Chapter 12, Problem 18QP

You now have 10,000, all of which is invested in a sports team. Each year there is a 60% chance that the value of the team will increase by 60% and a 40% chance that the value of the team will decrease by 60%. Estimate the mean and median value of your investment after 50 years. Explain the large difference between the estimated mean and median.

Six months before its annual convention, the American Medical Association must determine how many rooms to reserve. At this time, the AMA can reserve rooms at a cost of 150 per room. The AMA believes the number of doctors attending the convention will be normally distributed with a mean of 5000 and a standard deviation of 1000. If the number of people attending the convention exceeds the number of rooms reserved, extra rooms must be reserved at a cost of 250 per room. a. Use simulation with @RISK to determine the number of rooms that should be reserved to minimize the expected cost to the AMA. Try possible values from 4100 to 4900 in increments of 100. b. Redo part a for the case where the number attending has a triangular distribution with minimum value 2000, maximum value 7000, and most likely value 5000. Does this change the substantive results from part a?

The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the Canadian salmon industry. Each year the salmon spawn during a 24-hour period and must be canned immediately. Tinkan has the following agreement with the salmon industry. The company can deliver as many cans as it chooses. Then the salmon are caught. For each can by which Tinkan falls short of the salmon industrys needs, the company pays the industry a 2 penalty. Cans cost Tinkan 1 to produce and are sold by Tinkan for 2 per can. If any cans are left over, they are returned to Tinkan and the company reimburses the industry 2 for each extra can. These extra cans are put in storage for next year. Each year a can is held in storage, a carrying cost equal to 20% of the cans production cost is incurred. It is well known that the number of salmon harvested during a year is strongly related to the number of salmon harvested the previous year. In fact, using past data, Tinkan estimates that the harvest size in year t, Ht (measured in the number of cans required), is related to the harvest size in the previous year, Ht1, by the equation Ht = Ht1et where et is normally distributed with mean 1.02 and standard deviation 0.10. Tinkan plans to use the following production strategy. For some value of x, it produces enough cans at the beginning of year t to bring its inventory up to x+Ht, where Ht is the predicted harvest size in year t. Then it delivers these cans to the salmon industry. For example, if it uses x = 100,000, the predicted harvest size is 500,000 cans, and 80,000 cans are already in inventory, then Tinkan produces and delivers 520,000 cans. Given that the harvest size for the previous year was 550,000 cans, use simulation to help Tinkan develop a production strategy that maximizes its expected profit over the next 20 years. Assume that the company begins year 1 with an initial inventory of 300,000 cans.

Big Hit Video must determine how many copies of a new video to purchase. Assume that the companys goal is to purchase a number of copies that maximizes its expected profit from the video during the next year. Describe how you would use simulation to shed light on this problem. Assume that each time a video is rented, it is rented for one day.

A hospital has three independent fire alarm systems, with reliabilities of .95, .97, and .99. In the event of a fire, what is the probability that a warning would be given?

Marcus Johnson has a life insurance policy that allows him to change his policy to fit his changing needs. He can change either the premium he pays or the period of coverage. What type of insurance does Marcus likely have? Multiple Choice Ordinary whole life Limited payment life Variable life Adjustable life Universal life E

Williams Auto has a machine that installs tires. The machine is now in need of repair. The machineoriginally cost $10,000 and the repair will cost $1,000, but the machine will then last two years.The labor cost of operating the machine is $0.50 per tire. Instead of repairing the old machine,Williams could buy a new machine at a cost of $5,000 that would also last two years; the labor costwould then be reduced to $0.25 per tire. Should Williams repair or replace the machine if it expectsto install 10,000 tires in the next two years?

I ONLY NEED HELP WITH PART C,D,E,F PLEASE.   Gubser Welding, Inc., operates a welding service for construction and automotive repair jobs. Assume that the arrival of jobs at the company's office can be described by a Poisson probability distribution with an arrival rate of three jobs per 8-hour day. The time required to complete the jobs follows a normal probability distribution, with a mean time of 2.5 hours and a standard deviation of 1.6 hours. Answer the following questions, assuming that Gubser uses one welder to complete all jobs. (a)What is the mean arrival rate in jobs per hour? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)   per hour CORRECT ANSWER IS 0.3750 (b)What is the mean service rate in jobs per hour? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)   per hour  CORRECT ANSWER IS 0.4000   (c) What is the average number of jobs waiting for service? (Round your answer to four decimal places.) 8.12563 IS WRONG (d) What is the average time (in hours) a job waits before…

The annual maintenance costs of a machine that has been in use for 3 years are 300 TL, 350 TL and 375 TL, respectively. The machine is expected to be available for 8 years after purchase. The maintenance costs foreseen for the coming years are 400 TL in the first year and 150 TL in the following years. If the machine is sold today, it can be sold for 1500 TL, and in the following years for 1000 TL. What is the optimum regeneration time of the machine if the MCVO is 10%?