LBO Long model

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North Lake College *

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301

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Finance

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Apr 3, 2024

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Company and Transaction Inputs Company Information Transaction Assumptions Capital Structure Assumptions Company Name XX Purchase Price Premium 10.0% Base Case Best Case Weak Case Project Name XX Implied Entry Multiple 11.6x Leverage Ratio 5.5x 6.0x 5.0x First Projected Year 2017 Exit Date 12/31/20 LTM EBITDA $3,501.4 Fiscal Year End 31-Dec Exit Year 2020 Debt Capacity $19,257.70 Valuation Date 1/31/17 Projection Scenario (Base=1, Best=2, Weak=3) 1 Interest Rate Current Stock Price $65.0 Capital Structure Scenario 1 % of Total Term (Years) Cash PIK $ Amount Revolver Limit (% of AR+Inventory) 85.0% Term A 30.0% 5 5.0% $5,777.3 General Assumptions EBITDA Exit Multiple 11.6x Term B 20.0% 7 5.5% $3,851.5 Tax Rate 31.9% EBITDA Multiple Steps 0.5x Term C 15.0% 7 6.0% $2,888.7 Minimum Cash Balance $500.0 Management Rollover 10.0% Mezzanine 25.0% 5.0% 6.0% $4,814.4 Interest Rate on Cash Balance 1.5% Revolver 10.0% 4.0% $1,925.8 Transaction Costs Preferred stock 5.0% 4.0% $5,000.0 Model is running: % $ Amount Base Case Projections Financing 1.0% $192.58 Model Checks Base Case Leverage Ratio Amort. Period for Financing Costs (yrs) 8 Sources and uses balance 1.000 Transaction Fees (% of equity) 2.5% Balance sheet balances 1.000 Revolver limit observed 1.000 Management Participation Management Rollover $3,725.15 10.0% Cash to Shareholders $33,526.35 90.0% Circuit Breaker (Off=1, On=0) 1 New Management Equity $200.0 Transaction Summary: XX --Base Case Projections Offer calculation Sources $ Amount x LTM EBITDA % of Total Share price $65.0 Cash (Less Minimum Balance) $189.5 0.1x 0.4% Purchase Price Premium 10.0% Term A 5,777.3 1.7x 13.7% Offer price per share $71.5 Term B 3,851.5 1.1x 9.1% Diluted shares outstanding 521 Term C 2,888.7 0.8x 6.8% Offer value $37,251.5 Mezzanine Debt 4,814.4 1.4x 11.4% Revolver 1,925.8 0.6x 4.6% Existing debt 3,671.2 Total Debt $19,257.7 5.5x 45.7% Preferred 222.7 Preferred Stock 5,000.0 1.4x 11.9% Less: cash 689.5 Sponsor Equity 13,803.8 3.9x 32.7% Transaction value 40,455.9 Management Equity 200.0 0.1x 0.5% Management Rollover 3,725.2 1.1x 8.8% Total Sources $42,176.1 12.0x 100.0% Uses $ Amount x LTM EBITDA % of Total Equity Purchase Price $33,526.4 9.6x 79.5% Debt Retired 3,671.2 1.0x 8.7% Purchase of Pref. Stock 222.7 0.1x 0.5% Financing Fees 192.6 0.1x 0.5% Transaction Costs 838.2 0.2x 2.0% Management Rollover 3,725.2 1.1x 8.8% Total Uses $42,176.1 12.0x 100.0% Check 0.0 Goodwill Calculation Common Equity $1,188.2 Purchase Price 37,251.5 Goodwill $36,063.3
Income Statement: XX --Base Case Projections Actual LTM TOS Projected 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Revenues $10,584.2 $11,396.9 $12,580.7 $13,889.1 $15,139.1 $16,198.8 $17,332.8 $18,372.7 $19,475.1 $20,643.6 $21,675.8 $22,759.6 COGS (excluding D&A) 4,416.0 4,762.4 5,000.0 5,242.2 5,524.8 5,830.5 6,152.0 6,429.2 6,815.0 7,223.9 7,585.1 7,964.4 SG&A 3,688.4 3,992.2 4,000.0 4,277.1 4,662.0 4,988.4 5,337.6 5,657.8 5,997.3 6,357.1 6,675.0 7,008.8 Other operating expenses 48.9 136.3 79.3 41.7 45.4 48.6 52.0 55.1 58.4 61.9 65.0 68.3 EBITDA 2,430.9 2,506.0 3,501.4 4,328.1 4,906.9 5,331.3 5,791.2 6,230.5 6,604.4 7,000.6 7,350.7 7,718.2 Depreciation & amortization 327.8 329.3 328.7 351.3 381.4 406.9 434.1 459.2 485.7 513.8 538.7 564.8 Operating profit - EBIT 2,103.1 2,176.7 3,172.7 3,976.8 4,525.5 4,924.5 5,357.1 5,771.4 6,118.7 6,486.8 6,812.0 7,153.4 Interest expense 119.7 136.0 158.7 1,231.6 1,156.1 1,066.9 965.8 855.2 791.2 778.7 796.3 844.1 Interest income 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 8.5 28.8 69.6 121.6 184.5 Amortization of capitalized financing fees 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 0.0 Pretax income 1,983.4 2,040.7 3,014.0 2,728.7 3,352.8 3,841.0 4,374.6 4,900.6 5,332.1 5,753.6 6,113.2 6,493.8 Taxes 645.6 670.6 850.0 870.4 1,069.5 1,225.3 1,395.5 1,563.3 1,701.0 1,835.4 1,950.1 2,071.5 Net Income $1,337.8 $1,370.1 $2,164.0 $1,858.2 $2,283.3 $2,615.8 $2,979.1 $3,337.3 $3,631.2 $3,918.2 $4,163.1 $4,422.3 Income Statement Assumptions: XX --Base Case Projections Actual Projected 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Revenue Growth Current Case 7.7% 10.4% 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Base Case 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Best Case 11.4% 10.0% 8.0% 8.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% Weak Case 9.4% 8.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 4.0% 4.0% Revenue Growth Delta 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% Gross Profit Margin Current Case 58.3% 58.2% 60.3% 62.3% 63.5% 64.0% 64.5% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% Base Case 62.3% 63.5% 64.0% 64.5% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% Best Case 63.3% 64.5% 65.0% 65.5% 66.0% 66.0% 66.0% 66.0% 66.0% Weak Case 61.3% 62.5% 63.0% 63.5% 64.0% 64.0% 64.0% 64.0% 64.0% Gross Profit Delta 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% SG&A Margin Current Case 34.8% 35.0% 31.