HEART OF MATHEMATICS
4th Edition
ISBN: 9781119760061
Author: Burger
Publisher: WILEY
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Textbook Question
Chapter 10.1, Problem 36MS
The St. Petersburg paradox. Here is an interesting game: You pay a certain amount of money to play. Then you flip a fair coin. If you see tails, you flip again, and the game continues until you see a head, which ends the game.
If you see heads on the first flip, you receive $2. If you see heads on the second flip, you receive $4. If you see heads on the third flip, you get $8, and so forth—the payoff is doubled every time. What is the expected payoff of this game? How much would you pay to play this game? Suppose you pay $1000 to play. What is the probability that you would make money? Why is this game a paradoxical situation given the expected value?
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The St. Petersburg paradox is a coin flip game, where a fair coin is tossed successively, until heads occurs. If the first toss is heads, you win $1. If the first one is tails and the second one is heads, you win $2. If the first heads occurs in the third toss, you win $4 and so forth. The amount of money you win is doubled with each coin flip you survive. In the eighteenth century it was believed that the fair price for participating in such a game would be the expected wealth you gain. Show that the expectation value of the St. Petersburg game is infinite.
Suppose you decided to play a gambling game. In order to play the game there is a $1.00 dollar fee to play. If you roll a 1, 2, or 3 you win nothing (i.e., your net profit is $-1.00). If you roll a 4 or 5, you win $2.50 (i.e., your net profit is $1.50). If you roll a 6 you win $4.00 (i.e., your net profit is $3.00).Use the information described above to construct a probability distribution table for the random variable xx which represents the net profit of your winnings. Note: Be sure to enter your probabilities as reduced fractions.
Die Roll
xx
P(x)P(x)
Roll a 1, 2, or 3
Roll a 4 or 5
Roll a 6
Find the amount you would expect to win or lose each time you played the game. Round your final answer to two decimal places.μ=
Suppose you decided to play a gambling game. In order to play the game there is a $1.50 dollar fee to play. If you roll a 1, 2, or 3 you win nothing (i.e., your net profit is $-1.5 dollars). If you roll a 4 or 5, you win $2.50 (i.e., your net profit is $1). If you roll a 6 you win $5.75 (i.e., your net profit is $4.25).a) Use the information described above to constuct a probability distribution table for the random variable xx which represents the net profit of your winnings. Note: Be sure to enter your probabilities as reduced fractions.
xx
P(x)P(x)
(You roll a 1,2,or 3)
(You roll a 1,2, or 3)
(You roll a 4 or 5)
(You roll a 4 or 5)
(You roll a 6)
(You roll a 6)
b) Find the amount you would expect to win or lose each time you played the game. Round your final answer to two decimal places.μ=
Chapter 10 Solutions
HEART OF MATHEMATICS
Ch. 10.1 - What do you expect? How do you compute an expected...Ch. 10.1 - The average bite. Your little sister loves visits...Ch. 10.1 - A tooth for a tooth? Suppose your cousins Tooth...Ch. 10.1 - Spinning wheel. Suppose the spinner shown is...Ch. 10.1 - Fair game. What does it mean for a game to be...Ch. 10.1 - Cross on the green (S). A standard roulette wheel...Ch. 10.1 - In the red. Given the bet from Mindscape 6, what...Ch. 10.1 - Free Lotto. For several years in Massachusetts,...Ch. 10.1 - Bank value. What is the expected value of keeping...Ch. 10.1 - Value of money. In Newcombs Paradox, first suppose...
