D.Rose Mat 274 Project

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274

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Mathematics

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Feb 20, 2024

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Dyane Rose 20835047 MAT 274 BENCHMARK FORMAT AND STYLE TEMPLATE 1. For each part, of the required area under the normal curve. In addition, include a screenshot of your Excel computation to find this area. a. Insert screenshot and figure for part (a) Given Data Value (x) Data Value (x) 140 Mean 147 Standard Deviation 8 Sample Size (default 1) 1 Z-Score -0.875 Left Probability P(x<a) 0.19078695 3 Right Probability P(x>a) 0.80921304 7 b. Insert screenshot and figure for part (b) Given Data Value (x) Data Value (x) 140 Mean 147 Standard Deviation 8 Sample Size (default 1) 8 Z-Score - 2.47487373 4 Left Probability P(x<a) 0.00666416 4 Right Probability P(x>a) 0.99333583 6
c. Insert screenshot and figure for part (c) 2. Given Data Value (x) Data Value (x) 140 Mean 147 Standard Deviation 8 Sample Size (default 1) 11 Z-Score - 2.90204669 2 Left Probability P(x<a) 0.00185366 6 Right Probability P(x>a) 0.99814633 4 d. Comment on the relationship among the probabilities in parts (a),(b), and (c). As the sample size gets higher, the probability will also increase. There is a direct relationship between the two. The right probability increases because there is a greater amount of chances the group has in getting diabetes. 2. Insert a conditional probability table here, then answer the questions in each art below. Positive Test Result Negative Test Result Total Has Diabetes 6790 210 7000 No Diabetes 10230 82,770 93,000 a. Answer part (a) here. 6,790 b. Answer part (b) here. 6790/(6790+10230)= 0.3989
c. Answer part (c) here. 210 d. Answer part (d) here. 210/(210+82770)=0.00253 e. Comment on how prevalence of the disease affects your ability to trust the test. Discuss what factors would lead you to trust the blood test, or not trust the blood test. Based on the prevalence of the disease, I do not trust the test because the probability of having the disease given that the person tested positive is too low of a number. In order for me to trust it the number will have to be much higher than what it is as it will ensure the effectiveness of the test. 3. Answer each part below. a. Detailed experimental design should include the type of experiment, how you chose your sample size, what data is being collected, and how you would collect that data. Experimental design statistics involves the design and analysis of experiments. It is also when an experiment is performed in a structured way so that the most accurate results can be a useful tool to the hypothesis of the experiment. There are various ways to choose your sample size, this includes by effect size, population standard deviation, postulated effect, and the significance level. The data that is being collected is the glucose levels of patients. Blood sample is obtained from the patients. Blood is taken from the patients by firstly asking the patient to
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open his/her hand, palm facing up. This technique will allow the person to be able to reach the desired spot. The next step would be to take the base of the squeeze it, while squeezing take a lancet to prick the finger. Next, take a small quantity of the blood and place it onto a test strip. Once the strip is placed in a meter, the results will show. z Find Sample Size (given σ) Pop. STDEV (σ) 5 Margin of Error 2.8 Confidence Level 0.98 z* 2.326347874 Sample Size (n) 18 B.Remember to discuss how you would randomize for sampling and assignment, what type of randomization are you using? Ideally I would do a simple random sampling, however due to me not having direct access to the patient’s blood I would have use a hypothetical data set provided by the instructor. 135 139 146 144 144 148 143 142 139 146 148 140 140 144
144 150 150 146 C. Include type of test used, number of tails, and a justification for this choice. The type of test that was used in this experiment would be the mean t significance test. This type of test is preferred over the other options because the sample size is large and it is able to provide average number of patients that would be above 140, which means in this experiment we would be looking at the right tail. d.Make sure to include correct statistical notation for the formal null and alternative, do not just state this in words. Typeequationhere. H0: u=140 H1:u>140 e.State and discuss your chosen confidence level, why this is appropriate, and interpret the lower and upper limits. I am 98% confident that the mean glucose levels of patients lies between 141 and 146. It is appropriate because both limits are above 140 which is what we are trying to find. Using this information it is said that I do have sufficient evidence. f. State your significance level, interpret your p-value, and make a decision on the null. We used 0.01 as the significance level because we are in a medical setting. Since my P-value is less than my alpha 0.01, I will reject the null hypothesis. Because I reject my null hypothesis there is sufficient evidence that my patient does have diabetes.
t Significance Test (1-sample) Hypothesized Value 140 Sample mean ( ) 143.7777778 Sample STDEV (s) 4.080881617 n 18 Significance Level 0.01 t-statistic 3.92752236 P-value left-tail 0.999457524 P-value right-tail 0.000542476 P-value two-tail 0.001084952
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