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% Base Case 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% Best Case 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% Weak Case 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% SG&A Delta 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% Other operating expenses 0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% Tax Rate 32.6% 32.9% 28.2% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% Balance Sheet: XX --Base Case Projections Actual LTM TOS Closing Closing Projected 2015 Dec-16 Adjustments Dec-16 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 ASSETS Current Assets Cash and equivalents $340.7 $689.5 -$189.50 $500.0 $500.0 $500.0 $500.0 $500.0 $628.9 $3,209.1 $6,072.6 $10,143.8 $14,451.2 Accounts receivable 1,309.4 1,523.2 1,523.2 1,681.6 1,833.0 1,961.3 2,098.6 2,224.5 2,357.9 2,499.4 2,624.4 2,755.6 Inventories 855.8 1,008.4 1,008.4 1,057.3 1,114.2 1,175.9 1,240.7 1,296.7 1,374.4 1,456.9 1,529.8 1,606.3 Other current assets 251.2 279.9 279.9 309.0 336.8 360.4 385.6 408.8 433.3 459.3 482.3 506.4 Equity in affiliates 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Non Current Assets PP&E 2,544.1 2,696.1 2,696.1 2,848.0 3,013.5 3,190.6 3,380.1 3,580.9 3,793.9 4,019.6 4,256.5 4,505.4 Goodwill 1,845.7 2,081.8 36,063.3 38,145.1 38,145.1 38,145.1 38,145.1 38,145.1 38,145.1 38,145.1 38,145.1 38,145.1 38,145.1 Intangible assets 783.2 831.1 831.1 814.1 797.1 780.1 763.1 746.1 729.1 712.1 695.1 678.1 Other non-current assets 577.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 Capitalized financing costs 192.6 192.6 168.5 144.4 120.4 96.3 72.2 48.1 24.1 0.0 0.0
Total Assets $8,507.1 $9,338.0 $36,066.4 $45,404.4 $45,751.5 $46,112.1 $46,461.7 $46,837.5 $47,331.1 $50,319.0 $53,617.0 $58,104.9 $62,876.0 LIABILITIES Current Liabilities Accounts payable 876.1 1,239.7 1,239.7 1,299.8 1,369.8 1,445.6 1,525.3 1,594.1 1,689.7 1,791.1 1,880.6 1,974.7 Taxes payable 215.5 161.5 161.5 165.4 203.2 232.8 265.1 297.0 323.2 348.7 370.5 393.6 Other current liabilities (non-debt) 1,123.2 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,454.1 1,584.9 1,695.9 1,814.6 1,923.5 2,038.9 2,161.2 2,269.3 2,382.7 Debt Pre LBO Debt - Current portion of LTD 356.7 776.7 (776.7) 0.0 Pre LBO Debt - STD 171.5 174.1 (174.1) 0.0 Pre LBO Debt - LTD 2,918.0 2,720.4 (2,720.4) 0.0 LBO Debt - Term A 5,777.3 5,777.3 4,621.8 3,466.4 2,310.9 1,155.5 LBO Debt - Term B 3,851.5 3,851.5 3,301.3 2,751.1 2,200.9 1,650.7 1,100.4 550.2 LBO Debt - Term C 2,888.7 2,888.7 2,476.0 2,063.3 1,650.7 1,238.0 825.3 412.7 LBO Debt - Mezzanine 4,814.4 4,814.4 5,103.3 5,409.5 5,734.1 6,078.1 6,442.8 6,829.4 7,239.1 7,673.5 8,133.9 LBO Debt - Revolving credit facility 1,925.8 1,925.8 2,293.3 2,204.0 1,785.6 1,007.0 Deferred income taxes 554.7 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 Other non-current liabilities 941.3 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 Total Liabilities 7,157.0 7,927.1 15,586.5 23,513.6 22,252.5 20,589.9 18,594.1 16,271.9 13,720.7 13,381.6 13,077.8 13,731.5 14,422.5 EQUITY Pre LBO preferred stock 253.7 222.7 (222.7) 0.0 LBO preferred stock 5,000.0 5,000.0 5,200.0 5,408.0 5,624.3 5,849.3 6,083.3 6,326.6 6,579.7 6,842.8 7,116.6 Common equity 1,096.4 1,188.2 15,702.6 16,890.8 18,299.0 20,114.3 22,243.3 24,716.2 27,527.1 30,610.8 33,959.6 37,530.5 41,337.0 Total Shareholders' Equity 1,350.1 1,410.9 20,479.9 21,890.8 23,499.0 25,522.3 27,867.6 30,565.5 33,610.4 36,937.4 40,539.3 44,373.4 48,453.5 Total Liabilities + Shareholders' Equity 8,507.1 9,338.0 36,066.4 45,404.4 45,751.5 46,112.1 46,461.7 46,837.5 47,331.1 50,319.0 53,617.0 58,104.9 62,876.0 Balance check 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Balance Sheet Assumptions: XX --Base Case Projections Projected 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Accounts receivable growth 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Inventory growth 4.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5.5% 4.5% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Other current asset growth 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Accounts payable growth 4.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5.5% 4.5% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Taxes payable growth 2.4% 22.9% 14.6% 13.9% 12.0% 8.8% 7.9% 6.3% 6.2% Other current liabilities growth 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Cash Flow Statement: XX --Base Case Projections Projected 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Net Income $1,858.2 $2,283.3 $2,615.8 $2,979.1 $3,337.3 $3,631.2 $3,918.2 $4,163.1 $4,422.3 Non-Cash Adjustments Depreciation & Amortization 351.3 381.4 406.9 434.1 459.2 485.7 513.8 538.7 564.8 Financing cost amortization 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 24.1 0.0 Non-cash interest expense 288.9 306.2 324.6 344.0 364.7 386.6 409.8 434.3 460.4 Adjusted Net Income 2,522.4 2,994.9 3,371.2 3,781.4 4,185.2 4,527.5 4,865.9 5,160.2 5,447.5 Working Capital Source/(Use) Changes in working capital assets Accounts receivable (158.4) (151.3) (128.3) (137.3) (125.9) (133.5) (141.5) (125.0) (131.2) Inventories (48.9) (57.0) (61.7) (64.8) (55.9) (77.8) (82.5) (72.8) (76.5) Other current assets (29.1) (27.8) (23.6) (25.2) (23.1) (24.5) (26.0) (23.0) (24.1) Changes in working capital liabilities Accounts payable 60.1 70.1 75.8 79.7 68.7 95.6 101.4 89.6 94.0 Taxes payable 3.9 37.8 29.6 32.3 31.9 26.2 25.5 21.8 23.1 Other current liabilities 137.0 130.9 110.9 118.7 108.9 115.4 122.3 108.1 113.5 Deferred income taxes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash from operations 2,487.0 2,997.5 3,374.0 3,784.8 4,189.8 4,528.9 4,865.2 5,158.8 5,446.2