Ch. 10.1 - Die roll. What is the expected value of each of...Ch. 10.1 - Dice roll (ExH). What is the expected value of...Ch. 10.1 - Fair is foul. Someone has a weighted coin that...Ch. 10.1 - Foul is fair (S). Someone has a weighted coin that...Ch. 10.1 - Cycle cycle (H). You live in an area where the...Ch. 10.1 - Whats your pleasure? You have three options for...Ch. 10.1 - Roulette expectation. A standard roulette wheel...Ch. 10.1 - Fair wheeling. You are at the roulette table and...Ch. 10.1 - High rolling (H). Here is a die game you play...Ch. 10.1 - Fair rolling. Suppose you are considering the game...Ch. 10.1 - Spinning wheel. You pay $5, pick one of the four...Ch. 10.1 - Dice (ExH). You place a bet and then roll two fair...Ch. 10.1 - Uncoverable bases. Show by a specific example how...Ch. 10.1 - Under the cap. A national soda company runs a...Ch. 10.1 - Two coins in a fountain. You pay Si for two coins...Ch. 10.1 - Three coins in a fountain. You pay $5 for three...Ch. 10.1 - Insure (S). You own a $9000 car and a $850...Ch. 10.1 - Get a job (H). You search for a job. Three...Ch. 10.1 - Take this job and... Given the employment scenario...Ch. 10.1 - Book value. Refer back to our analysis of the...Ch. 10.1 - In search of... A group of deep-sea divers...Ch. 10.1 - Solid gold. There is a 50% chance that the price...Ch. 10.1 - Four out of five. In Newcombs Paradox, suppose...Ch. 10.1 - Chevalier de Méré. Suppose that the Chevalier de...Ch. 10.1 - The St. Petersburg paradox. Here is an interesting...Ch. 10.1 - Coin or god. In Newcombs Paradox, first suppose...Ch. 10.1 - An investment. You wish to invest $1000, and you...Ch. 10.1 - Pap test (H). Assume that the insurance value of a...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 40MSCh. 10.1 - Spin to win. To play a certain carnival game, you...Ch. 10.1 - Spinner winner. To play a different carnival game,...Ch. 10.1 - Insurance wagering (H). From the point of view of...Ch. 10.1 - Probable cause. Continuing the scenario from the...Ch. 10.1 - The bicycle thief. Some entrepreneurial classmates...Ch. 10.2 - Remarkably risky. List two activities that are...Ch. 10.2 - Surprisinly safe. List two activities that are...Ch. 10.2 - Infectious numbers (H). Suppose a disease is...Ch. 10.2 - SARS scars (S). Suppose a new vaccine that...Ch. 10.2 - A hairy pot. At a certain famous school of...Ch. 10.2 - Blonde, bleached blonde (H). You have high...Ch. 10.2 - Blonde again (S). Given the scenario in Mindscape...Ch. 10.2 - Bleached again. Given the scenario in Mindscape 6,...Ch. 10.2 - Safety first. Suppose a particular car is widely...Ch. 10.2 - Scholarship winner (ExH). You apply for a national...Ch. 10.2 - Less safe (ExH). Given the scenario in our air...Ch. 10.2 - Aw, nuts! Suppose that the loss of life expectancy...Ch. 10.2 - Dont cell! (H) Suppose you are a U.S. senator and...Ch. 10.2 - Buy low and cell high (H). The microwaves produced...Ch. 10.2 - Taxi blues (H). An eyewitness observes a...Ch. 10.2 - More taxi blues (S). An eyewitness observes a...Ch. 10.2 - Few blues. An eyewitness observes a hit-and-run...Ch. 10.2 - More safety. Given the scenario of our earlier air...Ch. 10.2 - Reduced safety. Given the scenario of our air...Ch. 10.2 - HIV tests. Recall that, in the United States,...Ch. 10.2 - More HIV tests. Given the tests described in the...Ch. 10.2 - Super sale. The bookstore is having a super sale...Ch. 10.2 - V.isk risk (H). You always sort your laundry into...Ch. 10.2 - Bag for life. An insurance company estimates that...Ch. 10.2 - Mooving sale. Plush toy versions of your college...Ch. 10.2 - Reweighing life expectancy An example in this...Ch. 10.3 - Simple interest (H). Suppose you deposit $500 into...Ch. 10.3 - Less simple interest. Suppose that at the...Ch. 10.3 - The power of powers (H). In this section we...Ch. 10.3 - Crafty compounding. Two thousand years ago, a...Ch. 10.3 - Keg costs. List some of the opportunity costs...Ch. 10.3 - You can bank on us (or them) (S). You wish to...Ch. 10.3 - The Kennedy compound. You wish to ivest $1000 for...Ch. 10.3 - Three times a lady. The Three-Timesa-Year Savings...Ch. 10.3 - Baker kneads dough (ExH). Your favorite baker,...Ch. 10.3 - I want my ATV! You want to purchase a cool, yellow...Ch. 10.3 - Lottery loot later? You have a big problem: Youve...Ch. 10.3 - Open