Activity7- Instructions.mhFl21

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Dec 6, 2023

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Activity 7: Sea Level Change and its Effects on Coastal Communities Topics: Understand variations in sea level rise change for different coastal communities Calculate sea level rise projections based on annual rates Additional Resources: NOAA Tides and Currents Google Earth Help Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Overview: The purpose of this activity is for you to consider the changes in sea level for various locations in the United States. You will use data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to analyze the recent past and predict the future. You will also use freely available sea level change models. Background : The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) releases a report every few years analyzing the impacts of the changing climate on the Earth’s environment, which includes coastal regions. The IPCC estimates average global sea level rise (SLR) rates. However, SLR is very regionally specific as the rates depend on many factors like subsidence/uplift rates, thermal expansion of water, and local topography. Before we begin, download and open the following .kmz files in Google Earth. Location A Charleston, SC.kmz Location B Charleston, SC.kmz Location A Grand Isle, LA.kmz Location B Grand Isle, LA.kmz Location A Juneau, AK.kmz Location B Juneau, AK.kmz For this activity, you will analyze changing sea levels in the following locations: Charleston, SC Grand Isle, LA Juneau, AK Dauphin Island, AL
To orient yourself with these study areas, you may find it helpful to locate them on an internet mapping service (e.g., Google Maps). 1. Open the following four websites. https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=8665530 https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=8761724 https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=9452210 https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=8735180 Examine the pages of each website carefully. These websites provide the annual average sea level rise/fall rate (Entitled as: Mean Sea Level Trend) for the selected locations. You will use the information from these websites to answer several questions of the assignment. Pay special attention to the number at the top of the graph next to the city name; this number shows the change in sea level in millimeters per year (mm/yr). 2. Use these annual values to predict the magnitude of sea level change for each location in 50, 100, and 500 years from the present. Record these values in Table 1 of the corresponding Excel file. EXAMPLE: The average SLR for Charleston, SC is 3.36mm . First convert this value into feet multiplying it by 0.00328 (the conversion factor for mm to feet): 3.36mm/year * 0.00328 feet/mm= 0.01102 feet/year Now, to find the magnitude of sea level change at 50 years, the calculation is: 0.01102 feet/year * 50 years = +0.55feet Your final answer should also include a plus ( + ) or minus ( - ) sign before the value. + indicates sea level rise, and - indicates sea level fall. Finally be sure to round your answers for estimated change in sea level (for 50, 100 and 500 years) to two decimal places.
3. Download and open the following six .kmz files (listed above) in Google Earth (Location A Charleston, SC; Location B Charleston, SC; Location A Grand Isle, LA; Location B Grand Isle, LA; Location A Juneau AK; Location B Juneau, AK) . Notice that two placemarks were added in each of the three cities. Zoom in closely and hover over each placemark to find the elevation information in the status bar at the bottom of your screen. Use that information to complete Table 2 in the Excel file by placing a “Yes” or a “No” in the cells. “Yes” indicates the area will be flooded, and “No” indicates the area will not be flooded. The purpose of these questions is to determine what areas (if any) will be flooded in 50, 100, and/or 500 years. NOTE: in Google Earth Under “ Tools ” >> Options ”, make sure the units of measurements are in ‘Feet, Miles’ rather than ‘Meters, Kilometers’. Q1). Which location is experiencing sea level fall? a. Charleston, SC b. Grand Isle, LA c. Juneau, AK d. Dauphin Island, AL Q2). Which location is experiencing the most rapid sea level rise? a. Charleston, SC b. Grand Isle, LA c. Juneau, AK d. Dauphin Island, AL Q3). The sea level change in 100 years for Grand Isle, LA is closest to ____. a. 3 feet b. 1 foot c. 5 feet d. 4 feet Q4). (Yes or No) According to Table 2, Charleston, SC will be inundated in 500 years. Q5). (Yes or No) Placemark A and Placemark B on Grand Isle, LA will be submerged in 500 years. Q6). (Yes or No) Placemark A and B only show two locations on the island. Please note the maximum elevation of Grand Isle, LA is approximately 12 feet. Will the island be completely submerged in 500 years? Navigate to the following website and find Dauphin Island, AL using the search function. https://coast.noaa.gov/slr/#/layer/slr/0/- 9810271.314876841/3535082.3391929194/14/satellite/none/0.8/2050/interHigh/midAccretion Run through the scenarios for 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 feet SLR (Look for the MHHW button on the left and slide it up or down). At the bottom of that line there is a cursor that allows you to swipe to alternate
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between the satellite image and the modeled SLR in blue tones. Does Dauphin Island get completely submerged? (Yes or No) Q7). (Yes or No) According to NOAA’s Seal Level Viewer, will Dauphin Island, AL be completely submerged with 6 feet of SLR? Q8). The maximum elevation of Dauphin Island, AL is 8 feet. How many years (approximately) will it take for this island to be completely submerged? ( Hint: Use the numbers in table 1 and assume the average experienced today still applies). a. 500 b. 550 c. 600 d. 675 Q9). Use the second Google Earth figure (below) with additional elevation markers from Grand Isle, LA to answer the following questions. The image shows a cross-island transect of six locations labeled A-F. The elevations of those locations are: A: 3 foot B: 2 feet C: 5 feet D: 7 feet
Q10). (True or False) The area closer to the Gulf of Mexico (the sandy beach side near Location F) is more protected from the threat of sea level rise compared to the area closer to Placemark A. Q11). Location D is in residential neighborhoods at 5 and 7 feet above sea level. In approximately how many years will the homes at location D be inundated? a. 500 b. 120 c. 235 d. 635 Part Two: Navigate to the NOAA Sea Level Rise Viewer: https://coast.noaa.gov/slr/ Click ‘Get Started’ which will bring you to a U.S. map. Zoom in to South Carolina and navigate to Isle of Palms, SC (NE of the Charleston peninsula). Navigate to the tools on the left sidebars and information tab to learn more about the Sea Level Rise Viewer. Q12). Rising water levels illustrated through this tool are relative to what datum? a. Mean Lower Low Water b. Mean Higher High Water c. High Tide Flooding d. Low Tide Conditions
Q13). True or False: Areas that are shaded in green are anticipated to flood because they are low-lying elevational regions. Q14). Yes or No: Given the elevational options on the slider, does Isle of Palms become fully inundated within 10’ of sea level rise? Q15). As you move the slider to higher water levels, does the island become more inundated on the seaward (closer to the ocean) or landward (closer to the continental coast) side?
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