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Capital Expenditures (486.1) (529.9) (567.0) (606.6) (643.0) (681.6) (722.5) (758.7) (796.6) Asset sales 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net purchases of intangible assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash from investing (486.1) (529.9) (567.0) (606.6) (643.0) (681.6) (722.5) (758.7) (796.6) Newco preferred cash dividends and paydown (250.0) (260.0) (270.4) (281.2) (292.5) (304.2) (316.3) (329.0) (342.1) Cash from financing before debt (250.0) (260.0) (270.4) (281.2) (292.5) (304.2) (316.3) (329.0) (342.1) Free cash flows prior to term loan amort. 1,750.9 2,207.6 2,536.7 2,896.9 3,254.2 3,543.2 3,826.3 4,071.2 4,307.5 Term A (1,155.5) (1,155.5) (1,155.5) (1,155.5) (1,155.5) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Term B (550.2) (550.2) (550.2) (550.2) (550.2) (550.2) (550.2) 0.0 0.0 Term C (412.7) (412.7) (412.7) (412.7) (412.7) (412.7) (412.7) 0.0 0.0 Free cash flows prior to revolver (367.5) 89.3 418.3 778.6 1,135.9 2,580.3 2,863.4 4,071.2 4,307.5 Revolver 367.5 (89.3) (418.3) (778.6) (1,007.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net change in cash $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $128.9 $2,580.3 $2,863.4 $4,071.2 $4,307.5 Debt Paydown Schedule: XX --Base Case Projections Projected 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Term A Beginning Balance 5,777.3 4,621.8 3,466.4 2,310.9 1,155.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mandatory Payments (1,155.5) (1,155.5) (1,155.5) (1,155.5) (1,155.5) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Discretionary Payments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ending Balance 4,621.8 3,466.4 2,310.9 1,155.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Term B Beginning Balance 3,851.5 3,301.3 2,751.1 2,200.9 1,650.7 1,100.4 550.2 0.0 0.0 Mandatory Payments (550.2) (550.2) (550.2) (550.2) (550.2) (550.2) (550.2) 0.0 0.0 Discretionary Payments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ending Balance 3,301.3 2,751.1 2,200.9 1,650.7 1,100.4 550.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Term C Beginning Balance 2,888.7 2,476.0 2,063.3 1,650.7 1,238.0 825.3 412.7 0.0 0.0 Mandatory Payments (412.7) (412.7) (412.7) (412.7) (412.7) (412.7) (412.7) 0.0 0.0 Discretionary Payments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ending Balance 2,476.0 2,063.3 1,650.7 1,238.0 825.3 412.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mezzanine Beginning Balance 4,814.4 5,103.3 5,409.5 5,734.1 6,078.1 6,442.8 6,829.4 7,239.1 7,673.5 Additions via PIK Interest 288.9 306.2 324.6 344.0 364.7 386.6 409.8 434.3 460.4 Ending Balance 5,103.3 5,409.5 5,734.1 6,078.1 6,442.8 6,829.4 7,239.1 7,673.5 8,133.9 Preferred Stock Beginning Balance 5,000.0 5,200.0 5,408.0 5,624.3 5,849.3 6,083.3 6,326.6 6,579.7 6,842.8 Additions via PIK Interest 200.0 208.0 216.3 225.0 234.0 243.3 253.1 263.2 273.7 Ending Balance 5,200.0 5,408.0 5,624.3 5,849.3 6,083.3 6,326.6 6,579.7 6,842.8 7,116.6 Revolver Beginning Cash 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 628.9 3,209.1 6,072.6 10,143.8 Plus: Free cash flows prior to revolver (367.5) 89.3 418.3 778.6 1,135.9 2,580.3 2,863.4 4,071.2 4,307.5 Less: Minimum Cash Balance 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 Cash Available (required) for Revolver and Cash (367.5) 89.3 418.3 778.6 1,135.9 2,709.1 5,572.6 9,643.8 13,951.2 Beginning Balance 1,925.8 2,293.3 2,204.0 1,785.6 1,007.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ending Balance 2,293.3 2,204.0 1,785.6 1,007.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Revolver Limit 2,328.0 2,505.1 2,666.6 2,838.4 2,992.9 3,172.5 3,362.9 3,531.0 3,707.6 Revolver Borrowing Capacity (Overdrawn Amount) 34.8 301.1 880.9 1,831.3 2,992.9 3,172.5 3,362.9 3,531.0 3,707.6 Revolver Overdrawn? Yes/No NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
Interest Expense Calculation: XX --Base Case Projections Projected 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Term A Average Balance $5,199.6 $4,044.1 $2,888.7 $1,733.2 $577.7 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 Interest Rate (Cash) 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% Interest Expense (Cash) 260.0 202.2 144.4 86.7 28.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Term B Average Balance 3,576.4 3,026.2 2,476.0 1,925.8 1,375.6 825.3 275.1 0.0 0.0 Interest Rate (Cash) 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% Interest Expense (Cash) 196.7 166.4 136.2 105.9 75.7 45.4 15.1 0.0 0.0 Term C Average Balance 2,682.3 2,269.7 1,857.0 1,444.3 1,031.7 619.0 206.3 0.0 0.0 Interest Rate (Cash) 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% Interest Expense (Cash) 160.9 136.2 111.4 86.7 61.9 37.1 12.4 0.0 0.0 Mezzanine Beginning Balance 4,814.4 5,103.3 5,409.5 5,734.1 6,078.1 6,442.8 6,829.4 7,239.1 7,673.5 Interest Rate (Cash) 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% Interest Rate (PIK) 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% Interest Expense (Cash) 240.7 255.2 270.5 286.7 303.9 322.1 341.5 362.0 383.7 Interest Expense (PIK) 288.9 306.2 324.6 344.0 364.7 386.6 409.8 434.3 460.4 Revolver Average Balance 2,109.5 2,248.6 1,994.8 1,396.3 503.