy is the same as with the EMV criterion—continue with development and then market if successful. The risk tolerance must reach $ ____________ before the risk averse company acts the same as the EMV-maximizing company. b.  With a risk tolerance of $320,000,000, the company views the optimal strategy as equivalent to receiving a sure $____________ , even though the EMV from the original strategy (with no risk tolerance) is $ ___________ .

A television network earns an average of $14 million each season from a hit program and loses an average of $8 million each season on a program that turns out to be a flop. Of all programs picked up by this network in recent years, 25% turn out to be hits and 75% turn out to be flops. At a cost of C dollars, a market research firm will analyze a pilot episode of a prospective program and issue a report predicting whether the given program will end up being a hit. If the program is actually going to be a hit, there is a 75% chance that the market researchers will predict the program to be a hit. If the program is actually going to be a flop, there is only a 30% chance that the market researchers will predict the program to be a hit. What is the maximum value of C that the network should be willing to pay the market research firm? Enter your answer in dollars, not in million dollars. $ __________ Calculate EVPI for this decision problem. Enter your answer in dollars, not in million…

Two construction companies are bidding against one another for the right to construct a new community center building. The first construction company, Fine Line Homes, believes that its competitor, Buffalo Valley Construction, will place a bid for this project according to the distribution shown in this table: Buffalo Valley's Bid Bid Probability $160,000 0.2 $165,000 0.5 $170,000 0.2 $175,000 0.1 Furthermore, Fine Line Homes estimates that it will cost $160,000 for its own company to construct this building. Given its fine reputation and long-standing service within the local community, Fine Line Homes believes that it will likely be awarded the project in the event that it and Buffalo Valley Construction submit exactly the same bids. Find the bid that maximizes Fine Line’s expected profit. Max expected profit $ ________ . Bid that maximizes profit $ ________ .

Q1: find the Reliability of component in the system in fig(1) by minimal cut method. Q2: A component A with constant failure rate 1.5 per 1000 h, B per to 2 in 1000h, A and B in parallel, find the Reliability system? [ by exponential distribution]. Q3: Give an example to find the minimal path and estimate the reliability of this block diagram. Q4: By Tie set method find the Reliability of fig (2) FUZ

not use ai please don't

Pam, Ron, and Sam are using the method of sealed bids to divide among themselves four items. Table on the next page shows the bids that each player makes for each item. Use this example to answer questions 19 to 23 Pam Ron Sam Bedroom Set $860 $550 $370 Dining Room Set $350 $420 $500 Television $230 $440 $340 Sofa set $480 $270 $230 What is the value of Sam’s fair share Group of answer choices None of these $360 $370 $500 $480

In a survey, the planning value for the population proportion is p 0.25. How large a sample should be taken to provide a 95% confidence interval with a margin of error of 0.03? Round your answer up to the next whole number. 800 {

Find the LaPla se trnsofrom of a) chi-square Distribution. b) Normal Distribution. C) Gamma Distribution. prove that Binomial (n, 2) Poisson (2) *********************