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Nov 24, 2024
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Uploaded by BrigadierJellyfishMaster2135
4/30/2023
1
DuPont Ratio Analysis - ROA
2013
2014
2015
8.93%
9.16%
8.30%
Return on Assets
[(Net Profit+Interest Expense*(1- t)] / Avg. Total Assets
3.82%
3.85%
3.47%
Profit Margin for ROA
[(Net Profit + Interest Expense*(1- t)] / Sales
2.34
2.38
2.39
Asset Turnover
(Sales / Avg. Total Assets)
Note: Tax rate 35%
DuPont Ratio Analysis – ROA
(Excluding nonrecurring items)
2013
2014
2015
8.86%
9.02%
8.3%
Return on Assets
[(Net Profit + Interest Expense*(1- t) ±
one-time gains or losses (1-t)
] / Avg. Total Assets
3.79%
3.79%
3.47%
Profit Margin for ROA
[(Net Profit + Interest Expense*(1- t) ±
one-time gains or losses (1-t)
] / Sales
2.34
2.38
2.39
Asset Turnover
(Sales / Avg. Total Assets)
Note: Tax rate 35%
DuPont Ratio Analysis – ROA
Profit Margin Decomposition
2013
2014
2015
24.82%
24.83%
25.13%
Gross Margin
(Gross Profit / Sales)
5.64%
5.59%
5.00%
Operating Margin
(Operating Profit / Sales)
19.18%
19.24%
20.13%
SG&A Expense to Sales
0.49%
0.51%
0.53%
Interest Expense to Sales 32.87%
32.20%
30.31%
Effective Tax Rate (Income Taxes / Pre-tax Income)
DuPont Ratio Analysis – ROA
Assets Turnover Decomposition
2013
2014
2015
70.85
72.19
77.75
A/R Turnover (Sales / Avg. AR) 5.15
5.06
4.69
Days AR Outstanding
8.08
8.11
8.06
Inventory Turnover (Cost of sales / Avg. Inventory) 45.19
44.99
45.30
Days Inventory Outstanding
4.06
4.14
4.14
Fixed Asset Turnover
(Sales / Avg. Net PP&E)
DuPont Ratio Analysis - ROE
2013
2014
2015
21.00%
20.76%
18.15%
Return on Equity
(Net Income Available to Common Shareholders) / Avg. Equity
3.36%
3.37%
3.05%
Profit Margin for ROE
(Net Income Available to Common Shareholders) / Sales
2.34
2.38
2.39
Asset Turnover
(Sales / Avg. Total Assets)
2.67
2.59
2.49
Financial Leverage
(Avg. Total Assets / Avg. Equity )
DuPont Ratio Analysis – ROE
(Excluding nonrecurring items)
2013
2014
2015
20.81%
20.40%
18.15%
Return on Equity
(Net Income Available to Common Shareholders ±
one-time gains or losses (1-t)
) / Avg. Equity
3.36%
3.31%
3.05%
Profit Margin for ROE
(Net Income Available to Common Shareholders ±
one-time gains or losses (1-t)
) / Sales
For 2014, compute ROE and profit margin for ROE excluding non-recurring items.
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2
Comments on Profitability
The ROA increased from 8.93% in 2013 to 9.16% in 2014, then decreased back to 8.3% in 2015.
These fluctuations reflect a similar increase and decrease in the profit margin for ROA across the three years (3.82%
3.85%
3.47%).
Total assets turnover is relatively stable, but in slightly increasing trend 2.34
2.38
2.39. Comments on Profitability (continued)
Profit margin for ROA
: The interesting observation is that Gross Margin continually increased
, whereas Operating Margin continually decreased
.
Increase in gross margin is due to
Improved margins in food, general merchandise, and consumables
Changes in the merchandise mix in the International segment
A reduction in low margin fuel sales in the Sam's Club
Decrease in operating margin is due to
An increase in wage expense at the U.S. segment due to the new associate wage structure and increased associate hours to improve the overall customer experience
Investments in digital retail and information technology
Comments on Profitability (continued)
Profit margin for ROA
:
Interest expense to sales ratio remains stable with small increasing trend.
Tax burden is in slightly declining trend (
32.9%
32.2%
30.3%
)
Walmart does not clearly identify the reason for this declining trend. All that is noted in the 10-K is, “Our effective tax rate fluctuates from period to period and may be impacted by a number of factors, including changes in our assessment of certain tax contingencies, valuation allowances, changes in laws, outcomes of administrative audits, the impacts of discrete items and the mix of earnings among our U.S. and international operations.”