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Interest Rate (Cash) 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% Interest Expense (Cash) 84.4 89.9 79.8 55.9 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Interest Expense Cash Interest Expense 942.7 849.9 742.3 621.8 490.5 404.7 369.0 362.0 383.7 Non-Cash Interest Expense 288.9 306.2 324.6 344.0 364.7 386.6 409.8 434.3 460.4 Total Interest Expense 1,231.6 1,156.1 1,066.9 965.8 855.2 791.2 778.7 796.3 844.1 Interest Income Cash Balance, Average 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 564.4 1,919.0 4,640.8 8,108.2 12,297.5 Interest Rate 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% Total Interest Income 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 8.5 28.8 69.6 121.6 184.5 Preferred Stock Beginning Balance 5,000.0 5,200.0 5,408.0 5,624.3 5,849.3 6,083.3 6,326.6 6,579.7 6,842.8 Dividend Rate (Cash) 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% Dividend Rate (PIK) 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% Dividend Expense (Cash) 250.0 260.0 270.4 281.2 292.5 304.2 316.3 329.0 342.1 Dividend Expense (PIK) 200.0 208.0 216.3 225.0 234.0 243.3 253.1 263.2 273.7 Amortization Schedule: XX --Base Case Projections Projected Beginning 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Amount Years Transaction Cost Amortization 192.6 8 $24.1 $24.1 $24.1 $24.1 $24.1 $24.1 $24.1 $24.1 $0.0 Capitalized Financing Cost Asset 168.5 144.4 120.4 96.3 72.2 48.1 24.1 0.0 0.0 Intangible Assets 814.1 797.1 780.1 763.1 746.1 729.1 712.1 695.1 678.1 Purchase of intangible assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Amortization of Intangibles 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 Depreciation Schedule: XX --Base Case Projections Projected 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Simple PP&E and Depreciation Assumptions Capital Expenditures (model as a % of revenue) 4% $486.1 $529.9 $567.0 $606.6 $643.0 $681.6 $722.5 $758.7 $796.6 Depreciation (grow with revenue) 334.3 364.4 389.9 417.1 442.2 468.7 496.8 521.7 547.8 Asset Sales 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 PP&E 2,848.0 3,013.5 3,190.6 3,380.1 3,580.9 3,793.9 4,019.6 4,256.5 4,505.4 NOTE: A full-blown analysis should include a waterfall schedule Leverage Statistics Projected 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Cash $500.0 $500.0 $500.0 $500.0 $628.9 $3,209.1 $6,072.6 $10,143.8 $14,451.2 Total debt (include Preferred) 22,995.7 21,302.3 19,306.5 16,978.6 14,451.8 14,118.8 13,818.8 14,516.3 15,250.4 Shareholders' equity 23,499.0 25,522.3 27,867.6 30,565.5 33,610.4 36,937.4 40,539.3 44,373.4 48,453.5 Total debt and equity 46,494.7 46,824.5 47,174.1 47,544.1 48,062.2 51,056.2 54,358.0 58,889.7 63,704.0 Net debt 22,495.7 20,802.3 18,806.5 16,478.6 13,823.0 10,909.7 7,746.2 4,372.5 799.2 EBITDA 4,328.1 4,906.9 5,331.3 5,791.2 6,230.5 6,604.4 7,000.6 7,350.7 7,718.2 Interest expense 1,231.6 1,156.1 1,066.9 965.8 855.2 791.2 778.7 796.3 844.1 Capex 486 530 567 607 643 682 723 759 797 Total debt / 5.3x 4.3x 3.6x 2.9x 2.3x 2.1x 2.0x 2.0x 2.0x EBITDA EBITDA / Interest expense 3.5x 4.2x 5.0x 6.0x 7.3x 8.3x 9.0x 9.2x 9.1x (EBITDA - capex) / Interest expense 3.1x 3.8x 4.5x 5.4x 6.5x 7.5x 8.1x 8.3x 8.2x % Term A debt paid down 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % Term B debt paid down 14.3% 28.6% 42.9% 57.1% 71.4% 85.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % Term C debt paid down 14.3% 28.6% 42.9% 57.1% 71.4% 85.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Exit LBO Analysis: XX --Base Case Projections Actual Projected 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 EBITDA $3,501.4 $4,328.1 $4,906.9 $5,331.3 $5,791.2 $6,230.5 $6,604.4 $7,000.6 $7,350.7 $7,718.2 Net Debt 22,495.7 20,802.3 18,806.5 16,478.6 13,823.0 10,909.7 7,746.2 4,372.5 799.2 Equity Allocation (Simple Assumptions) Dilutive Securities: Mezzanine Debt 5% Preferred Stock 10% Common Equity: Management Performance Equity 1% Management Rollover 21% Sponsor Equity 79% Exit Year Computations EBITDA $5,791.2 Enterprise Value 66,912.7 Less: Net Debt 16,478.6 Equity Value 50,434.1 Mezzanine Equity 2,521.7 Preferred Stock Equity 5,043.4 Management Equity 504.3 Sponsor and Management Rollover Equity 42,364.7 Management Rollover 9,003.1 Sponsor Equity 33,361.6 Returns Calculations: XX --Base Case Projections 1/31/2017 12/31/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025
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Financial Sponsors - Cash Inflows (Outflows) -13,803.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 33,361.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 IRR 25.3% Sensitivity Sponsor IRR Sensitivity Equity Purchase Price Step $27,500.0 $32,500.0 $37,500.0 $42,500.0 $47,500.0 $5,000.0 EBITDA Exit Mult. 10.6x 50.7% 32.1% 21.2% 13.6% 11.1% 0.5x 11.1x 53.2% 34.2% 23.1% 15.4% 9.6% 11.6x 55.5% 36.3% 25.0% 17.2% 11.3% 12.1x 57.7% 38.2% 26.8% 18.8% 12.9% 12.6x 59.8% 40.1% 28.5% 20.4% 14.4% Sponsor IRR Sensitivity Exit Year Step 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1.0 Leverage 4.5x 44.3% 27.2% 19.6% 15.3% 12.6% 0.5x 5.0x 50.9% 31.0% 22.3% 17.4% 14.2% 5.5x 58.5% 35.4% 25.3% 19.7% 16.1% 6.0x 67.4% 40.3% 28.6% 22.2% 18.1% 6.5x 77.9% 46.0% 32.5% 25.1% 20.5%
Company and Transaction Inputs Company Information Transaction Assumptions Capital Structure Assumptions Company Name XX Purchase Price Premium 20.0% Base Case Best Case Weak Case Project Name XX Implied Entry Multiple Leverage Ratio 4.5x 5.0x 4.0x First Projected Year 2019 Exit Date 12/31/22 LTM EBITDA Fiscal Year End 31-Dec Exit Year 2022 Debt Capacity Valuation Date 1/31/19 Projection Scenario (Base=1, Best=2, Weak=3) Interest Rate Current Stock Price $60.0 Capital Structure Scenario (Base=1, Best=2, Weak=3) % of Total Term (Years) Cash PIK $ Amount EBITDA Exit Multiple Term 85.0% 6 6.0% General Assumptions Management Rollover 10.0% Revolver 15.0% 4.0% Tax Rate 31.9% Minimum Cash Balance $500.0 Transaction Costs Interest Rate on Cash Balance 1.5% % $ Amount Transaction Fees (% of equity) 2.5% Model is running: Err:502 Projections Management Participation $ % Model Checks Err:502 Leverage Ratio Management Rollover Sources and uses balance 1.000 Cash to Shareholders Balance sheet balances New Management Equity $200.0 Circuit Breaker (Off=1, On=0) 1 Err:502 Offer calculation Sources $ Amount x LTM EBITDA % of Total Share price Cash (Less Minimum Balance) 0.0x #DIV/0! Purchase Price Premium Term 0.0x #DIV/0! Offer price per share Revolver 0.0x #DIV/0! Diluted shares outstanding 440 Total Debt 0.0x #DIV/0! Offer value Existing debt Sponsor Equity 0.0x #DIV/0! Preferred Management Equity 0.0x #DIV/0! Less: cash Management Rollover 0.0x #DIV/0! Transaction value Total Sources 0.0x #DIV/0! Uses $ Amount x LTM EBITDA % of Total Equity Purchase Price #DIV/0! Debt Retired #DIV/0! Purchase of Pref. Stock #DIV/0! Transaction Costs #DIV/0! Management Rollover #DIV/0! Total Uses #DIV/0! Check 0.0 Goodwill Calculation Common Equity $1,188.2 Purchase Price 0.0 Goodwill ($1,188.2)
