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Feb 20, 2024

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Article : U.S. Economy Showing Resilience in Recovery Written By : Ben Casselman Date Written : 26 January 2024 Summary : The U.S. economy exhibited resilience in the face of the pandemic's challenges, with GDP growth at 3.3% in the fourth quarter of 2023, though slightly slower than the previous quarter. Throughout 2023, the economy saw healthy growth, low unemployment, and controlled inflation, defying predictions of a recession despite the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest-rate increases. The data, including a 1.7% annual consumer price increase and strong performance in consumer spending and business investment, suggests a robust recovery, prompting optimism for continued growth in 2024, although some risks, such as rising unemployment claims and global uncertainties, persist. ‘ In the podcast from module 1, Professor Laura Curran discusses the function of social welfare. Through the podcast, readers can learn how welfare ensures social control and provides economic security (Curran, 2024). This article relates to these concepts of accessing critical goods and services and social control. While the article doesn't explicitly discuss education, health care, nutrition, and housing, the positive economic trends can indirectly influence the accessibility of these services by contributing to a more stable and prosperous society. The article also mentions potential risks, including rising unemployment claims and uncertainties in the global landscape. Social welfare policies can act as control mechanisms to mitigate these risks and maintain social order. The emphasis on the criminal justice system as a clear example of social control aligns with the broader idea that welfare programs can serve as mechanisms to manage societal challenges and maintain stability, especially in a society that may experience fractures along social, political, and economic lines. The economic conditions described in the article suggest a positive outlook, with strong GDP growth, low unemployment, and controlled inflation (Smialek & Casselman, 2024). In the context of social welfare policy, these conditions could influence discussions on how to address the needs of vulnerable populations and enhance overall societal well-being. A potential implication for social policy reform is income inequality. Despite positive economic indicators, addressing income inequality remains a critical social policy goal. Policymakers should implement measures to ensure that the benefits of economic growth are more evenly distributed with targeted assistance programs for low-income individuals and families.
References: Smialek, J., & Casselman, B. (2024, January 26). Economists predicted a recession. so far they’ve been wrong. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/26/business/economy/economy-recession-soft-landing.html Curran, L. (2024, January). Module 1: What is social welfare policy? What are human rights and social, economic and environmental justice? – Podcast. Rutgers MSW 504: Social Welfare Policy and Services. Module 1: Social Problems and Social Policy Podcast Lecture 1. **Reassess Social Welfare Programs:** Given the robust economic growth, policymakers may want to reevaluate existing social welfare programs to ensure they are effective and efficiently reaching those in need. Considerations could include adjusting eligibility criteria, benefit levels, and the overall structure of assistance programs to align with current economic conditions. 2. **Invest in Workforce Development:** With low unemployment and steady job growth, there is an opportunity to focus on workforce development programs. Social policies could emphasize skill-building initiatives, education, and training programs to equip individuals with the tools needed to participate in and contribute to the growing economy.
3. **Address Income Inequality:** Despite positive economic indicators, addressing income inequality remains a critical social policy goal. Policymakers may consider implementing measures to ensure that the benefits of economic growth are more evenly distributed, such as progressive taxation or targeted assistance programs for low-income individuals and families. 4. **Flexible Social Safety Nets:** The article mentions potential risks, including rising unemployment claims and uncertainties in the global landscape. Social welfare policies should be designed to be adaptable and responsive to economic fluctuations. Building flexibility into safety net programs can help ensure that support is available when needed most. 5. **Promote Financial Inclusion:** As the economy grows, efforts to promote financial inclusion can be reinforced. Policies that facilitate access to banking, financial education, and affordable credit can empower individuals to manage their finances effectively and participate more fully in economic opportunities. 6. **Consider Long-Term Trends:** The article compares the current economic situation to the late 1990s, emphasizing the importance of considering long-term trends in social policy planning. Anticipating shifts in the job market, technology, and societal needs can help policymakers design policies that remain relevant and effective over time. 7. **Explore Innovative Approaches:** The unexpected nature of the economic recovery challenges traditional forecasting models. Policymakers may want to explore innovative approaches, leveraging data analytics and technology, to enhance their understanding of evolving economic dynamics and inform more effective social policy decisions. In summary, the positive economic indicators present an opportunity to review and refine social welfare policies to better align with the current context. Policymakers should consider a combination of targeted reforms, investments in human capital, and a proactive stance toward addressing emerging challenges in order to foster a more inclusive and resilient society.
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