Comments on Profitability (continued)
Total Assets Turnover
:
The change in total assets turnover between 2013 and 2015
reflects a combination of increasing accounts receivable turnover
combined with flat inventory and fixed assets turnovers.
Accounts receivable is a relatively small fraction of the total
assets, so the decreasing accounts receivable turnover had little
effect on the total assets turnover.
The ROE was stable between 2013 and 2014 at 21.00% and 20.76%, but fell to 18.15% in 2015.
This trend reflects declines in both the profit margin for ROE (3.36%
3.37%
3.05%) and capital structure leverage
(2.67
2.59
2.49).
The decline in profit margin for ROE is consistent with the declines in profit margin for ROA.
Comments on Profitability (continued)
Comments on Profitability (continued)
Financial leverage
:
The
steady
decrease
in
financial
leverage
results
from
a
combination
of
decreased
long-term
debt
(including
current
maturities) and short-term borrowing, slightly offset by increased
capital lease and financing obligations.
In addition, the increased level of retained earnings contributes
significantly to the decline in capital structure leverage.
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3
Short-term Liquidity Risk
2013
2014
2015
0.88
0.97
0.93
Current Ratio (Current Assets / Current Liabilities)
0.20
0.24
0.22
Quick Ratio (Quick Assets / Current Liabilities) 0.10
0.14
0.13
Cash Ratio (Cash / Current Liabilities) 0.33
0.42
0.42
CFO to Current Liability (CFO / Avg. Current Liabilities)
Compute CFO to Current Liability for 2015.
Short-term Liquidity Risk
2013
2014
2015
70.85
72.19
77.75
A/R Turnover (Sales / Avg. AR) 5.15
5.06
4.69
Days AR Outstanding
8.08
8.11
8.06
Inventory Turnover (Cost of sales / Avg. Inventory) 45.19
44.99
45.30
Days Inventory Outstanding
9.51
9.64
9.37
A/P Turnover (Purchases / Avg. AP) 38.37
37.87
38.95
Days AP Outstanding
11.98
12.17
11.05
Cash Conversion Cycle
Compute Cash Conversion Cycle for 2015.
Long-term Solvency Risk
2013
2014
2015
0.60
0.58
0.58
Liabilities to Assets (Total Liabilities / Total Assets)
1.52
1.37
1.39
Liabilities to Equity (Total Liabilities / Total Shareholders’ Equity)
0.55
0.51
0.53
Long-term Debt to Equity
(Long-term debt / Total Shareholders’ Equity)
11.56
11.08
9.49
Interest Coverage Ratio
[(Net Profit + Interest Expense + Tax Expense)] / Interest Expense
Compute Interest Coverage Ratio for 2015.
Distress Risk: Altman Z Score
2013
2014
2015
4.41
4.81
4.53
Altman Z Score
(
1.2*Working Capital
+ 1.4*Retained Earnings + 3.3*EBIT
+ 0.6*Market Leverage+ 1.0* Sales
)
※all variables are scaled by total assets except for leverage
Comments on Risk
Short-Term Liquidity Risk
:
Walmart’s short-term liquidity ratios suggest fluctuations but little
change over the three-year period.
A current ratio around 1.0 and a quick ratio around 0.2 might
appear
troublesome
for
some
firms.
However,
Walmart
is
essentially a cash business since it turns accounts receivables over
very quickly (every 5 days on average).
In addition, it turns inventory over quickly (on average 45 days).
Thus, its inventory is almost as liquid as the receivables of most
other businesses.
Its cash flow from operations to current liabilities is above the
approximate 40% benchmark for a healthy firm.
Overall, Walmart subject to
very low short-term liquidity risk
Comments on Risk (continued)
Long-Term Solvency Risk
:
Walmart’s total liabilities to total assets ratio decreased slightly
between 2013 and 2015. Similarly, the long-term debt ratio
decreased from 2013 to 2015, consistent with a slight shift in
Walmart’s capital structure away from long-term borrowings.
This is understandable given anticipated increases in interest rates
during these years.
Its interest coverage ratio is very high. although it has steadily
decreased from above 12 in 2013 to below 10 in 2015.
Altman’s Z score is far above the cut-off of 2.7 for healthy firms.
Thus,
long-term solvency risk is also low
for Walmart.