Err:502 Actual LTM TOS Projected 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Total Revenues $10,584.2 $11,396.9 $12,580.7 COGS (excluding D&A) 4,416.0 4,762.4 5,000.0 SG&A 3,688.4 3,992.2 4,000.0 Other operating expenses 48.9 136.3 79.3 EBITDA 2,430.9 2,506.0 3,501.4 Depreciation & amortization 327.8 329.3 328.7 351.3 381.4 406.9 434.1 459.2 485.7 513.8 538.7 564.8 Operating profit - EBIT 2,103.1 2,176.7 3,172.7 -351.3 -381.4 -406.9 -434.1 -459.2 -485.7 -513.8 -538.7 -564.8 Interest expense 119.7 136.0 158.7 Interest income 0.0 0.0 0.0 Pretax income 1,983.4 2,040.7 3,014.0 Taxes 645.6 670.6 850.0 Net Income $1,337.8 $1,370.1 $2,164.0 Err:502 Actual Projected 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Revenue Growth Current Case 7.7% 10.4% Base Case 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Best Case Weak Case Revenue Growth Delta 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% Gross Profit Margin Current Case 58.3% 58.2% 60.3% Base Case 62.3% 63.5% 64.0% 64.5% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% Best Case 63.3% 64.5% 65.0% 65.5% 66.0% 66.0% 66.0% 66.0% 66.0% Weak Case 61.3% 62.5% 63.0% 63.5% 64.0% 64.0% 64.0% 64.0% 64.0% Gross Profit Delta 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% SG&A Margin Current Case 34.8% 35.0% 31.8% Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 Err:502 Base Case 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% Best Case 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% Weak Case 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% SG&A Delta 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% Other operating expenses 0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% Tax Rate 32.6% 32.9% 28.2% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9%
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Err:502 Actual LTM TOS Closing Closing Projected 2017 Dec-18 Adjustments Dec-18 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 ASSETS Current Assets Cash and equivalents $340.7 $689.5 $0.00 $689.5 $689.5 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Accounts receivable 1,309.4 1,523.2 1,523.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Inventories 855.8 1,008.4 1,008.4 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Other current assets 251.2 279.9 279.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Equity in affiliates 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Non Current Assets PP&E 2,544.1 2,696.1 2,696.1 2,848.0 3,013.5 3,190.6 3,380.1 3,580.9 3,793.9 4,019.6 4,256.5 4,505.4 Goodwill 1,845.7 2,081.8 2,081.8 2,081.8 2,081.8 2,081.8 2,081.8 2,081.8 2,081.8 2,081.8 2,081.8 2,081.8 Intangible assets 783.2 831.1 831.1 814.1 797.1 780.1 763.1 746.1 729.1 712.1 695.1 678.1 Other non-current assets 577.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 Total Assets $8,507.1 $9,338.0 $0.0 $9,338.0 $6,661.4 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! LIABILITIES Current Liabilities Accounts payable 876.1 1,239.7 1,239.7 0.0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Taxes payable 215.5 161.5 161.5 0.0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Other current liabilities (non-debt) 1,123.2 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,317.1 Debt Pre LBO Debt - Current portion of LTD 356.7 776.7 Pre LBO Debt - STD 171.5 174.1 Pre LBO Debt - LTD 2,918.0 2,720.4 LBO Debt - Term A LBO Debt - Revolving credit facility Deferred income taxes 554.7 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 Other non-current liabilities 941.3 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 Total Liabilities 7,157.0 7,927.1 0.0 4,255.9 2,854.7 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! EQUITY Pre LBO preferred stock 253.7 222.7 Common equity 1,096.4 1,188.2 (1,188.2) 0.0 Total Shareholders' Equity 1,350.1 1,410.9 (1,188.2) 0.0 Total Liabilities + Shareholders' Equity 8,507.1 9,338.0 (1,188.2) 4,255.9 2,854.7 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Balance check 0.00 0.00 1,188.20 5,082.10 3,806.65 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Err:502 Projected 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Accounts receivable growth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Inventory growth -100.0% #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Other current asset growth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Accounts payable growth -100.0% #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Taxes payable growth -100.0% #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Other current liabilities growth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Err:502 Projected 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Net Income $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 Non-Cash Adjustments Depreciation & Amortization 381.4 406.9 434.1 459.2 485.7 513.8 538.7 564.8 Adjusted Net Income 381.4 406.9 434.1 459.2 485.7 513.8 538.7 564.8 Working Capital Source/(Use) Changes in working capital assets Accounts receivable 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Inventories #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Other current assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Changes in working capital liabilities Accounts payable #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Taxes payable #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Other current liabilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Deferred income taxes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash from operations #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Capital Expenditures (486.1) (529.9) (567.0) (606.6) (643.0) (681.6) (722.5) (758.7) (796.6) Cash from investing (486.1) (529.9) (567.0) (606.6) (643.0) (681.6) (722.5) (758.7) (796.6) Free cash flows prior to term loan amort. #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Term 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Free cash flows prior to revolver #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Revolver 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net change in cash #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Err:502 Projected 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Term Beginning Balance Mandatory Payments Discretionary Payments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ending Balance Revolver Beginning Cash Plus: Free cash flows prior to revolver Less: Minimum Cash Balance Cash Available (required) for Revolver and Cash Beginning Balance Ending Balance
Err:502 Projected 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Term Average Balance Interest Rate (Cash) Interest Expense (Cash) Revolver Average Balance Interest Rate (Cash) Interest Expense (Cash) Interest Expense Cash Interest Expense Total Interest Expense Interest Income Cash Balance, Average Interest Rate Total Interest Income Leverage Statistics Projected 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Total debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 EBITDA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Interest expense 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total debt / EBITDA EBITDA / Interest expense nm nm nm
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Err:502 Actual Projected 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 EBITDA $3,501.4 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 Net Debt (689.5) #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Equity Allocation (Simple Assumptions) Common Equity: Management Performance Equity + Dilutive Securities 6% Remaining Equity Allocation Management Rollover #DIV/0! Sponsor Equity #DIV/0! #DIV/0! Exit Year Computations EBITDA Enterprise Value Less: Net Debt Equity Value Management Equity Sponsor and Management Rollover Equity Management Rollover Sponsor Equity Err:502 1/31/2019 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 Financial Sponsors - Cash Inflows (Outflows) IRR
Company and Transaction Inputs Company Information Transaction Assumptions Capital Structure Assumptions Company Name XX Purchase Price Premium 20.0% Base Case Best Case Weak Case Project Name XX Implied Entry Multiple 10.0x Leverage Ratio 4.5x 5.0x 4.0x First Projected Year 2019 Exit Date 12/31/22 LTM EBITDA $3,501.4 Fiscal Year End 31-Dec Exit Year 2022 Debt Capacity $15,756.30 Valuation Date 1/31/19 Projection Scenario (Base=1, Best=2, Weak=3) 1 Interest Rate Current Stock Price $60.0 Capital Structure Scenario 1 % of Total Term (Years) Cash PIK $ Amount EBITDA Exit Multiple 10.0x Term 85.0% 6 6.0% $13,392.9 General Assumptions Management Rollover 10.0% Revolver 15.0% 4.0% $2,363.4 Tax Rate 31.9% Minimum Cash Balance $500.0 Transaction Costs Interest Rate on Cash Balance 1.5% % $ Amount Transaction Fees (% of equity) 2.5% Model is running: Base Case Projections Management Participation Model Checks Base Case Leverage Ratio Management Rollover $3,168.00 10.0% Sources and uses balance 1.000 Cash to Shareholders $28,512.00 90.0% Balance sheet balances 1.000 New Management Equity $200.0 Circuit Breaker (Off=1, On=0) 1 Transaction Summary: XX --Base Case Projections Offer calculation Sources $ Amount x LTM EBITDA % of Total Share price $60.0 Cash (Less Minimum Balance) $189.5 0.1x 0.5% Purchase Price Premium 20.0% Term 13,392.9 3.8x 36.9% Offer price per share $72.0 Revolver 2,363.4 0.7x 6.5% Diluted shares outstanding 440 Total Debt $15,756.3 4.5x 43.4% Offer value $31,680.0 Existing debt 3,671.2 Sponsor Equity 16,972.9 4.8x 46.8% Preferred 222.7 Management Equity 200.0 0.1x 0.6% Less: cash 689.5 Management Rollover 3,168.0 0.9x 8.7% Transaction value 34,884.4 Total Sources $36,286.7 10.4x 100.0% Uses $ Amount x LTM EBITDA % of Total Equity Purchase Price $28,512.0 8.1x 78.6% Debt Retired 3,671.2 1.0x 10.1% Purchase of Pref. Stock 222.7 0.1x 0.6% Transaction Costs 712.8 0.2x 2.0% Management Rollover 3,168.0 0.9x 8.7% Total Uses $36,286.7 10.4x 100.0% Check 0.0 Goodwill Calculation Common Equity $1,188.2 Purchase Price 31,680.0 Goodwill $30,491.8