sesame (S). Bert and Ernie each open a...Ch. 10.3 - Jelly-filled investments (H). Suppose you purchase...Ch. 10.3 - Taking stock. Suppose that a stock transaction...Ch. 10.3 - Making your pocketbook stocky. Suppose that a...Ch. 10.3 - Money-tree house. You decide you wish to build...Ch. 10.3 - Future vlaue (S). What is the future value of $...Ch. 10.3 - Present value (ExH). On the first day of your...Ch. 10.3 - Double or nothing (H). You decide you wish to...Ch. 10.3 - Triple or nothing. You decide you wish to triple...Ch. 10.3 - Power versus product (S). In this section we...Ch. 10.3 - Double vision. Suppose we have $P and we invest it...Ch. 10.3 - Adding up the bucks (H). You have a job every...Ch. 10.3 - Fiddling for dollars. As presented in the section...Ch. 10.3 - Facebank. Your roommates are developing some...Ch. 10.3 - Boatload o cash. At age 12 you dream of sailing...Ch. 10.3 - Houseload o cash. You want to buy a house by age...Ch. 10.4 - Landslide Lyndon. The two candidates in the 1948...Ch. 10.4 - Electoral college. Briefly outline a voting scheme...Ch. 10.4 - Voting for voting. What are some differences...Ch. 10.4 - Voting for sport. Given an example (ideally from...Ch. 10.4 - The point of the arrow (S). What does Arrows...Ch. 10.4 - Dictating an election through a dictator. Suppose...Ch. 10.4 - Pro- or Con-dorcet? (S) Consider the following...Ch. 10.4 - Where is Dr. Pepper? (S) Given the voting data...Ch. 10.4 - Approval drinking (H). Returning to the voting...Ch. 10.4 - Mindscapes 10 through 15 are based on the...Ch. 10.4 - Mindscapes 10 through 15 are based on the...Ch. 10.4 - Mindscapes 10 through 15 are based on the...Ch. 10.4 - Mindscapes 10 through 15 are based on the...Ch. 10.4 - Mindscapes 10 through 15 are based on the...Ch. 10.4 - Mindscapes 10 through 15 are based on the...Ch. 10.4 - Whats it all about, Ralphie? Many people believe...Ch. 10.4 - Two, too (ExH). Given an election between just two...Ch. 10.4 - Two, too II (ExH). Given an election between just...Ch. 10.4 - Instant runoffs. One way to avoid the lengthy...Ch. 10.4 - Run runoff. Given the method of instant runoff...Ch. 10.4 - Coin coupling. For this challenge, you will need...Ch. 10.4 - From money-mating to cupids arrow. Explain how the...Ch. 10.4 - Vote night. There are four candidates running for...Ch. 10.4 - Wroof recount. The election in the previous...Ch. 10.4 - Biggest loser? Who was the biggest loser in the...Ch. 10.4 - The X-act winner. Your schools math club has 73...Ch. 10.4 - Borda rules. Candidates A, B, and C are running...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 1MSCh. 10.5 - Understanding icing (S). Suppose a person who had...Ch. 10.5 - Liquid gold. Suppose you and your two brothers are...Ch. 10.5 - East means West. Suppose you have a triangular...Ch. 10.5 - Two-bedroom bliss (H). Suppose you and a roommate...Ch. 10.5 - Your preference. Suppose the accompanying figure...Ch. 10.5 - Bulk. Suppose for you, bigger is better, so your...Ch. 10.5 - Dont move that knif. Give a specific scenario to...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 9MSCh. 10.5 - Just do it. Get three people together and have...Ch. 10.5 - The real world. Give three real-world examples...Ch. 10.5 - Same tastes (H). If you are dividing a cake among...Ch. 10.5 - Crossing the line. In each triangle shown on the...Ch. 10.5 - Cutting up Mass (S). You, Joan, and John want to...Ch. 10.5 - Where to cut (H). The accompanying figure pictures...Ch. 10.5 - Land preference (ExH). Suppose you are preparing...Ch. 10.5 - Uneven pair (S). Suppose two people want to divide...Ch. 10.5 - Diversity pays. Explain why having differences of...Ch. 10.5 - Be fair. The moving-knife and yelling Stop method...Ch. 10.5 - Nuclear dump (ExH). Suppose there is a nuclear...Ch. 10.5 - Disarming (H). Two nuclear superpowers decide to...Ch. 10.5 - Cupcakes. Suppose you had 100 different cupcakes...Ch. 10.5 - Barely consistent. It is possible for Chris to...Ch. 10.5 - Your X. You and your ex-roommate happen to share a...Ch. 10.5 - Musical Xs. You play the violin in a chamber trio...Ch. 10.5 - Cake plot. Imagine a cake in the shape of a...Ch. 10.5 - Cake trisection. Imagine a cake in the shape of a...Ch. 10.5 - Roomate wrangling. You and a friend rent a...
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