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4
Dividend and Market-based Ratios
2013
2014
2015
4.90
5.07
4.58
EPS
[Net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders / weighted avg. # of ordinary shares] 15.24
16.76
14.73
PER
(Stock price / EPS)
2.51%
2.25%
2.91%
Dividend Yield
(Dividend per share / Stock price)
0.38
0.38
0.43
Dividend Payout
(Cash Dividends per share / EPS)
*The weighted average shares outstanding: 3,207 (2015), 3,230 (2014), 3,269 (2013)
*Closing stock prices: 67.50 (2015), 84.98(2014), 74.68(2013)
Compute Dividend Yield for 2015.
Cross-sectional Comparison-Competitors
Carrefour
, headquartered in France, is Europe’s largest retailer and the second largest retailer in the world. It has 4 segments based on store formats, which include the following (number of stores in parentheses):.
Hypermarkets (1,481)
: Offer a wide variety of household and food products at competitively low prices.
Supermarkets (3,462)
: Sell traditional grocery products under the Market, Bairro, and Supeco store brands.
Convenience Stores (7,181)
: Offer a limited variety of food products in smaller stores at aggressively low prices.
Cash & Carry (172)
: Provides professional restaurant and shop owners food and nonfood products at wholesale prices.
Target
, headquartered in the United States, is a retailer that offers a wide variety of clothing, household, electronics, and entertainment.
Attempt to differentiate itself from Walmart by pushing trendy merchandising with more brand-name products. Target emphasizes customer service, referring to its customers as “guests” and focusing on the theme of “
Expect More, Pay Less.
”
Attempts to differentiate itself from competitors by providing wider aisles and a less cluttered store appearance.
Discontinued its Canadian operations in 2014, which led to a significant nonrecurring loss in that year.
Cross-sectional Comparison-Competitors
Target
Walmart
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
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Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Target
:
Walmart’s ROA is more steady
range from 8% to 9%.
Target’s
ROA spans a wider range
and is disproportionately affected by
a large charge for closure of its Canadian operations in 2014.
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Target
:
Walmart’s ROA is more steady
range from 8% to 9%.
Target’s
ROA spans a wider range
and is disproportionately affected by
a large charge for closure of its Canadian operations in 2014.
Target’s Higher Profit Margin for ROA:
This is consistent with
Target's
business
model
of
providing
higher
brand-name
products.
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Target
:
Walmart’s ROA is more steady
range from 8% to 9%.
Target’s
ROA spans a wider range
and is disproportionately affected by
a large charge for closure of its Canadian operations in 2014.
Target’s Higher Profit Margin for ROA:
This is consistent with
Target's
business
model
of
providing
higher
brand-name
products.
Target’s COGS is about 70% of sales, lower than the 75–76% for
Walmart. But, SG&A expense to sales is somewhat larger than
Walmart’s, consistent
with its strategy of providing a more
pleasant shopping environment for customers.
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Target
:
Walmart’s Higher Assets Turnover
: Walmart’s higher asset
turnover results from higher turnovers for inventories and fixed
assets.
Target’s accounts receivable are so immaterial that no separate
disclosure is made, hence no turnover can be computed.
Walmart’s faster inventory turnover might result from a larger
proportion of sales from grocery products. It also might result
from more effective inventory control systems.
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Target
:
Walmart’s Higher Assets Turnover
: Walmart’s higher asset
turnover results from higher turnovers for inventories and fixed
assets.
Target’s accounts receivable are so immaterial that no separate
disclosure is made, hence no turnover can be computed.
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Target
:
Walmart’s Higher Assets Turnover
: Walmart’s higher asset
turnover results from higher turnovers for inventories and fixed
assets.
Target’s accounts receivable are so immaterial that no separate
disclosure is made, hence no turnover can be computed.
Walmart’s faster inventory turnover might result from a larger
proportion of sales from grocery products. It also might result
from more effective inventory control systems.
Walmart’s has more efficient use of fixed assets (stores) than
Target does. This is consistent with the fact that Walmart does not
strive as Target does to provide wide aisles and make the
shopping experience more pleasant for customers.
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Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Carrefour
:
Walmart’s higher ROA over Carrefour results from higher profit
margins for ROA and a faster assets turnover.
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Carrefour
:
Walmart’s higher ROA over Carrefour results from higher profit
margins for ROA and a faster assets turnover.
Walmart’s Higher Profit Margin for ROA
results from
higher
gross margins
. Walmart has slightly higher effective income tax
rate, since U.S. has one of the highest corporate tax rates in the
world.