Income Statement: XX --Base Case Projections Actual LTM TOS Projected 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Total Revenues $10,584.2 $11,396.9 $12,580.7 $13,889.1 $15,139.1 $16,198.8 $17,332.8 $18,372.7 $19,475.1 $20,643.6 $21,675.8 $22,759.6 COGS (excluding D&A) 4,416.0 4,762.4 5,000.0 5,242.2 5,524.8 5,830.5 6,152.0 6,429.2 6,815.0 7,223.9 7,585.1 7,964.4 SG&A 3,688.4 3,992.2 4,000.0 4,277.1 4,662.0 4,988.4 5,337.6 5,657.8 5,997.3 6,357.1 6,675.0 7,008.8 Other operating expenses 48.9 136.3 79.3 41.7 45.4 48.6 52.0 55.1 58.4 61.9 65.0 68.3 EBITDA 2,430.9 2,506.0 3,501.4 4,328.1 4,906.9 5,331.3 5,791.2 6,230.5 6,604.4 7,000.6 7,350.7 7,718.2 Depreciation & amortization 327.8 329.3 328.7 351.3 381.4 406.9 434.1 459.2 485.7 513.8 538.7 564.8 Operating profit - EBIT 2,103.1 2,176.7 3,172.7 3,976.8 4,525.5 4,924.5 5,357.1 5,771.4 6,118.7 6,486.8 6,812.0 7,153.4 Interest expense 119.7 136.0 158.7 835.8 701.8 551.3 385.5 216.3 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Interest income 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 12.1 29.6 74.5 140.3 210.0 Pretax income 1,983.4 2,040.7 3,014.0 3,148.5 3,831.2 4,380.7 4,979.0 5,567.1 6,081.3 6,561.3 6,952.3 7,363.5 Taxes 645.6 670.6 850.0 1,004.4 1,222.1 1,397.4 1,588.3 1,775.9 1,939.9 2,093.0 2,217.8 2,348.9 Net Income $1,337.8 $1,370.1 $2,164.0 $2,144.1 $2,609.0 $2,983.3 $3,390.7 $3,791.2 $4,141.4 $4,468.2 $4,734.5 $5,014.5 Income Statement Assumptions: XX --Base Case Projections Actual Projected 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Revenue Growth Current Case 7.7% 10.4% 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Base Case 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Best Case 11.4% 10.0% 8.0% 8.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% Weak Case 9.4% 8.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 4.0% 4.0% Revenue Growth Delta 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% Gross Profit Margin Current Case 58.3% 58.2% 60.3% 62.3% 63.5% 64.0% 64.5% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% Base Case 62.3% 63.5% 64.0% 64.5% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% 65.0% Best Case 63.3% 64.5% 65.0% 65.5% 66.0% 66.0% 66.0% 66.0% 66.0% Weak Case 61.3% 62.5% 63.0% 63.5% 64.0% 64.0% 64.0% 64.0% 64.0% Gross Profit Delta 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% SG&A Margin Current Case 34.8% 35.0% 31.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% Base Case 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% 30.8% Best Case 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% 29.8% Weak Case 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% 31.8% SG&A Delta 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% Other operating expenses 0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% Tax Rate 32.6% 32.9% 28.2% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9% 31.9%
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Balance Sheet: XX --Base Case Projections Actual LTM TOS Closing Closing Projected 2017 Dec-18 Adjustments Dec-18 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 ASSETS Current Assets Cash and equivalents $340.7 $689.5 -$189.50 $500.0 $500.0 $500.0 $500.0 $500.0 $1,112.7 $2,832.4 $7,094.8 $11,609.8 $16,393.1 Accounts receivable 1,309.4 1,523.2 1,523.2 1,681.6 1,833.0 1,961.3 2,098.6 2,224.5 2,357.9 2,499.4 2,624.4 2,755.6 Inventories 855.8 1,008.4 1,008.4 1,057.3 1,114.2 1,175.9 1,240.7 1,296.7 1,374.4 1,456.9 1,529.8 1,606.3 Other current assets 251.2 279.9 279.9 309.0 336.8 360.4 385.6 408.8 433.3 459.3 482.3 506.4 Equity in affiliates 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Non Current Assets PP&E 2,544.1 2,696.1 2,696.1 2,848.0 3,013.5 3,190.6 3,380.1 3,580.9 3,793.9 4,019.6 4,256.5 4,505.4 Goodwill 1,845.7 2,081.8 30,491.8 32,573.6 32,573.6 32,573.6 32,573.6 32,573.6 32,573.6 32,573.6 32,573.6 32,573.6 32,573.6 Intangible assets 783.2 831.1 831.1 814.1 797.1 780.1 763.1 746.1 729.1 712.1 695.1 678.1 Other non-current assets 577.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 228.0 Total Assets $8,507.1 $9,338.0 $30,302.3 $39,640.3 $40,011.5 $40,396.2 $40,769.8 $41,169.7 $42,171.2 $44,322.6 $49,043.7 $53,999.5 $59,246.4 LIABILITIES Current Liabilities Accounts payable 876.1 1,239.7 1,239.7 1,299.8 1,369.8 1,445.6 1,525.3 1,594.1 1,689.7 1,791.1 1,880.6 1,974.7 Taxes payable 215.5 161.5 161.5 190.8 232.2 265.5 301.8 337.4 368.6 397.7 421.4 446.3 Other current liabilities (non-debt) 1,123.2 1,317.1 1,317.1 1,454.1 1,584.9 1,695.9 1,814.6 1,923.5 2,038.9 2,161.2 2,269.3 2,382.7 Debt Pre LBO Debt - Current portion of LTD 356.7 776.7 (776.7) 0.0 Pre LBO Debt - STD 171.5 174.1 (174.1) 0.0 Pre LBO Debt - LTD 2,918.0 2,720.4 (2,720.4) 0.0 LBO Debt - Term A 13,392.9 13,392.9 11,160.7 8,928.6 6,696.4 4,464.3 2,232.1 LBO Debt - Revolving credit facility 2,363.4 2,363.4 2,596.3 2,361.8 1,764.2 770.8 Deferred income taxes 554.7 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 309.9 Other non-current liabilities 941.3 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 1,227.7 Total Liabilities 7,157.0 7,927.1 12,085.1 20,012.2 18,239.3 16,014.9 13,405.3 10,414.4 7,624.7 5,634.8 5,887.6 6,108.9 6,341.3 EQUITY Pre LBO preferred stock 253.7 222.7 (222.7) 0.0 Common equity 1,096.4 1,188.2 18,439.9 19,628.1 21,772.2 24,381.3 27,364.5 30,755.3 34,546.5 38,687.8 43,156.1 47,890.6 52,905.1 Total Shareholders' Equity 1,350.1 1,410.9 18,217.2 19,628.1 21,772.2 24,381.3 27,364.5 30,755.3 34,546.5 38,687.8 43,156.1 47,890.6 52,905.1 Total Liabilities + Shareholders' Equity 8,507.1 9,338.0 30,302.3 39,640.3 40,011.5 40,396.2 40,769.8 41,169.7 42,171.2 44,322.6 49,043.7 53,999.5 59,246.4 Balance check 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Balance Sheet Assumptions: XX --Base Case Projections Projected 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Accounts receivable growth 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Inventory growth 4.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5.5% 4.5% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Other current asset growth 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Accounts payable growth 4.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5.5% 4.5% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0% Taxes payable growth 18.2% 21.7% 14.3% 13.7% 11.8% 9.2% 7.9% 6.0% 5.9% Other current liabilities growth 10.4% 9.