Section 9 Lab Part 1 Intro and Proportions Key

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Statistics

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Jan 9, 2024

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STAT 3090 S ECTION 9 L AB P ART 1 F ALL 2023 H YPOTHESIS T EST (I NTRODUCTION AND P ROPORTIONS ) N AME : O BJECTIVES : Upon completion of this project, you should be able to: State and verify the conditions necessary for a hypothesis test for a proportion Locate the Rejection Region for a Hypothesis Test Perform a Hypothesis Test for a proportion Calculate a P-value for a hypothesis test Draw conclusions about the population based on the results of a sample Describe a Type I and II error in context Delectable Delights is a large consumer food manufacturer selling its products in retail stores nationwide. You have landed your first job after graduation from Clemson in their advertising division. Since you took statistics as a part of your coursework, you are often called upon to perform data analysis for the advertising division, as well as other divisions of the company. D IRECTIONS : Answer the following questions using complete sentences as though you were presenting your analysis to the employees of Delectable Delights. Please provide any appropriate output and/or screenshots from JMP. Instructions for creating several types of graphs or tables and statistics can be found on Canvas in the file JMP Instructions.docx . Paste your answers and any output into this document. Day One: (stating hypothesis and types of errors) 1. Effective Medicine (20 points) Use complete sentences when answering this question. A medical researcher is evaluating the safety of a drug that is suspected to cause serious side effects among patients. Suppose that, if these serious side effects occur in more than 1% of patients, the drug will be recalled. Otherwise, the serious side effects are considered to be anomalous and not caused by the drug. The researcher collects data on a large sample of patients taking the drug to test the hypothesis H 0 : p = 0.01 against H 1 : p > 0.01 . A. Using a sentence or two, describe a Type I error in context of this situation. (5 points) Sample Answer: Concluding that we have evidence that the drug causes serious side effects in patients, when in reality, it does not cause serious side effects. 1 1 point for using a sentence. 4 points for an answer that indicates the student understands a type I error
STAT 3090 S ECTION 9 L AB P ART 1 F ALL 2023 H YPOTHESIS T EST (I NTRODUCTION AND P ROPORTIONS ) B. What are the consequences of making a Type I error in context of this situation? (5 points) Sample Answer: The drug is recalled when it does not need to be. Patients potentially miss out on a beneficial drug. C. Using a sentence or two, describe a Type II error in context of this situation. (5 points) Sample Answer: Concluding that we do not have evidence that the drug causes serious side effects, when in reality, it does cause serious side effects. D. What are the consequences of making a Type II error in the context of this situation? (5 points) Sample Answer: The drug is not recalled and causes serious side effects among patients. 2. WebAssign problems 1 – 9 (26 pts) ______________________________________________________________________________ Day Two: 3. Contact Lenses (29 pts) Recall from the section 8 lab that Delectable Delights is evaluating the vision benefits it offers to its employees. They wonder if they should add some additional benefits to assist with the purchase of contact lenses. According to the Vision Council of America (VCA), 11% of American adults wear contact lenses. Delectable Delights has decided that if more than 11% of its workers wear contact lenses, they will expand their vision benefits to include more coverage for those wearing contact lenses. 2 1 point for using a sentence. 4 points for a reasonable answer. 1 point for using a sentence. 4 points for an answer that indicates the student understands a type II error 1 point for using a sentence. 4 points for a reasonable answer.
STAT 3090 S ECTION 9 L AB P ART 1 F ALL 2023 H YPOTHESIS T EST (I NTRODUCTION AND P ROPORTIONS ) You are asked to perform a hypothesis test at the 1% significance level to determine if the percentage of employees wearing contact lenses is more than 11%. You take a random sample of 75 employees. The following are the results Frequency Relative Frequency Wear Contacts 15 0.20 Do Not Wear Contacts 60 0.80 Total 75 1.00 Use the following steps to perform this hypothesis test using the Rejection Region approach. (a) Define p in the context of the problem and state the appropriate hypotheses. (5 pts) Let p = the true proportion of Delectable Delight employees who wear contact lenses. H 0 : p = 0.11 H a : p > 0.11 1 pt for defining p in context 1 pt for using p in the hypothesis statements 1 pt for correct value of p 0 1 pt for equal sign in null hypothesis 1 pt for less than sign in alternative hypothesis (b) State and check the conditions for a hypothesis test of a proportion. (4 pts) a) The sample was randomly selected b) The sampling distribution of ^ p is approximately normally distributed since n p 0 = 75 ( 0.11 )= 8.25 5 and n ( 1 p 0 )= 75 ( 0.89 )= 66.75 5 2 points for checking a random sample was used 2 points for determining that the sampling distribution of ^ p is approximately normal using the correct reasoning. (c) Calculate the appropriate test statistic. Show how to correctly fill in the formula, then use your calculator do find the test statistic. (5 pts) z 0 = ^ p p 0 p 0 ( 1 p 0 ) n = 0.2 0.11 0.11 ∗( 1 0.11 ) 75 = 2.49 3 points for correctly filling in formula – deduct 1 point per mistake 2 pts for correct answer Deduct 1 point for minor arithmetic error 3
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STAT 3090 S ECTION 9 L AB P ART 1 F ALL 2023 H YPOTHESIS T EST (I NTRODUCTION AND P ROPORTIONS ) (d) Find the rejection region for this hypothesis test. (5 pts) RR: z > 2.33 5 points for correct RR based on hypothesis given by student (e) Based the rejection region from part (d) will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. Why? (5 pts) Since our test statistic of 2.49 lies in the rejection region, we reject the null hypothesis. 3 points for comparing student’s test statistic to their given rejection region 2 points correct conclusion based on student’s work (f) Write a final concluding statement to summarize the results of the hypothesis test. (5 pts) At the 1% significance level, there is sufficient evidence to conclude that more that 11% of employees wear contact lenses at Delectable Delights. 1pt for context that includes the parameter of interest 1pt for stating conclusion in terms of the alternative hypothesis 3 pt for correct conclusion based on part (e). 4. WebAssign problems 10 - 13 (25 pts) 4