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Carrefour
:
Walmart’s higher ROA over Carrefour results from higher profit
margins for ROA and a faster assets turnover.
Walmart’s Higher Profit Margin for ROA
results from
higher
gross margins
. Walmart has slightly higher effective income tax
rate, since U.S. has one of the highest corporate tax rates in the
world.
Carrefour and Walmart exhibit similar SG&A expense to sales.
Additionally, both companies show small but steady increases in
these
expenses
across
2013
through
2015.
Nevertheless,
Carrefour has slightly higher costs in each year. This is likely due
to the wider variety of store concepts that Carrefour has, which
would increase marketing and other administrative expenses..
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Carrefour
:
Walmart’s Higher Assets Turnover
: Walmart’s higher asset
turnover
results
from
combination
of
higher
turnovers
for
accounts receivable and other assets, but lower turnovers for
inventories and fixed assets.
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROA
Walmart vs. Carrefour
:
Walmart’s Higher Assets Turnover
: Walmart’s higher asset
turnover
results
from
combination
of
higher
turnovers
for
accounts receivable and other assets, but lower turnovers for
inventories and fixed assets.
Carrefour licenses its name to franchisees and has receivables due
from the franchisees, which likely turn over at a slower rate.
Carrefour’s faster inventory turnover from a higher proportion of
its sales coming from grocery products and convenience stores.
Carrefour’s fixed asset turnover is larger than that of Walmart,
indicating Carrefour’s more efficient use of fixed assets.
Another reason is that Carrefour has significant intangible assets
on B/S.
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROE
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45
46
47
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Cross-sectional Comparison on ROE
Walmart has a more stable and higher ROE, while
taking less aggressive financial leverage.
Walmart, with its higher ROA, has a greater capacity to
take advantage of financial leverage. The higher ROA
would likely provide it with a larger excess of the return
on asset over the cost of borrowing and thereby increase
the returns to common shareholders.
However, Carrefour has higher proportion of liabilities in
its capital structure; therefore, of the three companies, it
has used financial leverage most aggressively. Note that
Carrefour has the smallest ROA in 2015, which might
lead the analyst to expect that it would not take on such
high proportions of debt in its capital structure.
Cross-sectional Comparison on ROE
Walmart has a more stable and higher ROE, while
taking less aggressive financial leverage.
Walmart, with its higher ROA, has a greater capacity to
take advantage of financial leverage. The higher ROA
would likely provide it with a larger excess of the return
on asset over the cost of borrowing and thereby increase
the returns to common shareholders.
However, Carrefour has higher proportion of liabilities in
its capital structure; therefore, of the three companies, it
has used financial leverage most aggressively. Note that
Carrefour has the smallest ROA in 2015, which might
lead the analyst to expect that it would not take on such
high proportions of debt in its capital structure.
Cross-sectional Comparison on Risk
Cross-sectional Comparison on Risk
Carrefour has the most short-term liquidity risk
.
Carrefour’s current ratio is considerably less than 1.0,
and its cash flow from operations is much less than the
40% found for healthy companies.
Cross-sectional Comparison on Risk
Carrefour has the most short-term liquidity risk
.
Carrefour’s current ratio is considerably less than 1.0,
and its cash flow from operations is much less than the
40% found for healthy companies.
Carrefour stretches out payments to suppliers to 80 days,
which is much longer than either Target or Walmart.
Cross-sectional Comparison on Risk
Carrefour has the most short-term liquidity risk
.
Carrefour’s current ratio is considerably less than 1.0,
and its cash flow from operations is much less than the
40% found for healthy companies.
Carrefour stretches out payments to suppliers to 80 days,
which is much longer than either Target or Walmart.
Carrefour’s low cash flow from operations is the result
of weak profitability, which tends to reduce cash flow
from operations.
Neither Target nor Walmart displays much short-
term liquidity.
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Cross-sectional Comparison on Risk
Carrefour also has relatively high long-term solvency
risk.
Its total liabilities to total assets ratios are the highest of
the three companies and its cash flow and interest
coverage ratios are the lowest.
Cross-sectional Comparison on Risk
Carrefour also has relatively high long-term solvency
risk.
Its total liabilities to total assets ratios are the highest of
the three companies and its cash flow and interest
coverage ratios are the lowest.
Carrefour’s
size
and
market
dominance
in
Europe
suggest that it is not likely to go bankrupt, but its risk
ratios are worrisome.
Neither Target nor Walmart displays much long-term
liquidity risk.
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