Chapter 14, Problem 23QP

Estimating Costs in an Uncertain Environment Many companies face increasingly unpredictable costs and revenues as the recession affects demand for products and the costs of materials and labor for these products. Revenues and costs have fluctuated significantly in recent years for such cost elements as fuel, labor, commodities (agricultural commodities, metals, etc.), interest, and rent expense, among others. Dealing with the increased fluctuations requires cost estimation methods that are more sophisticated and more frequently updated. The result is that companies are including in their cost estimation additional independent variables. Moreover, these companies are updating their estimation models more frequently. For example, Southwest Airlines updates its revenue prediction model on a daily basis. Required Consider Southwest Airlines and the following six key areas of cost for the company. Which of these costs do you think the airline must update most frequently? Flight crew. Fuel…

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Within the context of insurance companies, risk management mainly focuses on: Select one: a. Ensuring premiums invested yield planned rate of return b. Reducing the high frequency of insurance claims c. Loss prevention and mitigation d. Prevent underwriting risk

Risk assessments will help to priorities risks and provide information on the probability of harm arising and severity of harm by understanding the hazard, combine assessments of probability and severity to produce an assessment of risk and it is used in the assessment of risk as an aid to decision making. Construction sites are dangerous places where injury or death or illness can cause to workers. Select one typical hazard at a construction site and conduct a full risk assessment for that hazard. You are allowed to make assumptions to answer this question.

why we developed new probability distribution day by day from transformations?

The article "New Product Blockbusters: The Magic and Science of Prediction Markets", discusses the importance of new product development in firms and the challenges associated with predicting the success of new products. The authors propose a novel approach to screening new product ideas and predicting their demand using prediction markets.  According to the authors, research suggests new product introductions increase a firm's long-term financial performance and market value. The article discusses the challenges associated with predicting the success of new products.  Only one out of every five new product launches are successful, and firms often fail to capitalize on the success of new product blockbusters because of poor demand forecasts. There are two common approaches to predicting new product demand: surveying target customers about their purchase intentions and pooling experts' opinions. However, there are limitations of these approaches and propose a novel approach using…

You work in finance and your company is considering buying another company for $10.6 million. Your company does not have $10.6 million in cash and has asked you to evaluate different types of short-term and long-term financing opportunities.   For this assignment, you will have to conduct research to see what options are available for short-term and long-term financing opportunities. Explain why you chose the option you selected and what the short-term and long-term effects of that option will be. Please be specific.

Changes in interest rates represent which type of risk in a portfolio: Systematic risk Firm-specific risk Diversifiable risk Random risk

A NY Times best-selling author wants to write a new book as either volume II of her earlier successful book or an autobiography. She believes that by writing the volume II, given her previous success, she will have a 50% chance of placing it with a major publisher where it should ultimately sell about 40,000 copies. However, the worst-case scenario, if she can’t get a major publisher to take it, then she thinks there is 80% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with sales of 30,000 copies. On the other hand, if she writes an autobiography, considering the potential interest in her journey as successful writer, she thinks there will be 40% chance of placing it with a major publisher, and it should result in ultimate sales of about 50,000 copies. If she can’t get a major publisher to take it, the worst-case scenario, she thinks there is a 50% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with ultimate sales of 35,000 copies.    Construct a decision tree to help this author…