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Cash Flow Statement: XX --Base Case Projections Projected 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Net Income $2,144.1 $2,609.0 $2,983.3 $3,390.7 $3,791.2 $4,141.4 $4,468.2 $4,734.5 $5,014.5 Non-Cash Adjustments Depreciation & Amortization 351.3 381.4 406.9 434.1 459.2 485.7 513.8 538.7 564.8 Adjusted Net Income 2,495.4 2,990.4 3,390.1 3,824.9 4,250.4 4,627.1 4,982.0 5,273.2 5,579.3 Working Capital Source/(Use) Changes in working capital assets Accounts receivable (158.4) (151.3) (128.3) (137.3) (125.9) (133.5) (141.5) (125.0) (131.2) Inventories (48.9) (57.0) (61.7) (64.8) (55.9) (77.8) (82.5) (72.8) (76.5) Other current assets (29.1) (27.8) (23.6) (25.2) (23.1) (24.5) (26.0) (23.0) (24.1) Changes in working capital liabilities Accounts payable 60.1 70.1 75.8 79.7 68.7 95.6 101.4 89.6 94.0 Taxes payable 29.3 41.4 33.3 36.3 35.6 31.2 29.1 23.7 24.9 Other current liabilities 137.0 130.9 110.9 118.7 108.9 115.4 122.3 108.1 113.5 Deferred income taxes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cash from operations 2,485.4 2,996.5 3,396.6 3,832.2 4,258.7 4,633.5 4,984.9 5,273.7 5,579.9 Capital Expenditures (486.1) (529.9) (567.0) (606.6) (643.0) (681.6) (722.5) (758.7) (796.6) Cash from investing (486.1) (529.9) (567.0) (606.6) (643.0) (681.6) (722.5) (758.7) (796.6) Free cash flows prior to term loan amort. 1,999.3 2,466.7 2,829.7 3,225.5 3,615.7 3,951.9 4,262.4 4,515.1 4,783.3 Term (2,232.1) (2,232.1) (2,232.1) (2,232.1) (2,232.1) (2,232.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 Free cash flows prior to revolver (232.9) 234.5 597.5 993.4 1,383.5 1,719.7 4,262.4 4,515.1 4,783.3 Revolver 232.9 (234.5) (597.5) (993.4) (770.8) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net change in cash $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $612.7 $1,719.7 $4,262.4 $4,515.1 $4,783.3 Debt Paydown Schedule: XX --Base Case Projections Projected 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Term Beginning Balance 13,392.9 11,160.7 8,928.6 6,696.4 4,464.3 2,232.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mandatory Payments (2,232.1) (2,232.1) (2,232.1) (2,232.1) (2,232.1) (2,232.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 Discretionary Payments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ending Balance 11,160.7 8,928.6 6,696.4 4,464.3 2,232.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Revolver Beginning Cash 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 1,112.7 2,832.4 7,094.8 11,609.8 Plus: Free cash flows prior to revolver (232.9) 234.5 597.5 993.4 1,383.5 1,719.7 4,262.4 4,515.1 4,783.3 Less: Minimum Cash Balance 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 Cash Available (required) for Revolver and Cash (232.9) 234.5 597.5 993.4 1,383.5 2,332.4 6,594.8 11,109.8 15,893.1 Beginning Balance 2,363.4 2,596.3 2,361.8 1,764.2 770.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ending Balance 2,596.3 2,361.8 1,764.2 770.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Interest Expense Calculation: XX --Base Case Projections Projected 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Term Average Balance $12,276.8 $10,044.6 $7,812.5 $5,580.4 $3,348.2 $1,116.1 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 Interest Rate (Cash) 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% Interest Expense (Cash) 736.6 602.7 468.7 334.8 200.9 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Revolver Average Balance 2,479.9 2,479.0 2,063.0 1,267.5 385.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Interest Rate (Cash) 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% Interest Expense (Cash) 99.2 99.2 82.5 50.7 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Interest Expense Cash Interest Expense 835.8 701.8 551.3 385.5 216.3 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total Interest Expense 835.8 701.8 551.3 385.5 216.3 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Interest Income Cash Balance, Average 500.0 500.0 500.0 500.0 806.3 1,972.5 4,963.6 9,352.3 14,001.5 Interest Rate 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% Total Interest Income 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 12.1 29.6 74.5 140.3 210.0 Leverage Statistics Projected 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Total debt 13,757.0 11,290.3 8,460.7 5,235.1 2,232.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 EBITDA 4,328.1 4,906.9 5,331.3 5,791.2 6,230.5 6,604.4 7,000.6 7,350.7 7,718.2 Interest expense 835.8 701.8 551.3 385.5 216.3 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total debt / 3.2x 2.3x 1.6x 0.9x 0.4x 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x EBITDA EBITDA / Interest expense 5.2x 7.0x 9.7x 15.0x 28.8x 98.6x nm nm nm
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Exit LBO Analysis: XX --Base Case Projections Actual Projected 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 EBITDA $3,501.4 $4,328.1 $4,906.9 $5,331.3 $5,791.2 $6,230.5 $6,604.4 $7,000.6 $7,350.7 $7,718.2 Net Debt 13,257.0 10,790.3 7,960.7 4,735.1 1,119.5 (2,832.4) (7,094.8) (11,609.8) (16,393.1) Equity Allocation (Simple Assumptions) Common Equity: Management Performance Equity + Dilutive Securities 6% Remaining Equity Allocation Management Rollover 16% Sponsor Equity 84% 100% Exit Year Computations EBITDA $5,791.2 Enterprise Value 57,697.6 Less: Net Debt 4,735.1 Equity Value 52,962.5 Management Equity 3,177.8 Sponsor and Management Rollover Equity 49,784.8 Management Rollover 7,830.7 Sponsor Equity 41,954.0 Returns Calculations: XX --Base Case Projections 1/31/2019 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 Financial Sponsors - Cash Inflows (Outflows) -16,972.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 41,954.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 IRR 26.0%